Mary Daly, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of San Francisco, told Reuters in an interview on Friday that if Iran conflict is resolved quickly and Oil prices come back down, a rate cut may not be out of the question.

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao sees upside risks to China’s Q1 2026 GDP versus the bank’s 4.6% forecast, supported by resilient exports and front‑loaded public investment. Industrial production is projected to grow 5.5% year‑on‑year, while retail sales slow to 2.5%.

United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions: £-56.4K vs previous £-52.7K

United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions down to 202.2K from previous 213.5K

United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $156.3K vs previous $163.2K

Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions dipped from previous $81.5K to $70.8K

Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €-7.5K vs previous €0.5K

United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions declined to $-45.7K from previous $-42.5K

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions dipped from previous ¥-72.9K to ¥-93.7K

ING’s Chief Economist for Greater China, Lynn Song, highlights that Taiwan’s March trade data far exceeded expectations, with exports and imports surging and the trade surplus more than doubling year-on-year in the first quarter of 2026.

DBS Group Research expects the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) to slightly increase the slope of the Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER) policy band at its 14 April meeting, reversing last year’s easing.

United States Monthly Budget Statement registered at $-164B, below expectations ($-156.75B) in March

Iran's ‌parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said on Friday that two previously agreed measures, a ceasefire in Lebanon and the release of Iran's blocked assets, must be implemented before negotiations begin, according to Reuters.

TD Securities strategists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence note that Canadian labour markets showed a modest rebound in March, with 14k jobs added and the unemployment rate steady at 6.7%.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur expects the Bank of Japan (BoJ) to deliver two further rate hikes in 2026, taking policy closer to a rising neutral rate and supporting a modest Japanese Yen appreciation versus Dollar (USD) and Euro (EUR) in the second half of the year.

American consumer confidence deflated in early April, as households grew more pessimistic about current conditions and the broader economic outlook, according to preliminary data from the University of Michigan.

Oscar Munoz and the TD Securities US macro team judge that, although core CPI surprised on the soft side and tariff pass-through moderated, it is too early for markets to extrapolate a dovish signal.

ING’s Senior Economist Min Joo Kang notes that the Bank of Korea kept its policy rate at 2.5% and stressed a data-dependent stance as inflation pressures rise and GDP growth projections weaken.

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that U.S. inflation jumped to 3.3% in March, driven mainly by higher gasoline prices linked to the war in Iran, while core inflation remains moderate.

United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index: 46.1 (April) vs previous 51.7

United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations: 4.8% (April) vs 3.8%

United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index registered at 47.6, below expectations (52) in April

United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation increased to 3.4% in April from previous 3.2%

United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at 0%, above expectations (-0.2%) in February

TradingKey - The energy price shockwaves triggered by the U.S.-Iran conflict are profoundly impacting the U.S. economy.Latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for March released by the U.S. Bureau of L

Royal Bank of Canada’s (RBC) Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour market conditions steadied in March, with a modest employment gain and an unemployment rate holding at 6.7%.

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) economists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann see USD/JPY edging higher in the near term after rebounding from oversold levels, but expects gains to be limited below 159.60.

Rabobank's Head of Macro Strategy Elwin de Groot argues that Hungary’s parliamentary election could have supportive implications for the Euro if Viktor Orbán loses power.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has rallied on hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rhetoric and easing Oil risks, but warns markets may be overpricing tightening.

ING economists expect National Bank of Poland (NBP) rates to stay unchanged after April’s decision to hold the reference rate at 3.75%.