News

Austria HICP (YoY) increased to 2.3% in February from previous 2%

Source  Fxstreet1773821009

Austria HICP (MoM) meets forecasts (0.8%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773820984

South Africa Consumer Price Index (MoM) rose from previous 0.2% to 0.4% in February

Source  Fxstreet1773820810

South Africa Consumer Price Index (YoY) dipped from previous 3.5% to 3% in February

Source  Fxstreet1773820809
Fed: Powell focus as policy steady – UBS

UBS' Chief Economist Paul Donovan notes that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep policy unchanged, with attention centered on Fed Chair Powell’s press conference. Markets are looking for Powell’s reaction to Oil prices, the war and implications for US retail gasoline.

Source  Fxstreet1773820323
China’s foreign ministry expresses delay in Trump’s meeting with Xi

China's foreign ministry said during the European trading session on Wednesday that it will provide updates about the delay in United States (US) President Donald Trump’s meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping.

Source  Fxstreet1773819168
ECB: Hawkish tone expected as hike doubts persist – Commerzbank

Commerzbank strategist Hauke Siemßen argues that ECB expectations will dominate trading, with forwards now fully pricing the first rate hike by September and only a 50% chance of another move by year-end.

Source  Fxstreet1773818815
BoC: Cautious hold and oil-linked risks – TD Securities

TD Securities stategists expect the Bank of Canada to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% with a cautious tone, as growth and inflation run below projections. They highlights elevated uncertainty and new inflation risks from the Iran conflict and higher Oil prices.

Source  Fxstreet1773817671
EUR/USD: Fed seen waiting as pair holds gains – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that EUR/USD moved back above 1.15 as US Treasury yields declined and risk sentiment recovered. The bank does not expect the upcoming FOMC meeting to significantly alter the EUR/USD outlook, seeing the Federal Reserve in a wait-and-see mode regarding the Iran conflict.

Source  Fxstreet1773817104
BoE: Holding rates as energy risks evolve – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Christopher Graham expects the Bank of England to keep rates unchanged at its 19 March meeting, with a 7–2 split as two members likely back a 25 bps cut.

Source  Fxstreet1773816014
Australia’s Chalmers says Iran war could raise inflation, weigh on GDP

Australia’s Treasurer Jim Chalmers said on Wednesday that Iran war could add a further quarter of a percentage point to headline inflation and double the negative impact on Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

Source  Fxstreet1773814948
CAD: BoC risks and upside potential – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister expects the Bank of Canada to leave rates unchanged, in line with Bloomberg consensus.

Source  Fxstreet1773814459

Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM) declined to -0.1% in February from previous -0.04%

Source  Fxstreet1773791652

Japan Adjusted Merchandise Trade Balance: ¥-374.2B (February) vs previous ¥455.5B

Source  Fxstreet1773791584

Japan Merchandise Trade Balance Total above expectations (¥-483.2B) in February: Actual (¥57.3B)

Source  Fxstreet1773791402

Japan Exports (YoY) came in at 4.2%, above expectations (1.6%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773791401

Japan Imports (YoY) came in at 10.2%, below expectations (11.5%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773791401
Russia expands military cooperation with Iran — WSJ

Russia has been expanding its ‌intelligence sharing and military cooperation with Iran, providing satellite imagery and improved drone technology to aid Tehran’s targeting of US forces in the ‌region, the Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday.

Source  Fxstreet1773790060

New Zealand Westpac Consumer Survey up to 94.7 in 4Q from previous 90.9

Source  Fxstreet1773784846
BoT: Rate on hold as Oil shock unfolds – UOB

UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya expect Bank of Thailand to keep the BoT 1-D Repo Rate at 1.00% through at least 1Q27, despite higher headline inflation from the Oil shock.

Source  Fxstreet1773784080

New Zealand Current Account - GDP Ratio dipped from previous -3.5% to -3.7% in 4Q

Source  Fxstreet1773783995

New Zealand Current Account (QoQ) below forecasts ($-4.75B) in 4Q: Actual ($-5.98B)

Source  Fxstreet1773783918
USD/THB: Overbought but still upside risks – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/THB has risen over 4% month‑to‑date as markets scaled back expectations for near‑term Fed easing and Oil prices surged, hurting Thailand’s terms of trade.

Source  Fxstreet1773777780
China: Fiscal support seen offsetting Oil shock – TD Securities

TD Securities highlights that China’s economy started 2026 on a positive note, led by a rebound in fixed-asset investment driven by quasi-fiscal policy.

Source  Fxstreet1773774720

United States Monthly Budget Statement dipped from previous $-95B to $-308B in January

Source  Fxstreet1773774279
Thailand: Oil shock lifts inflation risk – UOB

UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya assess how higher global Oil and gas prices are shifting Thailand from a low-inflation backdrop into a cost-shock environment.

Source  Fxstreet1773771480
LatAm: Peso seen outperforming real – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister and Norman Liebke argue that, after strong gains versus the Dollar, the Brazilian Real faces more downside risks than the Mexican Peso.

Source  Fxstreet1773768410

United States 20-Year Bond Auction climbed from previous 4.664% to 4.817%

Source  Fxstreet1773766956
TRY: High energy sensitivity and policy pressure – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas underlines Türkiye’s acute sensitivity to higher energy prices and exchange rate moves. The report notes a large energy deficit, strong exchange rate pass‑through and a sharp rise in local yields, as markets price faster monetary tightening.

Source  Fxstreet1773765480
Canada: Strong wealth boost with record net worth – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) analyst Matthieu Arseneau highlights that Canadian households saw net worth rise 5.8% in 2025, reaching a record high, as financial assets outpaced modest credit growth. The S&P/TSX delivered a 31.7% total return, aided by higher Gold prices.

Source  Fxstreet1773762540
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