Chris Turner at ING notes EUR/USD remains lacklustre despite better Eurozone data and upside surprises, as high European natural gas prices and Gulf tensions weigh on the Euro.
EUR/CAD remains steady after five days of losses, trading around 1.6070 during the European hours on Wednesday. The currency cross moves little as the Euro (EUR) holds ground following the release of Germany’s Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data.
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley outlines a cautious stance on UK fiscal prospects and their impact on EUR/GBP. The Burnham government’s planned flexibility in fiscal rules and higher infrastructure spending could mean more gilt supply and tax speculation.
MUFG’s Michael Wan notes India’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to edge up to 4.4% year-on-year from 4.3%. Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Sanjay Malhotra said inflation is largely under control, supporting expectations for rates to stay on hold near term.
Antje Praefcke at Commerzbank highlights that Norges Bank kept its policy rate at 4.25% in June but signaled a higher chance of another hike, with the year-end rate forecast just over 4.5%.
ING strategist Frantisek Taborsky highlights easing Romanian inflation driven mainly by base effects, with the National Bank of Romania unlikely to cut rates before early 2027.
Deutsche Bank strategists note that United States (US) equities had a mixed session as Magnificent 7 weakness weighed on the S&P 500, even as the equal-weighted index reached a fresh record.
The Indian Rupee (INR) extends its decline against the US Dollar (USD) on Wednesday as the former continues to face pressure due to surging oil prices.
GBP/USD inches lower after remaining flat in the previous day, trading around 1.3500 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency pair continues to hold its losses as the US Dollar (USD) gains strength ahead of a crucial inflation report.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) unanimously held rates at 4.35% in August, but major economic forecasters offer varying takes on what comes next:
OCBC analysts Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong discuss USD/SGD after its post-payroll decline, noting the pair last traded near 1.28 with bearish momentum starting to wane.
US Treasury yields eased on Tuesday as most investors remain cautious, awaiting the release of US inflation figures and the resolution of the US-Iran conflict, which has encountered hurdles.
United Overseas Bank (UOB) analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/CNH to remain confined in a narrow intraday range, reflecting flat momentum indicators. Over the next 1–3 weeks, they still see scope for the Dollar to edge lower toward 6.7300 while resistance has shifted higher.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) strengthened to near a two‑month high on a softer US Dollar (USD) after weak United States (US) payrolls and clarity over Bank Indonesia (BI) leadership, with Destry Damayanti nominated as sole governor candidate.
Standard Chartered Bank economists Edward Lee and Jonathan Koh highlight that Singapore’s H1 GDP expanded 6.1% year-on-year, with strong AI-related demand offsetting energy sector drag.
Commerzbank strategists note July Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 2.0% year-on-year, below consensus, mainly due to softer retail fuel prices. While core CPI has been gradually rising, overall price pressures are described as manageable and below government forecasts.
OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/CNH slipped after weak US payrolls, with the Renminbi (RMB) near its strongest levels in over three years.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect USD/SGD to remain in a tight intraday band after Monday’s modest rebound, with the pair seen between 1.2785 and 1.2815.
Standard Chartered’s Nicholas Chia reports that the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the cash rate at 4.35% in a unanimous decision, as widely expected. Chia notes the RBA sees inflation returning to the midpoint of its 2–3% target only by late 2027.
UOB economist Jester Koh highlights that Singapore’s 2Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised up to 5.9% year-on-year and 1.4% quarter-on-quarter, driven by AI-related strength in manufacturing and modern services.
The Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee revealed in a video posted by Wired, that “The biggest problem facing our economy right now is not the collapse of industry and the collapse of jobs; it's that the prices have been rising too fast, we got an inflation problem and people hate inflation.”
Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley examines Japanese inflation dynamics and Bank of Japan policy. The report notes elevated Oil prices and supply risks, but stresses BoJ’s focus on core inflation and wage-driven pressures after decades of deflation.
DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng highlights that Singapore’s economy is set to deliver above-trend growth for a third straight year in 2026, supported by manufacturing, wholesale trade and financial services.
Volkmar Baur at Commerzbank notes that the Japanese Yen has weakened again above 159 per Dollar despite recent intervention and Bank of Japan signals.
Private-sector hiring in the US has further cooled in late July. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 8.25K jobs per week in the four weeks ending July 25.
John Velis at BNY Markets reiterates that he expects no Federal Reserve rate hikes this year, even as risks remain skewed to the upside.
EUR/CAD continues its losing streak for the fifth consecutive day, trading around 1.6080 during the European hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) is under pressure as rising risk aversion, driven by escalating US-Iran tensions, weighs on the cross.
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo note that the Reserve Bank of Australia left the cash rate at 4.35% in a unanimous decision, with the Statement and updated forecasts sounding less hawkish than expected.
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose describes recent Forint weakness as a high-beta correction that only partly erases post-election outperformance.