ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the Czech National Bank (CNB) kept its policy rate at 3.75% with a dovish tone versus market pricing, but ING economists now expect a hike in November due to higher inflation forecasts and elevated global energy prices.
Deutsche Bank highlights a broad-based rebound in global equities following a drop in Oil prices and supportive US data. The S&P 500 and NASDAQ led gains in US stocks, while the STOXX 600 advanced in Europe and major Asian indices, including the Nikkei and KOSPI, moved higher.
Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that EUR/USD stabilized after the Federal Reserve’s hawkish surprise, with markets now fully pricing another Fed rate hike in December and no cuts until late next year.
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team reports a strong rebound in global equities, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, Stoxx 600 and Kospi all posting solid gains despite a recent Fed hike and further tightening priced.
Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, in the United Kingdom (UK) rises 0.5% month-over-month (MoM) in August after declining at a similar pace in July, the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday.
USD/IDR halts its six-day winning streak, trading around 17,780 during Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair continues to hold its losses, with the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) drawing strength from a pullback in crude oil prices.
USD/CHF extends its losses for the second successive day, trading around 0.8230 during Asian hours on Friday. The pair depreciates as the US Dollar (USD) faced challenges from falling oil prices, which helped ease broader inflation concerns.
EUR/JPY rises after registering minor losses in the previous day, trading around 180.20 during Asian hours on Friday. The currency cross advanced as the Japanese Yen (JPY) struggled following the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) latest interest rate decision.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $96.40 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) said on Thursday that a Togo-flagged oil tanker was struck while attempting to make an “illegal passage” through the Strait of Hormuz, Arab news reported.
Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock said on Friday that risks to outlook were skewed to the upside at August board meeting.
Japan’s National Consumer Price Index (CPI) climbed by 1.9% YoY in August, compared to the previous reading of 1.9%, according to the latest data released by the Japan Statistics Bureau on Friday.
OCBC strategist Christopher Wong highlights that Singapore Dollar (SGD) remains largely driven by the broader Dollar story after the FOMC, given its high sensitivity to USD moves.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan remains cautious on the Thai Baht, keeping the USD/THB forecast at 34.00 by year-end.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note USD/SGD surged to 1.2784 and closed at 1.2783, its largest one-day gain in three months, with strong momentum despite overbought conditions.
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen discusses the latest FOMC decision, noting a unanimous 25 bps hike in the Federal funds rate and a shift to a higher policy rate trajectory for similar inflation outcomes.
The Bank of Japan (BoJ) stands on the verge of delivering a 25 basis point rate hike to 1.25%, with financial markets pricing in a near 100% probability of such an action.
TD Securities’ macro team, led by Pooja Kumra, notes the Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, with a more hawkish tone versus July as inflation risks stay skewed higher.
UOB’s economics team, led by Suan Teck Kin and Alvin Liew, interprets the September FOMC as the start of a short hiking extension rather than a one-off move.
Rabobank’s Stefan Koopman notes that the Bank of England kept Bank Rate at 3.75% in a 6-3 vote, but sees rising inflation risks from higher energy prices and the Middle East conflict.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that the Bank of England (BoE) kept Bank Rate at 3.75% but signaled a low bar for further tightening. Governor Bailey warned policy may have to tighten if Middle East conflict-driven second-round effects emerge.
Nomura’s European Economics team, led by Josie Anderson, George Buckley and Andrzej Szczepaniak, expects the Swiss National Bank to keep its policy rate at 0.00% at the September 2026 meeting.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 196K for the week ending September 12.
Danske Research Team expects the Bank of Japan to raise its policy rate to 1.25%, a move they say is largely priced in as market expectations tightened in recent weeks.
Commerzbank’s FX Research team, including Charlie Lay and colleagues, highlight a hawkish shift from the Federal Reserve as it raised the Fed funds target range by 25bp to 3.75–4.00%. The updated dot plot points to another hike this year and higher rates through 2028.
Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney stressed on Thursday that Canada intends to remain a reliable international partner while strengthening its economic and technological sovereignty.
EUR/CAD appreciates after posting modest losses in the previous day, trading around 1.6050 during the European hours on Thursday. The currency cross holds its ground, driven by a stronger Euro (EUR) following the release of the Eurozone Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for August.