News

Singapore Dollar: Downside bias capped with 1.2705 against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD has rebounded strongly, with short-term momentum pointing higher but key resistance at 1.2705 expected to limit gains.

Source  Fxstreet1789161660
Taiwan Dollar: CBC seen on hold before December hike – DBS

DBS Group Research expects Taiwan’s central bank to keep its policy rate unchanged on September 17, before raising it to 2.125% in December.

Source  Fxstreet1789159260
Chinese Yuan: Bullish bias fades against dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann reports that USD/CNH has bounced sharply to 6.7153, with intraday gains likely capped near 6.7200.

Source  Fxstreet1789156560
Forecasting the upcoming week: Fed, BoE and BoJ headline a central bank triple-header

The US Dollar Index (DXY) closes the week near the 99.00 zone, little changed on the day and holding the ground it clawed back after a brief wobble on Thursday's US inflation release.

Source  Fxstreet1789156341
Bank of Japan: Gradual path toward neutral rate – ING

ING analysts Chris Turner and Padhraic Garvey argue the Bank of Japan is likely to hike 25bp to 1.25% and then proceed cautiously.

Source  Fxstreet1789154640
US Treasury yields ease after CPI, but Fed hike risks linger

US Treasury yields fall during the North American session following the release of US inflation data, but are poised to finish the week higher. The US 10-year Treasury yield is down 1 basis point to 4.951% but has gained over 16 basis points, or 3.49%, in the week.

Source  Fxstreet1789152744
Asia FX: Resilience at risk as US yields climb – MUFG

MUFG’s Michael Wan notes that Asia FX and rates have stayed relatively stable despite sharply higher US Treasury yields, but he warns this resilience may not last in the near term.

Source  Fxstreet1789152053
ECB rate hike gives Euro little to work with as Pound holds firm

EUR/GBP is easing on Friday and slipping toward the 0.8580 area. The cross had pushed to the top of its recent range in the high 0.8590s before running out of steam.

Source  Fxstreet1789144959
China: Exports support output as property drags – DBS

DBS Group Research forecasts an improvement in China’s industrial production to 5.0% year-on-year in August, helped by strong export growth driven by AI-related electronics.

Source  Fxstreet1789138973
Taiwan: AI boom sustains trade surplus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economists, led by Dr. Henry Hao and colleagues, note Taiwan’s August trade surplus hit a record USD22.3bn, driven by strong AI-related exports. Electronics and semiconductor shipments surged, lifting overall exports and imports.

Source  Fxstreet1789138146
Japan: BoJ tightening path in focus – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song expect the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate by 25bp to 1.25%, citing persistent price pressures. They project two further 25bp hikes in January and April 2027, taking the rate to 1.75%.

Source  Fxstreet1789137376
India: Inflation pressures point to tighter bias – DBS

DBS Group Research expects India’s inflation to accelerate to 4.9% year-on-year, with food and energy costs driving a gradual broadening of price pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1789136512
United Kingdom: Growth outlook strengthens with AI-driven services – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja highlights stronger-than-expected UK GDP data, with July output rising 0.4% month-on-month and broad-based gains across services, production and construction.

Source  Fxstreet1789135711
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 47.8 in September

American consumer confidence is expected to have lost some traction in September, as households have been growing more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

Source  Fxstreet1789135504
Polish Zloty: Dovish stance leaves PLN vulnerable against Euro – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the National Bank of Poland maintained a dovish stance, signalling no need to adjust rates potentially until mid-next year despite rising inflation.

Source  Fxstreet1789134182
European Central Bank: Hawkish rate path supports Euro – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann notes that the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a widely expected 25 bps hike but signalled a more hawkish stance as inflation risks from the Middle East-driven energy shock remain elevated.

Source  Fxstreet1789133204
US August CPI Rises 3.4% YoY, 0.3% MoM Beats Expectations as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Rise

TradingKey - Overall U.S. inflation data for August was in line with market expectations, but core price pressures persist. Compounded by the recent rebound in energy prices, market attention toward t

Source  Tradingkey1789132600
Bank of Japan: Hawkish hike prospects grow – DBS

DBS Group Research analysts Taimur Baig and Chang Wei Liang expect the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to hike rates by 25 bps at its September 17–18 meeting, citing solid Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth, stronger wages and inflation near the 2% target.

Source  Fxstreet1789132577

India Bank Loan Growth increased to 19.1% in August 24 from previous 18.3%

Source  Fxstreet1789126305
European Central Bank: Hawkish path toward December peak – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Mark Wall and colleagues say the European Central Bank delivered a 25bp hike to 2.50% in September, with President Lagarde describing it as a no‑brainer.

Source  Fxstreet1789125886
SNB’s Schlegel: Inflation accelerates in recent months but remains within stability range

Swiss National Bank Chairman Martin Schlegel said during the European trading session on Friday that the Swiss Franc exchange rate has been a challenge for the Swiss economy. However, headed that the real Franc has been stable since 2020.

Source  Fxstreet1789122780
British Pound: Support at 1.3495 under pressure against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann report that GBP/USD’s sharp drop to 1.3493 looks stretched short term, favouring consolidation between 1.3495 and 1.3535 intraday.

Source  Fxstreet1789120714
Czech Koruna: CZK faces downside risks against Euro into CNB – ING

ING analysts David Havrlant and Frantisek Taborsky say the Czech market is being driven mainly by global factors and high energy prices, but EUR/CZK still reacts to Czech National Bank (CNB) meetings and guidance.

Source  Fxstreet1789119819
Swedish Krona: Higher Oil and ECB stance pressure currency – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team explains that Sweden’s July Gross Domestic Product (GDP) indicator was weak, but underlying domestic activity appears stronger, with solid services and consumption data.

Source  Fxstreet1789118196
Australian Dollar: Fresh downside momentum targets 0.7120 against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann flag a sudden AUD/USD selloff to 0.7156, with intraday momentum pointing to further losses toward 0.7140, though 0.7120 is seen as strong support for now.

Source  Fxstreet1789116224
US core CPI data set to ease in August as markets reprice Fed September rate decision

The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will publish the August Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Friday. The report is expected to show a small decline in annual core inflation.

Source  Fxstreet1789115400
British Pound: Strong data clashes with dovish BoE view – ING

Francesco Pesole at ING argues that despite stronger United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) data and resilient Sterling, the move in Gilts is largely externally driven and not about domestic fiscal fears.

Source  Fxstreet1789115389
Polish Zloty: NBP turns cautious as inflation rises – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke reports that the Polish central bank kept its key rate at 3.75%, while Governor Glapiński signalled no cuts until year-end after previously sounding dovish.

Source  Fxstreet1789114317
Euro steadies against Canadian Dollar amid ECB hawkish sentiment, lower oil prices

EUR/CAD experienced volatility but remained flat for the second successive day, hovering around 1.6060 during European hours on Friday. The currency cross may rise as the Euro (EUR) could receive support due to ongoing hawkish sentiment surrounding the European Central Bank (ECB) policy outlook.

Source  Fxstreet1789113458
UK Chancellor Healey: Economy demonstrates welcome resilience despite global uncertainty

United Kingdom (UK) Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey said during the European trading session on Friday, “Britain’s economy is demonstrating a welcome resilience, despite serious global uncertainty.”

Source  Fxstreet1789111507
goTop
quote