News

Fed: Patience and data-driven cuts – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir argue that the Federal Reserve will stay on hold near term as the Iran conflict and mixed US labor data keep uncertainty elevated.

Source  Fxstreet1773067683
JPY: Volatility shock could spur rebound – MUFG

MUFG strategists Derek Halpenny, Lee Hardman and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart note that the Japanese Yen has not yet benefited from the latest volatility spike, with the BoJ’s trade‑weighted JPY index near year‑to‑date lows.

Source  Fxstreet1773065620
Oil: Geopolitics, growth risks and rotation – HSBC

HSBC Asset Management discusses how recent geopolitical tensions have driven Oil higher and raised market volatility.

Source  Fxstreet1773063750
Fed: Weak NFP complicates response to Oil shock – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lee Hardman highlights that February nonfarm payrolls fell by 92k, reversing January’s gains and underscoring a still-weak underlying US labour trend.

Source  Fxstreet1773062263
Germany: Industry stuck in sideways pattern – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that German industry remains weak, with January industrial orders dropping sharply after earlier distortions from big ticket defense and public-sector contracts.

Source  Fxstreet1773060074

Mexico Core Inflation registered at 0.46%, below expectations (0.47%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773057605

Mexico Headline Inflation registered at 0.5% above expectations (0.43%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773057604

Mexico 12-Month Inflation registered at 4.02% above expectations (3.94%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773057604
Non-Farm Payrolls Miss, Oil Prices Surge. Fed Mired in Dilemma of Rising Inflation and Soaring Unemployment.

TradingKey - US non-farm payrolls saw a net decrease of 92,000 in February, far below expectations and marking the second monthly contraction since 2020. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate rose to 4.4%.

Source  Tradingkey1773052157
UK PM Starmer: Longer this conflict more likely the potential economic impact

United Kingdom (UK) Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer said during European trading hours on Monday that the administration is in continuous talks with international partners about what more we can do to reduce the economic impact amid the ongoing war in the Middle East between the United States (US),

Source  Fxstreet1773051804
BoE: Policy options under energy shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank's Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja outlines how the Bank of England and UK Government might respond to different energy-shock paths.

Source  Fxstreet1773050051
BoC: Flexible path for cuts as inflation hovers near target – NBC

National Bank of Canada (BoC) economists Alexandra Ducharme and Jocelyn Paquet interpret recent Bank of Canada communication as favouring policy flexibility in response to supply shocks.

Source  Fxstreet1773048752

Singapore Foreign Reserves (MoM) down to 416.1B in February from previous 417B

Source  Fxstreet1773046868
US: Payrolls slide and participation drop – UOB

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research notes a major setback in the US jobs market in February, as Non-farm payrolls fell 92,000, the largest drop since October 2025.

Source  Fxstreet1773046789
Weak Payrolls and Surging Oil: Which Way Will the Fed’s Policy Balance Tilt?

TradingKey - The Federal Reserve is caught in a policy dilemma: on one hand, there is the immediate pressure of a cooling labor market, and on the other, the inflationary risks posed by surging energy

Source  Tradingkey1773045111

Austria Trade Balance dipped from previous €-352M to €-1301M in December

Source  Fxstreet1773044041
US: Double inflation data test for Fed – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank's Jim Reid and colleagues expect a firmer US headline CPI than core in February, driven by higher energy prices, with year-on-year headline inflation near 2.4% and core edging slightly lower.

Source  Fxstreet1773043181

Germany Factory Orders n.s.a. (YoY) declined to 3.7% in January from previous 13%

Source  Fxstreet1773039853

Germany Factory Orders s.a. (MoM) dipped from previous 7.8% to -11.1% in January

Source  Fxstreet1773039842

Germany Industrial Production n.s.a. w.d.a. (YoY): -1.2% (January) vs previous -0.6%

Source  Fxstreet1773039695

Germany Industrial Production s.a. (MoM) below forecasts (0.9%) in January: Actual (-0.5%)

Source  Fxstreet1773039689
CHF: Limited SNB tools keep franc strong – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister notes that the Swiss Franc has reached a new all-time high just below 0.90 against the Euro despite repeated Swiss National Bank warnings about possible FX intervention.

Source  Fxstreet1773038849
USD: Relative insulation from commodity turmoil – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Global Strategist Michael Every argues the US and broader Americas are relatively shielded from the latest commodity and Oil shock due to energy and commodity self-sufficiency.

Source  Fxstreet1773038020
Japan’s Takaichi: Difficult to say now how Middle East conflict might affect Japan's economy

Japan Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi said on Monday that it’s hard to say how the conflict in the Middle East could affect Japan's economy.

Source  Fxstreet1773034506

Japan Leading Economic Index registered at 112.4, below expectations (113.2) in January

Source  Fxstreet1773032490

Japan Coincident Index climbed from previous 114.3 to 116.8 in January

Source  Fxstreet1773032468
IMF’s Georgieva: We are seeing resilience tested again by new conflict in the Middle East

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva said on Monday that we are seeing resilience tested again by new conflict in the Middle East. Georgieva further stated that if the conflict is prolonged, it could potentially affect market sentiment, growth, and inflation. 

Source  Fxstreet1773031193

China Producer Price Index (YoY) came in at -0.9%, above expectations (-1.1%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773019819

China Consumer Price Index (MoM) increased to 1% in February from previous 0.2%

Source  Fxstreet1773019819

China Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 1.3%, above forecasts (0.8%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1773019817
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