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Eurozone Sentix Investor Confidence fell from previous 2.7 to 2.4 in November
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On Tuesday (Nov. 10) Eastern Time, the U.S. will release the October Consumer Price Index (CPI), a key inflation reading ahead of the Federal Reserve's December interest rate decision. Th
Bitcoin (BTC) remains under pressure on Monday, trading below the 50-week Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $75,222 after extending its losing streak to five consecutive weeks.
Weekly Report: The AI capex consensus was wrong last week — the scorecard points to one crowding riskThree consensus calls went into last week. Two were wrong: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.15% and Micron dropped 17.46% after beating estimates, while the Dow lost only 0.94%. The scorecard says the mistake was not about AI demand but about how crowded the trade had become — and CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials will grade it again this week.
Three consensus calls went into last week. Two were wrong: the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index fell 12.15% and Micron dropped 17.46% after beating estimates, while the Dow lost only 0.94%. The scorecard says the mistake was not about AI demand but about how crowded the trade had become — and CoreWeave, Cisco and Applied Materials will grade it again this week.
Weekly Report: The dollar rose and the euro rose with it — three FX divergences, one should convergeDXY added 0.41% last week and EURUSD added 0.41% in the same five sessions, despite a 60-day correlation of -0.73. AUDUSD fell 1.36% after the RBA's sixth hike of the year, and USDJPY barely moved 0.19% even as markets priced a December BOJ hike. Three divergences, one of which the mechanism forces to close.
DXY added 0.41% last week and EURUSD added 0.41% in the same five sessions, despite a 60-day correlation of -0.73. AUDUSD fell 1.36% after the RBA's sixth hike of the year, and USDJPY barely moved 0.19% even as markets priced a December BOJ hike. Three divergences, one of which the mechanism forces to close.
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NameLatest PriceChangeChange%
EUR/USD1.11949+0.00556+0.50%USD/JPY158.037-0.410-0.26%GBP/USD1.34184+0.00750+0.56%USD/TRY50.11101+0.19404+0.39%USD/CHF0.81796-0.00150-0.18%AUD/CAD0.97188+0.00306+0.32%AUD/CHF0.56465+0.00166+0.29%AUD/JPY109.110+0.337+0.31%AUD/NZD1.23075-0.00557-0.45%AUD/SGD0.88336+0.00424+0.48%AUD/USD0.69040+0.00405+0.59%CAD/CHF0.58093+0.00042+0.07%CAD/JPY112.249+0.125+0.11%CHF/JPY193.194+0.043+0.02%EUR/AUD1.62128-0.00107-0.07%EUR/CAD1.57583+0.00214+0.14%EUR/CHF0.91564+0.00199+0.22%EUR/CZK24.349+0.029+0.12%
Data Source: Trading Central*
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OFFICIAL TRUMP1.09
+0.02 ( +1.87% )
1.09
Gold4100.22
+28.97 ( +0.71% )
4100.22
EUR/USD1.11949
+0.00556 ( +0.50% )
1.11949
WTI89.622
-0.045 ( -0.05% )
89.622
USD/JPY158.037
-0.410 ( -0.26% )
158.037
NAS10026972.1
-30.2 ( -0.11% )
26972.1
AUD/USD0.69040
+0.00405 ( +0.59% )
0.69040
Brent96.34
-0.31 ( -0.32% )
96.34
Bitcoin74147.12
+81.26 ( +0.11% )
74147.12
Silver52.605
+0.693 ( +1.34% )
52.605
GBP/USD1.34184
+0.00750 ( +0.56% )
1.34184
USD/CAD1.40782
-0.00413 ( -0.29% )
1.40782
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