China is Shutting Hundreds of Banks. Should Bitcoin Investors Be Worried?

China is quietly erasing its weakest banks. A record 670 closed in the latest yearly count, most swallowed by bigger lenders, leaving 3,139 after a 23% drop in four years, Fitch Ratings said.

Bank trouble rarely stays local. When Silicon Valley Bank failed in 2023, First Republic shares plunged more than 60% in a day. Bitcoin jumped as much as 10%.

Why Are China’s Small Banks Disappearing?

Most of the closed banks were small rural lenders. Fitch calls them the weakest part of China’s financial system.

Their bad loans, money borrowers have stopped paying back, hit 2.8% in the first half, Fitch said. Across all banks, the figure was 1.5%.

Much of that money went to property developers. It also went to off-budget companies that Chinese cities use to borrow for roads and housing.

The wider economy is cooling. Growth slowed to 4.3% in the second quarter, the weakest since 2022. New yuan loans even fell outright in April and July.

“We’ve never seen consolidations on this scale before,” Jason Bedford, a senior visiting research fellow at the National University of Singapore, told the Financial Times.

Fitch Says Contagion Is Unlikely, but a City Bank Fell in July

Fitch said the trouble is unlikely to spread. These banks lend locally and borrow little from other banks.

Yet the strain has moved beyond the countryside. In July, Wuhan authorities took over Z-Bank, a lender with about 124 billion yuan in assets. It was China’s first such takeover since Baoshang Bank in 2019.

“You have to avoid any type of disturbance to the financial market and depositors’ confidence,” said Karen Wu, an analyst at credit consultancy CreditSights.

According to Wu, China must move carefully.

How Past Bank Shocks Moved Markets

Earlier scares hit different corners of the market. Baoshang’s seizure pushed up funding costs for regional banks. Henan’s frozen village banks set off street protests in 2022.

Bitcoin (BTC) rose in the week after three of those four shocks. It traded near $85,340 as of this writing, BeInCrypto data. shows

Crypto has little direct exposure this time. Mainland China banned crypto trading in 2021, and its banks were already barred from handling crypto transactions.

Nevertheless, the cleanup is not over. Moody’s expects more mergers as regulators “seek to address risks at smaller and weaker regional institutions.