News

British Pound: Neutral stance against US Dollar with carry support – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the Pound (GBP) remains resilient to local political developments and fiscal risks, supported by foreign inflows into gilts and the Bank of England’s (BoE) reluctance to ease policy amid resilient growth and disinflation.

Source  Fxstreet1782821338
Germany annual CPI inflation softens to 2.3% in June vs. 2.5% expected

Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), softened to 2.3% in June's flash estimate from 2.6% in May. This print came in below the market expectation of 2.5%. On a monthly basis, the CPI declined 0.3% following the 0.2% decrease recorded in May.

Source  Fxstreet1782821057

South Africa Trade Balance (in Rands) down to -1.79B in May from previous 15.16B

Source  Fxstreet1782820840
Danish Krone: Nationalbanken tolerance for weaker krone – Nordea

Nordea strategists examine EUR/DKK trading at its weakest level since the Euro’s introduction and argues Nationalbanken may have quietly shifted its de facto intervention band.

Source  Fxstreet1782814076

Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) came in at 0% below forecasts (0.1%) in June

Source  Fxstreet1782810051

Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (3.1%) in June: Actual (3%)

Source  Fxstreet1782810049

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) meets expectations (3.1%) in June

Source  Fxstreet1782810048

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) fell from previous 0.3% to 0.1% in June

Source  Fxstreet1782810048

Greece Producer Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 12.8% to 13.5% in May

Source  Fxstreet1782809991

Greece Retail Sales (YoY): -0.1% (April) vs previous 3%

Source  Fxstreet1782809991
Canada: Growth drag and steady BoC – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Taylor Schleich and Vy Le highlight that Canada’s 2026 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) forecast has been cut to 0.7%, leaving the economy lagging U.S. growth above 2%.

Source  Fxstreet1782809066
India: Capital flows supported by RBI and government – DBS

DBS economist Radhika Rao details India’s capital account challenges, citing weakening capital flows, softer foreign portfolio inflows and narrower net Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) that pushed the balance of payments into deficit in FY26.

Source  Fxstreet1782807868
BoJ’s Sato: De-escalation of Middle East conflict is welcome move, uncertainty remains

Japanese Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi's administration newly appointed Bank of Japan (BoJ) board member, Ayano Sato, said in his scheduled press conference during the European trading session on Tuesday that the de-escalation of the Middle East conflict is welcome news for the economy, but unc

Source  Fxstreet1782807847
United Kingdom: Devolution vision and economic trade-offs – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered Bank’s Chief Economist for Europe and UK, Christopher Graham, reviews Andy Burnham’s plan to make devolution a central pillar of his premiership.

Source  Fxstreet1782807353

Spain Current Account Balance declined to €1.88B in April from previous €4.61B

Source  Fxstreet1782806721

Italy Producer Price Index (YoY) increased to 7.3% in May from previous 6.8%

Source  Fxstreet1782806467

Italy Producer Price Index (MoM) dipped from previous 0.3% to -0.2% in May

Source  Fxstreet1782806467
Euro: Sintra seen validating hike expectations – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole writes that European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde’s opening remarks in Sintra were measured and do not signal a radical shift in policy communication.

Source  Fxstreet1782805903
ECB’s Sleijpen: Energy price retreat will have an impact on inflation

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Dutch central bank chief Olaf Sleijpen said in the European trade on Tuesday that the falling energy prices after easing Middle East tensions would cool down Eurozone inflationary pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1782805829
Euro drops against Canadian Dollar despite stronger German Retail Sales

EUR/CAD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 1.6220 during the early European hours on Tuesday. The currency cross remains subdued as the Euro (EUR) holds losses following the release of German Retail Sales data.

Source  Fxstreet1782805396
ECB’s Wunsch: We might need another hike

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and the head of Belgium's central bank, Pierre Wunsch, said in the European trade on Tuesday that inflationary pressures in the Eurozone economy could stay above the 2% target for some quarters, adding that the central bank might need to deliver another intere

Source  Fxstreet1782804859
Reserve Bank of Australia: Policy restrictive as growth slows – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha notes that three Reserve Bank of Australia cash rate hikes this year have tightened domestic financial conditions, with activity slowing broadly in line with Bank expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1782804724
ECB’s Nagel: Middle East situation is still very opaque

European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council Member and President of the Deutsche Bundesbank, Joachim Nagel, said during the European trading session on Tuesday that inflation risks in the Eurozone have not vanished, citing that the Middle East situation is still “very opaque”.

Source  Fxstreet1782803860

Turkey Trade Balance came in at -5.61B below forecasts (-5.6B) in May

Source  Fxstreet1782802925

Austria Producer Price Index (MoM) declined to 0.5% in May from previous 0.9%

Source  Fxstreet1782802843

Austria Producer Price Index (YoY): 2.8% (May) vs 1.9%

Source  Fxstreet1782802843
Fed: Flexible reserve management purchases and balance sheet risks – BNY

BNY Markets’ John Velis and David Tam discuss Federal Reserve reserve management purchases (RMPs), noting that new qualifying language suggests the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) is more comfortable with system reserves and may adjust RMPs more flexibly.

Source  Fxstreet1782802295

France Consumer Spending (MoM) came in at 0.5%, above expectations (0.2%) in May

Source  Fxstreet1782801901
Equities: Tech-led rebound into quarter-end – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank strategists note a solid risk-on tone in US equities as a recovery in technology stocks lifted the broader market. The Magnificent 7 outperformed, helping the S&P 500 to snap a five-day losing streak and putting it on the verge of its best quarterly performance in six years.

Source  Fxstreet1782801760
Euro holds losses against British Pound despite stronger Germanys’ Retail Sales data

The EUR/GBP cross trades in negative territory around 0.8605 during the early European trading hours on Tuesday. The Euro (EUR) remains weak against the British Pound (GBP) despite the upbeat Germany’s Retail Sales data.

Source  Fxstreet1782801691
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