News

New Zealand Dollar advances as RBNZ hike weighs on AUD/NZD

AUD/NZD declines after three days of gains, trading around 1.2170 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. The currency cross falls nearly 0.25% as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) gains ground following the release of the interest rate decision by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ).

Source  Fxstreet1783477813

New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision in line with expectations (2.5%)

Source  Fxstreet1783476007
RBA’s Hunter: Board will intervene as necessary to bring inflation back to target

Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Sarah Hunter said on Wednesday that the central bank will act as needed to bring inflation back to target, even as the recent oil shock has yet to produce a marked slowdown in economic activity.

Source  Fxstreet1783472996

Japan Trade Balance - BOP Basis down to ¥6.9B in May from previous ¥395.7B

Source  Fxstreet1783469507

Japan Bank Lending (YoY) came in at 5.7%, below expectations (5.8%) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783468202

Japan Current Account n.s.a. came in at ¥3.968B below forecasts (¥4121.3B) in May

Source  Fxstreet1783468202

Colombia Consumer Price Index (MoM) above expectations (0.35%) in June: Actual (0.39%)

Source  Fxstreet1783465238

Colombia Consumer Price Index (YoY) above forecasts (6.09%) in June: Actual (6.14%)

Source  Fxstreet1783465238

South Korea Current Account Balance: 38.61B (May) vs 28.29B

Source  Fxstreet1783465201
Chinese Yuan: Range trade holds with modest downside against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that the US Dollar against the Chinese Yuan has stayed within the previously flagged range, with only modest upward momentum despite a push toward 6.8000.

Source  Fxstreet1783463520
South Korea: Tech-led strain and shifting flows – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that institutional investors are exiting South Korean equities, contributing to the KOSPI’s brief bear-market move, while retail buyers still support the market.

Source  Fxstreet1783461120
Tehran Markets Its Hormuz Attacks as Customer Service; Washington Responds in Ordnance

Iran's Foreign Ministry spent Tuesday insisting it is diligently fulfilling its Strait of Hormuz commitments under the memorandum signed at Versailles, hours after projectiles struck a Qatari liquefied natural gas carrier and a Saudi tanker inside the waterway it claims to be safeguarding.

Source  Fxstreet1783459516
Singapore Dollar: Upside risk stays contained against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD closed almost unchanged near 1.2924, but short-term momentum has turned slightly lower.

Source  Fxstreet1783459020
RBNZ set to raise interest rate in potential déjà vu of May’s knife-edge decision

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) from 2.25% to 2.50% on Wednesday, snapping a three-consecutive-meeting pause. 

Source  Fxstreet1783458900
China: Deflation channel for Euro area prices – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas highlights how cheaper imports from China are exerting a deflationary influence on Euro area prices.

Source  Fxstreet1783456320
Vietnam: Supportive stance as inflation risks recede – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chua Han Teng expects the State Bank of Vietnam to keep its refinancing rate at 4.50% through end-2026. The report highlights a broadly stable Vietnamese Dong against the US Dollar, easing headline inflation, and strong GDP growth.

Source  Fxstreet1783453740
Chinese Yuan: PBoC strengthens Hong Kong hub and links – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu reports that the People's Bank of China (PBoC) expanded the Renminbi (RMB) Business Facility and Southbound Bond Connect quotas, boosting Hong Kong’s role as the main offshore yuan hub.

Source  Fxstreet1783450980
Singapore Dollar: Range consolidation holds against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights that USD/SGD has been stable around 1.2920, with SGD NEER estimated at roughly +0.8% above its mid-point. The pair has traded within a 1.29–1.30 range for a month and Lay expects near-term consolidation.

Source  Fxstreet1783448760
Indonesia: Deficit seen contained – UOB

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen assess Indonesia’s fiscal metrics, noting a primary surplus in May despite rapid expenditure growth.

Source  Fxstreet1783446016

United States 3-Year Note Auction down to 4.179% from previous 4.192%

Source  Fxstreet1783443807
Germany: Factory recovery prospects – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that German industrial output rose 0.9% in May versus April, leaving April–May production slightly above the first-quarter average.

Source  Fxstreet1783441680
Canada: Trade surplus widens as investment rises – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economists Abbey Xu and Nathan Janzen note that Canada’s merchandise trade surplus increased to $4.2 billion in May from $3.4 billion in April, as exports grew and imports slipped.

Source  Fxstreet1783439280

United States 52-Week Bill Auction increased to 3.86% from previous 3.75%

Source  Fxstreet1783438357
NY Fed Consumer Inflation Expectations jumped despite gas relief

The New York Fed Survey of Consumer Expectations shows that Americans are growing worried about the high cost of living, as one-year inflation expectations rose from 3.5% in May to 3.7% in June, the highest level since September 2023.

Source  Fxstreet1783437982

New Zealand GDT Price Index declined to -4.9% from previous -2.8%

Source  Fxstreet1783437662
National Bank of Poland: Wait-and-see stance holds – ING

ING economists Rafal Benecki and Adam Antoniak expect the National Bank of Poland (NBP) to keep interest rates unchanged at 3.75% on 9 July and through year-end, with hikes ruled out and cuts seen as unlikely in the near term.

Source  Fxstreet1783437053

Turkey Treasury Cash Balance up to 50.759B in June from previous -128.35B

Source  Fxstreet1783434712
Euro: ECB cautious as euro area outlook stays fragile – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu cites European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Fabio Panetta, who describes a fragile Euro area outlook with upside inflation risks and downside growth risks.

Source  Fxstreet1783434476

United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) came in at 45.5, above forecasts (45) in July

Source  Fxstreet1783432807

Canada Ivey Purchasing Managers Index s.a below expectations (59.1) in June: Actual (56.2)

Source  Fxstreet1783432801
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