News

Singapore: Resilient GDP and strong NODX – DBS

DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji forecast Singapore’s advance 2Q26 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 5.8% year-on-year and 1.5% quarter-on-quarter seasonally adjusted, slightly below 1Q26 but still resilient.

Source  Fxstreet1783719060
Taiwan Dollar: CBC inflation risks support against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s report on Taiwan notes that stronger inflation, with core CPI at 2.5%, is likely to push the CBC towards a more hawkish stance, including a possible 12.5 bp hike in H2.

Source  Fxstreet1783716660
South Korean Won: Rate hike support from exports and inflation – DBS

DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji expect the Bank of Korea (BoK) to raise its base rate to 2.75% from 2.50% in July, citing persistent CPI inflation above 3% and resilient growth.

Source  Fxstreet1783714020

Eurozone CFTC EUR NC Net Positions dipped from previous €1.1K to €-16.2K

Source  Fxstreet1783712022

United States CFTC S&P 500 NC Net Positions fell from previous $-37.6K to $-42.9K

Source  Fxstreet1783712015

United States CFTC Gold NC Net Positions: $194.2K vs $194K

Source  Fxstreet1783712009

United States CFTC Oil NC Net Positions: 75.7K vs previous 110.5K

Source  Fxstreet1783712003

Australia CFTC AUD NC Net Positions down to $-24.7K from previous $-17.7K

Source  Fxstreet1783711997

United Kingdom CFTC GBP NC Net Positions climbed from previous £-102.1K to £-87.9K

Source  Fxstreet1783711872

Japan CFTC JPY NC Net Positions up to ¥-123.8K from previous ¥-155.1K

Source  Fxstreet1783711864
Malaysian Ringgit: Range-bound outlook holds against US Dollar – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) kept the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) at 2.75% and expects it to stay on hold through 2026, with domestic fundamentals described as broadly supportive.

Source  Fxstreet1783711339
Chinese Yuan: Reflation gap weighs against US Dollar – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts highlight that China’s June Consumer Price Index (CPI) slowed to 1.0% year-on-year while Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 4.1%, widening the PPI-CPI gap and squeezing downstream margins.

Source  Fxstreet1783709303
Federal Reserve: Monetary policy report cites “high inflation” due to tariffs

The Federal Reserve released its monetary policy report, in which the US central bank acknowledged that inflation remains elevated and that the labour market is broadly stable, a signal that the price stability goal hasn’t been achieved.

Source  Fxstreet1783700589
Singapore Dollar: Range-bound trade outlook against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD remains range-bound, with intraday action expected between 1.2905 and 1.2940 as recent price moves provided no fresh directional clues.

Source  Fxstreet1783698720
European Central Bank: One more hike base case as data soften – OCBC

OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that the European Central Bank's (ECB) June minutes justified the latest rate hike while keeping flexibility on future moves. Since then, Oil prices have fallen sharply and June Consumer Price Index (CPI) surprised on the downside.

Source  Fxstreet1783695850
China: Growth slowdown with uneven momentum – DBS

DBS economists Radhika Rao and Mo Ji project China’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to slow from 5.0% year-on-year in Q1 to 4.8% in Q2.

Source  Fxstreet1783694592
Canada: Labour market steadying with modest improvement – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen notes that Canadian labour markets showed further signs of stabilisation in June, following a stronger improvement in May. Employment rose modestly, while per-worker conditions improved and the unemployment rate edged down to 6.5%.

Source  Fxstreet1783693196
India: Inflation risks stay skewed higher – ING

ING economists Deepali Bhargava and Lynn Song project India’s consumer inflation to edge up to 4.2% year-on-year in June, while wholesale inflation moderates to 9%.

Source  Fxstreet1783691812
Mexico: Softer CPI backs dovish Banxico case – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts Dev Ashish and Brendan McKenna note that Mexico’s June inflation data surprised to the downside, with headline and core measures moving close to Banxico’s target range.

Source  Fxstreet1783690715
Qatar launches mediation effort with Iran to ease tensions over Strait of Hormuz

Qatar has dispatched negotiators to Iran for meetings with Iranian officials in a renewed diplomatic effort to de-escalate tensions and create conditions for broader negotiations to continue, according to a Reuters report citing a source familiar with the matter.

Source  Fxstreet1783690168
New Zealand Dollar: Constructive outlook faces yield constraints – OCBC

OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) outperformed after stronger manufacturing data and hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) commentary reinforced expectations for further tightening.

Source  Fxstreet1783689626
Canada: Stable card trends support cautious optimism – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts Abbey Xu and Rachel Battaglia report that June spending by RBC Canadian cardholders remained relatively stable, with core retail sales up modestly. Discretionary goods led gains, while essential spending including gasoline also contributed.

Source  Fxstreet1783687981
Equities: AI Boom risks and resilience – Commerzbank

Commerzbank economists Dr. Jörg Krämer and Bernd Weidensteiner argue that the AI-driven investment surge in US high-tech and IT is substantial but not yet excessive compared with past booms.

Source  Fxstreet1783686883

Canada Net Change in Employment came in at 18.2K, above forecasts (10K) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783686603

Canada Unemployment Rate came in at 6.5%, below expectations (6.6%) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783686602

Canada Building Permits (MoM) climbed from previous -7.6% to -1.7% in May

Source  Fxstreet1783686601

Canada Participation Rate remains unchanged at 65% in June

Source  Fxstreet1783686601
United States: New methodology trims Core PCE inflation – Wells Fargo

Wells Fargo economists Tom Porcelli and Sarah House discuss upcoming BEA changes to the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index that will affect data from 2021 onward.

Source  Fxstreet1783685829

Mexico Industrial Output (YoY) came in at -0.7%, below expectations (-0.1%) in May

Source  Fxstreet1783684804
Canadian Dollar: Labour data seen softening – TD Securities

TD Macro Research expects the Canadian labour market to soften in June, with employment unchanged versus market expectations for a 10k gain after May’s 87.8k surge.

Source  Fxstreet1783684181
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