News

Fed’s Goolsbee says inflation now outweighs labor concerns

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, in an interview with Fox Business, said that the labour market is steady and that “the inflation side of the Fed’s job is more important.”

Source  Fxstreet1790963287
US Dollar: FOMC minutes to offer limited fresh clues – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts characterize the upcoming September FOMC minutes as largely outdated given subsequent employment and PCE data. The minutes are expected to show disagreement over how much further tightening is needed, but broad consensus that policy should remain more restrictive.

Source  Fxstreet1790951704
Canada labour market: Tariff effects assessed – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada analysts review Canada’s September labour report, the first full dataset since U.S. Section 338 tariffs took effect. They estimate around 0.4% of Canada’s GDP and employment is tied to tariff-listed US demand.

Source  Fxstreet1790951392
RBI to keep tightening risks alive – MUFG

MUFG analysts Lin Li, Michael Wan, Lloyd Chan and Khang Sek Lee highlight that Asia FX will be driven by the Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) finely balanced decision on 7 October.

Source  Fxstreet1790951285
US labour market: Softer jobs ease Fed hike risk – ABN Amro

ABN Amro’s Rogier Quaedvlieg notes September US labour market data came in weaker than expected, with payrolls at 29k versus consensus 90k and prior months revised down by 60k. He see the report as mixed but consistent with its base case and reducing pressure for an October Fed hike.

Source  Fxstreet1790950994
Euro: October ECB hike odds seen limited – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered Global Research team discusses Euro area monetary policy, noting that core inflation has only edged up slightly since January and that higher yields pose downside risks to both growth and inflation. The authors judge that these factors reduce the chances of an October rate hike and expect the Governing Council to wait for new macroeconomic projections at the December policy meeting.

Source  Fxstreet1790946120
France: Budget strains weigh on outlook – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad warns France’s budget crisis is deepening and complicating Eurozone fiscal dynamics. A minority government’s deficit-reduction plan faces parliamentary hurdles, while the fiscal watchdog calls assumptions optimistic.

Source  Fxstreet1790936273
Euro-area Inflation: Headline pressures rise – Nordea

Nordea’s Global Macro team of Tuuli Koivu, Jan von Gerich and Anders Svendsen note Euro-area inflation accelerated in September, driven mainly by energy and food.

Source  Fxstreet1790936165
US Nonfarm Payrolls expected to soften in September

The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release September Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data on Friday at 12:30 GMT. 

Source  Fxstreet1790929800
Swiss Franc: Safe-haven appeal strengthens – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister argues that rising global bond yields and mounting government debt concerns are increasingly supporting the Swiss Franc over the Euro. He notes Switzerland’s debt brake and relatively sound public finances as key advantages.

Source  Fxstreet1790929680
ECB’s Rehn: Higher energy prices bring us closer to ECB’s adverse scenario for inflation

European Central Bank (ECB) official and Finnish Central Bank Governor Olli Rehn said during the European trading session on Friday that elevated energy prices bring us closer to the central bank’s adverse scenario for inflation.

Source  Fxstreet1790927868
Global Treasury yields ease amid rising France’s fiscal, political concerns

US 10-year Treasury note yield holds around 5.25% on Friday, pulling back from multi-decade highs as mounting concerns over France’s fiscal and political stability spurred demand for safe-haven assets. Despite this slight retreat, US yields remained near levels not seen since 2002.

Source  Fxstreet1790927040
Euro gains against Canadian Dollar ahead of Eurozone HICP data

EUR/CAD rises after posting modest losses in the previous day, trading around 1.6010 during the early European hours on Friday. Traders are turning their attention to the upcoming preliminary Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for September, set to be released later in the day.

Source  Fxstreet1790924939
Japanese Yen rises due to hot Tokyo CPI, dovish Fed bets

USD/JPY declines after two days of gains, trading around 157.90 during Asian hours on Friday. The Japanese Yen (JPY) gained momentum following stronger-than-expected inflation data from Tokyo, putting downward pressure on the pair.

Source  Fxstreet1790920832
Indonesian Rupiah strengthens as US Dollar weakens on easing Fed rate hike bets

USD/IDR has pared its recent gains from the previous day, trading around 17,910 during the Asian hours on Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1790917484
India Gold price today: Gold rises, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices rose in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

Source  Fxstreet1790915808
Japan’s Katayama says will beef up efforts to promote version of doge review of subsidies, funds

Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that she will beef up efforts to promote the Japanese version of the doge review of subsidies and funds, adding that there are about 200 existing funds, worth about 7 trillion yen.

Source  Fxstreet1790908128

Japan Monetary Base (YoY) up to 15.2% in September from previous -15.7%

Source  Fxstreet1790902527
Fed’s Logan: Policy rate must increase by additional 50 bps or more

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas President Lorie Logan said on Thursday that the central bank will need to raise short-term borrowing costs by at least another half of a percentage point to turn monetary policy "modestly restrictive" and get inflation back on track to the target.

Source  Fxstreet1790898023

Japan Tokyo CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) above expectations (2.4%) in September: Actual (2.7%)

Source  Fxstreet1790897560
Breaking: Japan’s Tokyo CPI inflation climbs 2.7% in September

The headline Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September rose 2.7% YoY as compared to 1.9% in the previous month, the Statistics Bureau of Japan showed on Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1790897542

Japan Tokyo CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) rose from previous 2% to 3% in September

Source  Fxstreet1790897539

Japan Tokyo Consumer Price Index (YoY): 2.7% (September) vs 1.9%

Source  Fxstreet1790897414

Japan Unemployment Rate registered at 2.5% above expectations (2.4%) in August

Source  Fxstreet1790897405

Japan Jobs / Applicants Ratio meets expectations (1.18) in August

Source  Fxstreet1790897403

South Korea Consumer Price Index Growth (YoY) meets forecasts (2.9%) in September

Source  Fxstreet1790895601
Fed’s Jefferson says economy near maximum employment

The Vice Chairman, Philip Jefferson, continues to cross the wires. He said that “inflation has resulted from a cascade of shocks” at the Darden School of Business, University of Virginia, Charlottesville, Virginia.

Source  Fxstreet1790881173
Fed’s Kashkari keeps October open, still sees more hikes ahead

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said he is unsure about an October rate hike but added that he is “open-minded about how fast the Fed should raise interest rates.”

Source  Fxstreet1790877724
Fed’s Jefferson signals patience as next rate move stays data-driven

The Vice Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Philip Jefferson, is on the wires, saying that the “Fed is fully committed to returning inflation to 2% target” and that future interest rate decisions “should be driven by data.”

Source  Fxstreet1790877252

United States 4-Week Bill Auction climbed from previous 3.85% to 3.89%

Source  Fxstreet1790876651
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