News

Fed's Goolsbee: Not a lot of evidence the job market is falling apart

In an interview with CNBC on Friday, Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago President Austan Goolsbee said that the job market is "pretty stable."

Source  Fxstreet1778253097
Germany: Industrial slump deepens with Middle East shock – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski highlights that German industrial production weakened further in March, with a 0.7% monthly decline leaving first-quarter output more than 1% below late 2025 levels.

Source  Fxstreet1778252401
Brent: Risk premium persists after Iran conflict – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategists expect Brent to retain a significant risk premium even if a US–Iran agreement is reached and the Strait of Hormuz reopens.

Source  Fxstreet1778251498

Turkey Treasury Cash Balance increased to -251.242B in April from previous -279.58B

Source  Fxstreet1778250692
ECB: War-driven inflation keeps hikes in focus – Nomura

Nomura’s George Buckley and team argue that even a swift resolution to the US-Iran war and reopening of the Strait would not necessarily stop the European Central Bank (ECB) from raising rates in June.

Source  Fxstreet1778249895
CAD: Gradual improvement expected in labour – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes that Canada lost 18,000 jobs in April, bringing total job losses in 2026 to 112,000, while the unemployment rate rose to 6.9%. Hours worked were flat and participation increased.

Source  Fxstreet1778249325
US UoM Consumer Sentiment Index is seen at 48.2 in May

American consumer confidence is expected to have deflated in early May, as households have been growing more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

Source  Fxstreet1778249098

United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations down to 4.5% in May from previous 4.7%

Source  Fxstreet1778248833

United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation declined to 3.4% in May from previous 3.5%

Source  Fxstreet1778248829

United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index climbed from previous 48.1 to 48.5 in May

Source  Fxstreet1778248823

United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index below forecasts (49.5) in May: Actual (48.2)

Source  Fxstreet1778248802

United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 1.3%, below expectations (1.4%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1778248801
USD: Hiring recovery supports steady Fed – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that United States (US) employment rose by 115,000 in April, beating expectations and signaling a recovery after prior weakness. The six‑month average of job gains is picking up again, supported by strong corporate profits and favorable financing conditions.

Source  Fxstreet1778248648
CEE FX: Diverging guidance caps upside – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that the Czech National Bank and National Bank of Poland kept rates unchanged but signalled different risk balances. He sees limited scope for further tightening in Czech Republic and a prolonged hold in Poland with conditional tightening risks.

Source  Fxstreet1778248091
CAD: Softer jobs data supports on-hold BoC view – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that weaker Canadian employment in April, including job losses and a higher unemployment rate, is unlikely to bring the Bank of Canada (BoC) closer to rate cuts.

Source  Fxstreet1778247444
US military reportedly strikes tankers near Strait of Hormuz

Geopolitical tensions intensified on Friday after reports from US and Iranian media regarding military operations around the Strait of Hormuz.

Source  Fxstreet1778246641

Russia Central Bank Reserves $ fell from previous $771.7B to $757.5B

Source  Fxstreet1778245283
April Non-Farm Payrolls Beat Estimates as Job Growth Hits 115k; Unemployment Holds Steady at 4.3% Suggesting Fed Pause Extension

TradingKey - On May 8, ET, April non-farm payroll data showed that 115,000 jobs were added during the month, which, although a significant slowdown from the 178,000 growth in March, outperformed marke

Source  Tradingkey1778245029
US: Services-led pickup sustains inflation pressures – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists expect April United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) to show firmer inflation, with core CPI seen at 0.38% m/m and 2.8% y/y, and headline at 0.56% m/m and 3.7% y/y.

Source  Fxstreet1778244517

United States Average Weekly Hours came in at 34.3, above expectations (34.2) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243406

United States Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) registered at 3.6%, below expectations (3.8%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243406

United States U6 Underemployment Rate remains unchanged at -8% in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243405

United States Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 115K, above expectations (62K) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243405

United States Labor Force Participation Rate dipped from previous 61.9% to 61.8% in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243405

United States Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) came in at 0.2%, below expectations (0.3%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243405

United States Unemployment Rate in line with expectations (4.3%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243405

Canada Participation Rate: 65% (April) vs 64.9%

Source  Fxstreet1778243403

Canada Net Change in Employment registered at -17.7K, below expectations (15K) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778243402

Mexico Consumer Confidence s.a up to 44.4 in April from previous 44.1

Source  Fxstreet1778241688

Mexico Consumer Confidence: 44.3 (April) vs 44.1

Source  Fxstreet1778241685
goTop
quote