DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng expects the Bank of Thailand (BoT) to keep its policy rate at 1.00% through 2026, following the unanimous decision on August 26 to stay on hold.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister examines whether the weaker CNY explains China’s rising export market share. Using bilateral real exchange rates across major partners, he finds no systematic link between CNY moves and market share gains, including in advanced sectors like electric cars.

Cleveland Federal Reserve (Fed) President Beth Hammack crossed the wires on CNBC on Thursday as the Jackson Hole Symposium begins.

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change registered at 15B, below expectations (19B) in August 21

Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that the European Central Bank remains focused on upside inflation risks and is likely to continue tightening policy.

Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid warned that inflation remained stubborn and that the energy shock was spreading into the broader economy. With the next meeting approaching, he said the Fed needed more information but remained committed to returning inflation to 2%.

Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee said the economy remained broadly stable but warned that tariffs and war-related price increases were complicating the inflation outlook.

BNY’s Geoff Yu says rising Swedish import prices and continued weakness in the krona are adding to inflation risks. He expects the Riksbank to adopt firmer language on SEK valuations and sees scope for the market to bring forward expectations for the next rate hike.

Russia Central Bank Reserves $ increased to $761.2B from previous $755.6B

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance fell to 203K for the week ending August 22.

United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $-118.8B below forecasts ($-99B) in July

United States Wholesale Inventories came in at 1.3%, above forecasts (0.1%) in July

Canada Current Account came in at 8.84B, above forecasts (-2B) in 2Q

United States Goods Trade Balance came in at $118.8B, above forecasts ($-99B) in July

United States Continuing Jobless Claims below forecasts (1.79M) in August 14: Actual (1.778M)

Societe Generale analysts highlight that Brent has pulled back after testing resistance at $95, a level defined by a prior downside gap and a descending trend line from April.

The European Central Bank (ECB) Accounts of the July 22-23 monetary policy meeting show that policymakers remain open to further monetary tightening despite unanimously deciding to keep interest rates unchanged.

Standard Chartered economist Dan Pan expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its policy rate at 2.25% and delay a 25bps cut to December, citing a Q2 growth rebound that reduces the need for immediate easing.

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux and colleagues note that EUR/GBP has rebounded sharply after forming an interim low near 0.8450 in July, but the recovery has stalled around 0.8585.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is remaining stronger for the second successive day and trading around 99.20 during the European hours on Thursday.

DBS Group Research strategist Sherilyn Chew says hawkish Reserve Bank of India (RBI) minutes and volatility at the long end of the US Treasury market have pushed India rates higher.

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that Euro strength is amplifying import price pass-through risks for Poland, with EUR/PLN gains feeding into higher import prices. The Monetary Policy Council’s guidance of unchanged rates contrasts with market pricing for a return above 4%.

OCBC Bank strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note Australian inflation surprised on the upside, keeping alive the risk of another Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) hike even as their base case is that the tightening cycle has ended.

GBP/USD remains subdued for the second successive day, trading around 1.3590 during the European hours on Thursday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) remains stronger following the robust economic data released on Wednesday.

In a statement on Thursday, a spokesperson from China's Commerce Ministry said, regarding the United States (US) overcapacity tariff, “We will continue to closely monitor and comprehensively assess the follow-up measures taken by the US.” The spokesperson added, “We reserve the right to take all nec

Here is what you need to know on Thursday, August 27:

The Deutsche Bank strategists describe a modestly positive shift in equity sentiment following Nvidia’s earnings. After a quiet cash session for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, Nvidia’s revenue beat and bullish AI outlook pushed its shares up 4.7% after-hours, lifting S&P 500 and Nasdaq futures.

USD/IDR gains ground for the third successive day, trading around 17,800 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair is under downward pressure as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) struggles against fragile domestic sentiment.

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Ryozo Himino said on Thursday that the central bank will reach decision on rates balancing need to gain information on economy, financial conditions, and acting in timely fashion to avoid being behind the curve on inflation.

The South Korean Won (KRW) trades higher against the US Dollar (USD) on Thursday, with USD/KRW falling 0.3% to near 1,380 during the Asian trading session. The pair revisits its 11-month low as back-to-back interest rate hikes by the Bank of Korea (BoK) have strengthened the currency.