Nvidia Stock Is Back at Its May Record. Its Quarterly Revenue Is 41% Higher.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Nvidia's revenue grew from $68.1 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter of 2026 to $96.2 billion in the fiscal second quarter of 2027.

  • Management expects fiscal third-quarter revenue of around $108 billion.

  • Based on the past year's adjusted earnings, the stock is around a third cheaper than it was at its May peak.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Nvidia ›

Nvidia (NASDAQ:NVDA) stock is finally back at a record. Shares rose as high as $237.87 on Friday, Oct. 2, inching past the $236.54 peak they touched in trading on May 14. As I write, the stock is near $235, close to its May 14 record close of $235.74, and the artificial intelligence (AI) chip leader is worth about $5.7 trillion.

That means someone buying the stock now pays about what buyers paid in mid-May. But the business they're buying has grown a lot since then.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

When the stock hit that May record, Nvidia's latest report was for the fiscal fourth quarter of 2026 (the three months ending Jan. 25, 2026), and revenue for the period was $68.1 billion. Its newest report, for the fiscal second quarter of 2027 (the period ending July 26, 2026), showed revenue of $96.2 billion. Put another way, Nvidia today pulls in 41% more revenue in one quarter, at around the same share price.

I think this gap matters more for the stock than the record itself.

Nvidia logo.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Sales kept climbing

The growth came in steps. Nvidia posted fiscal first-quarter revenue of $81.6 billion on May 20, just six days after the May record, and then $96.2 billion for fiscal Q2.

Not only did revenue rise every quarter, but growth also accelerated. Compared to the same quarter the year before, revenue was up 73% in fiscal Q4 and 85% in fiscal Q1. Then it more than doubled in fiscal Q2, rising 106%.

Most of that growth came from data center, the business that sells Nvidia's AI chips and networking gear to cloud providers and other data center operators. Showing how much of the company this business now makes up, data center revenue climbed from $62.3 billion in fiscal Q4 to $75.2 billion in fiscal Q1 and $89.0 billion in fiscal Q2 -- over 90% of Nvidia's total revenue in the last quarter. Plus, profits rose right along with sales. On a non-GAAP (adjusted) basis, Nvidia made $2.22 per share in fiscal Q2, up from $1.59 in fiscal Q4 (Nvidia now treats stock-based compensation as a cost in its adjusted earnings and restated earlier quarters to match). That's a gain of around 40% in just two quarters.

And management expects the climb to continue. Nvidia guided for fiscal third-quarter revenue of $108.0 billion, plus or minus 2%. At the midpoint, that's around 59% above the fiscal fourth-quarter revenue Nvidia had most recently reported when the stock last hit a record.

The stock is cheaper at the same price

In the four quarters Nvidia had reported by the May record (its fiscal 2026), it earned $4.64 per share on an adjusted basis. In its latest four reported quarters, that number is around $6.95 -- up about 50%.

Of course, the share price hardly changed in that stretch. So, the stock's price-to-earnings ratio on adjusted earnings has dropped from around 51 at the May record to about 34 today. By that measure, the stock is about a third cheaper than it was the last time it set a record.

I'm using adjusted earnings here because Nvidia's GAAP profits have lately been boosted by gains on its stakes in other companies -- around $15.9 billion of them before tax in fiscal Q1 alone.

These gains make the GAAP price-to-earnings ratio look lower than the underlying business would justify by itself. And they can swing the other way in a quarter when the stakes lose value.

Is growth slowing?

Measured quarter to quarter, though, Nvidia's growth is cooling. Revenue climbed 20% sequentially in both fiscal Q4 and fiscal Q1, then 18% in fiscal Q2. The $108 billion guidance implies around 12% for fiscal Q3.

And compared to the $57.0 billion Nvidia posted in the year-ago quarter, that guidance points to growth of around 89% year over year, down from fiscal Q2's 106%.

Yes, 89% growth for a business pulling in about $100 billion a quarter is exceptional. But Nvidia sells into an industry that has always run in cycles, and a stock at 34 times adjusted earnings could still drop hard if spending on AI data centers slows.

In the end, a record share price doesn't mean a pricier stock in Nvidia's case. The shares took more than four months to get back to where they were in May. In that time, quarterly revenue climbed 41%, and Nvidia's adjusted earnings for the past year rose around 50% per share.

That arguably makes the stock a better deal at this record than it was at the last one. I'd be more comfortable buying shares now than I would've been in May.

Should you buy stock in Nvidia right now?

Before you buy stock in Nvidia, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nvidia wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $365,910!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,418,530!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 930% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 211% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 2, 2026.

Daniel Sparks and his clients do not have positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
Sep 30, Wed
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Oct 01, Thu
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
placeholder
United States Dollar Index sits near March 2025 highs, above 102.00 ahead of US NFPThe US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 02: 51
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts buyers for the fifth straight day and climbs back above the 102.00 mark during the Asian session on Friday.
placeholder
WTI Price Forecast: Dips to $91.50 as Middle East jitters limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts some sellers during the Asian session on Friday, snapping a two-day winning streak and stalling the previous day's recovery from the vicinity of a nearly four-week low.
goTop
quote