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On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure on Monday, trading below the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $75,222 after extending its losing streak to five consecutive weeks.
Weekly Report: The AI capex consensus was wrong last week — the scorecard points to one crowding riskThree consensus calls went into last week. Two were wrong: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.15% and Micron dropped 17.46% after beating estimates, while the Dow lost only 0.94%. The scorecard says the mistake was not about AI demand but about how crowded the trade had become — and CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials will grade it again this week.
Three consensus calls went into last week. Two were wrong: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.15% and Micron dropped 17.46% after beating estimates, while the Dow lost only 0.94%. The scorecard says the mistake was not about AI demand but about how crowded the trade had become — and CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials will grade it again this week.
Weekly Report: The dollar rose and the euro rose with it — three FX divergences, one should convergeDXY added 0.41% last week and EURUSD added 0.41% in the same five sessions, despite a 60-day correlation of -0.73. AUDUSD fell 1.36% after the RBA's sixth hike of the year, and USDJPY barely moved 0.19% even as markets priced a December BOJ hike. Three divergences, one of which the mechanism forces to close.
DXY added 0.41% last week and EURUSD added 0.41% in the same five sessions, despite a 60-day correlation of -0.73. AUDUSD fell 1.36% after the RBA's sixth hike of the year, and USDJPY barely moved 0.19% even as markets priced a December BOJ hike. Three divergences, one of which the mechanism forces to close.
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NameLatest PriceChangeChange%
EUR/USD1.11949+0.00556+0.50%USD/JPY157.900-0.547-0.35%GBP/USD1.34189+0.00755+0.57%USD/TRY50.10967+0.19270+0.39%USD/CHF0.81851-0.00095-0.12%AUD/CAD0.97226+0.00344+0.36%AUD/CHF0.56411+0.00112+0.20%AUD/JPY108.835+0.062+0.06%AUD/NZD1.22751-0.00881-0.71%AUD/SGD0.88218+0.00306+0.35%AUD/USD0.68924+0.00289+0.42%CAD/CHF0.58014-0.00037-0.06%CAD/JPY111.922-0.202-0.18%CHF/JPY192.890-0.261-0.14%EUR/AUD1.62404+0.00169+0.10%EUR/CAD1.57909+0.00540+0.34%EUR/CHF0.91627+0.00262+0.29%EUR/CZK24.354+0.034+0.14%
Data Source: Trading Central*
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OFFICIAL TRUMP1.09
+0.02 ( +1.87% )
1.09
Gold4122.15
+50.90 ( +1.25% )
4122.15
EUR/USD1.11949
+0.00556 ( +0.50% )
1.11949
WTI86.762
-2.905 ( -3.24% )
86.762
USD/JPY157.900
-0.547 ( -0.35% )
157.900
NAS10027228.8
+226.5 ( +0.84% )
27228.8
AUD/USD0.68924
+0.00289 ( +0.42% )
0.68924
Brent93.01
-3.64 ( -3.77% )
93.01
Bitcoin74653.06
+587.20 ( +0.79% )
74653.06
Silver52.574
+0.662 ( +1.28% )
52.574
GBP/USD1.34189
+0.00755 ( +0.57% )
1.34189
USD/CAD1.41073
-0.00122 ( -0.09% )
1.41073
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