News

India: Higher CPI risks drive FY27 hike call – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered Bank economists Anubhuti Sahay and Saurav Anand now expect the Reserve Bank of India’s repo rate to rise by 50bps to 5.75% in FY27, starting in June.

Source  Fxstreet1779378120

United States 4-Week Bill Auction up to 3.61% from previous 3.605%

Source  Fxstreet1779377563

United States Kansas Fed Manufacturing Activity declined to 9 in May from previous 10

Source  Fxstreet1779375770
Indonesian Rupiah: BI jumbo hike buys time – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong says USD/IDR should find near‑term support after Bank Indonesia’s larger‑than‑expected 50bp hike to 5.25%, aimed at stabilising FX sentiment.

Source  Fxstreet1779374670

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change above forecasts (96B) in May 15: Actual (101B)

Source  Fxstreet1779373803
Hungarian Forint: MNB stance shifts focus to bonds over FX – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Hungarian asset positioning is stretched after elections, with markets now watching the central bank of Hungary Magyar Nemzeti Bank's (MNB) upcoming decision.

Source  Fxstreet1779373755

Eurozone Consumer Confidence above expectations (-20.8) in May: Actual (-19)

Source  Fxstreet1779372136

United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI registered at 55.3 above expectations (54) in May

Source  Fxstreet1779371105

United States S&P Global Services PMI below forecasts (51) in May: Actual (50.9)

Source  Fxstreet1779371102

United States S&P Global Composite PMI: 51.7 (May)

Source  Fxstreet1779371101
ECB: Limited June hike with upside risk – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer argues that weak Euro area PMI data and rising input costs leave the ECB in a policy dilemma.

Source  Fxstreet1779368908

Russia Central Bank Reserves $ declined to $768.9B from previous $771B

Source  Fxstreet1779368439
Equities: AI-led earnings and sector rotation – HSBC

HSBC’s Willem Sels highlights that global equities remain supported by robust earnings growth, led by US Technology and Communications, with AI-driven capex and productivity gains at the core.

Source  Fxstreet1779368360
US: Initial Jobless Claims rose to 209K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 209K for the week ending May 16.

Source  Fxstreet1779366915

United States Continuing Jobless Claims registered at 1.782M, below expectations (1.79M) in May 8

Source  Fxstreet1779366646

United States Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Survey came in at -0.4 below forecasts (18) in May

Source  Fxstreet1779366613

United States Building Permits Change rose from previous -10.8% to 5.8% in April

Source  Fxstreet1779366612

United States Building Permits (MoM) came in at 1.442M, above forecasts (1.39M) in April

Source  Fxstreet1779366611

United States Housing Starts (MoM) came in at 1.465M, above expectations (1.41M) in April

Source  Fxstreet1779366608

United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average dipped from previous 203.75K to 202.5K in May 15

Source  Fxstreet1779366605

United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (210K) in May 15: Actual (209K)

Source  Fxstreet1779366603

United States Housing Starts Change fell from previous 10.8% to -2.8% in April

Source  Fxstreet1779366603
Australian Dollar: Jobs miss secures June pause – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts note Australia’s April jobs report disappointed, with a 18.6k employment drop and unemployment jumping to 4.5% despite lower participation. They argue this earlier-than-expected rise in unemployment makes a June Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) pause almost certain.

Source  Fxstreet1779366540
Euro: Growth worries cap upside against US Dollar – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley highlights that weak French and German PMI data have undermined Eurozone growth expectations and led markets to question how much the European Central Bank (ECB) can still tighten.

Source  Fxstreet1779365643

Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.1%, below expectations (0.5%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1779364805

Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 2.9% below forecasts (3.1%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1779364805
Australian Dollar underperforms due to risk-off mood, weak Australia labor market data

The Australian Dollar (AUD) trades lower against its major currency peers, is down 0.28% to near 0.7130 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Thursday. The antipodean faces selling pressure due to risk-off market sentiment and soft Australian employment data for April.

Source  Fxstreet1779364027
Fed: FOMC minutes back extended hold – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts highlight that April Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes showed growing support to drop the easing bias, with many participants and several regional presidents favoring a more neutral stance.

Source  Fxstreet1779363445
Iran's Supreme Leader: Near-weapons-grade uranium must stay in Iran

According to Reuters, Iran's Supreme Leader has ordered that near-weapons-grade uranium must stay in Iran. The agency also reported that sources familiar believe Supreme Leader's directive reflects consensus among the Iranian establishment.

Source  Fxstreet1779359863
Euro tests 10-day lows against British Pound after UK, Eurozone preliminary PMIs

The Euro’s (EUR) frail recovery attempt against the British Pound (GBP) has been capped below 0.8660, as the pair retreats on Thursday, testing one and a half week lows below 0.8642 at the time of writing.

Source  Fxstreet1779356960
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