News

USD/SGD: Upside risks as Hormuz crisis persists – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong flag slight upside risks for USD/SGD as the Hormuz standoff weighs on risk appetite and imported cost pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1777073940
PHP: BSP starts new hiking cycle – Commerzbank

Commerzbank highlights that BSP raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.50%, signalling the start of a new tightening cycle to anchor inflation expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1777071360
USD/TWD: Rebound seen as fadeable – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong describe a technical rebound in USD/TWD driven by broader US Dollar (USD) strength and risk aversion linked to the US‑Iran ceasefire stalemate.

Source  Fxstreet1777068720
PBoC: Steepening bias as industrial activity holds – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Samuel Tse analyses recent steepening in Chinese Yuan (CNY) rates, linking it to a ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran and stronger-than-expected Q1 growth in China.

Source  Fxstreet1777066740
PHP: BSP tightening supports Peso but risks linger – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note the central bank of Philippines Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas' (BSP) 25bp hike to 4.5% and guidance that further increases are possible as inflation forecasts are revised higher and second-round effects emerge.

Source  Fxstreet1777062120
BoC: Cautious hold and two‑sided risks – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists, including Andrew Kelvin and colleagues, expect the Bank of Canada to keep the Overnight Rate at 2.25% through the April meeting and likely for the rest of 2026.

Source  Fxstreet1777059840

United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions fell from previous 206.5K to 192.3K

Source  Fxstreet1777059198

Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions: €41.3K vs €26K

Source  Fxstreet1777059191

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions down to ¥-94.5K from previous ¥-83.2K

Source  Fxstreet1777059171

United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions rose from previous £-54.7K to £-52K

Source  Fxstreet1777059163

United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $164K vs $162.5K

Source  Fxstreet1777059144

United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions climbed from previous $-115.8K to $-110.1K

Source  Fxstreet1777059135

Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions: $64.8K vs previous $65.1K

Source  Fxstreet1777059124
BoE: MPC holds vigilant stance – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Stefan Koopman expects the Bank of England’s (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to leave Bank Rate at 3.75% at the April meeting, maintaining its vigilant stance.

Source  Fxstreet1777057620
Germany: Growth hit by energy shock – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer argues that the sharp fall in the Ifo Business Climate Index underlines how severely the energy price shock is weighing on the German economy.

Source  Fxstreet1777055820
Iran's Araghchi tours three capitals with 450kg of leverage; is Trump boxed in?

Iran's Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi landed in Islamabad on Friday evening to open the long-delayed second round of talks with the US, and special envoy Steve Witkoff and senior adviser Jared Kushner are due in on Saturday morning.

Source  Fxstreet1777053991
US: Revenue resilience after IEEPA ruling – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Dan Pan and Steve Englander assess the impact of the United States (US) Supreme Court’s IEEPA ruling on US tariff revenue. They note that tariff income has fallen but remains well above pre-Liberation Day levels.

Source  Fxstreet1777053816
USD/CAD: Choppy range then softer bias – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts expect a broadly neutral near-term impact on the Canadian Dollar (CAD) from a more balanced Bank of Canada (BoC) tone.

Source  Fxstreet1777048771
GBP: BoE holds as energy shock clouds outlook – Nomura

Nomura’s George Buckley and team expect the Bank of England (BoE) to leave Bank Rate unchanged at 3.75% next week, with a likely 8-1 vote and Huw Pill as the sole hawk.

Source  Fxstreet1777044356
WTI: Higher path feeding BoC inflation forecasts – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) April Monetary Policy Report (MPR) to embed significantly higher Oil assumptions, with Brent at USD 90 and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) at USD 85, versus a prior USD 55 WTI baseline.

Source  Fxstreet1777042288
ECB: Expected to hike in June as inflation risks build – Commerzbank

Commerzbank's Dr. Jörg Krämer and Bernd Weidensteiner expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to leave rates unchanged next week but still project a June hike if the Strait of Hormuz remains blocked and inflation risks persist.

Source  Fxstreet1777041574
Powell probe may be dropped by the US DoJ – ABC News

According to reports by ABC News, the US Department of Justice (DoJ) is expected to drop its investigation into Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday, which could delay the confirmation of Trump’s appointee, Kevin Warsh, to become the next chief of the US central bank.

Source  Fxstreet1777040816
EUR/HUF: MNB holds rates as geopolitical risks persist – ING

ING analysts Frantisek Taborsky and Zoltán Homolya expect central bank of the Hungary, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to keep its base rate unchanged at 6.25% throughout 2026.

Source  Fxstreet1777040423
BoE: Hold stance and resilient UK data – TD Securities

TD Securities economists, including Julie Ioffe and colleagues, expect the Bank of England to keep Bank Rate at 3.75% in a unanimous decision, maintaining a wait-and-see stance.

Source  Fxstreet1777039730

United States UoM 1-year Consumer Inflation Expectations came in at 4.7%, below expectations (4.8%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1777039221

United States Michigan Consumer Expectations Index above expectations (46.1) in April: Actual (48.1)

Source  Fxstreet1777039216

United States UoM 5-year Consumer Inflation Expectation registered at 3.5% above expectations (3.4%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1777039203

United States Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index registered at 49.8 above expectations (47.6) in April

Source  Fxstreet1777039203
BoC: Policy hold as inflation assessed – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) analysts Ethan Currie and Taylor Schleich expect the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight target at 2.25%, extending a fourth consecutive hold.

Source  Fxstreet1777038275
Reuters poll: Economists see ECB on hold in April, June hike odds rise

The latest Reuters surveys highlight a gradual shift toward tighter monetary policy expectations in the Eurozone, with a more pronounced tightening bias than previously anticipated.

Source  Fxstreet1777038069
goTop
quote