USD/CNH: Bears may try to test 7.1450 – UOB Group

Instead of continuing to advance, USD is more likely to trade between 7.1450 and 7.1900, but further USD weakness is not ruled out. Although, the low near 7.0635 is solid support now, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

The 7.1450 low is prone to breaking

24-HOUR VIEW: “We expected USD to edge higher yesterday, but we were of the view that ‘any advance is unlikely to break clearly above 7.1800.’ USD subsequently rose more than expected, reaching a high of 7.1935 before pulling back sharply. The advance did not result in a significant increase in momentum. Today, instead of continuing to advance, USD is more likely to trade between 7.1450 and 7.1900.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After USD plunged to 7.0636 on Monday and then rebounded, we indicated Tuesday (06 Aug, spot at 7.1400) that ‘while downward momentum has slowed somewhat, only a breach of 7.2000 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) would mean that the weakness has stabilised.’ We added, ‘until then, further USD weakness is not ruled out, but the low near 7.0635 is solid support now.’ Our view remains unchanged.”