United States (US) President Donald Trump said on Thursday that he has canceled planned military strikes against Iran as negotiators are close to reach an agreement on the final elements of a deal." The documents are pretty final shape, so we'll see," he said during an event at the Oval Office.
Commerzbank analysts report that USD/CNY is trading near 6.78, with their model implying a slightly stronger PBoC fixing versus the previous day. The Yuan is being influenced by China’s decision to tap domestic oil reserves rather than bid aggressively in global markets.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann keep a mildly positive stance on USD/SGD, looking for a test of 1.2900 in the near term while seeing 1.2915 as a tougher hurdle. On a 1–3 week horizon, they maintain that gains remain intact as long as 1.2830 holds.
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding assess China’s May data as showing solid production but softer demand. They expect Industrial Production growth to partially recover from April’s slump, supported by strong exports and high-tech manufacturing.
Commerzbank highlights that South Korean authorities have intensified FX monitoring to stabilize the Korean Won, including more frequent reviews of banks’ FX positions and joint inspections with the Bank of Korea. USD/KRW is consolidating around 1,520 after touching its highest level since 2009.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan argues that the Thai Baht is particularly exposed to prolonged Middle East conflict and elevated Oil prices. Thailand’s large net Oil and gas deficit, weakening terms of trade and relatively low domestic yields undermine the currency’s appeal.
United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann keep a neutral stance on USD/CNH, expecting intraday consolidation between 6.7760 and 6.7880 after recent directionless trading. On a 1–3 week horizon, the pair is seen holding a broader 6.7620–6.7980 range.
Commerzbank notes that USD/TWD has risen for five consecutive sessions to 31.68, driven by foreign equity outflows as global tech stocks correct. Taiwan’s exports and imports are surging on AI-related demand, while CPI has moved above the central bank’s 2% target.
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding argue that higher Oil and AI-related goods prices have lifted China’s import prices and PPI, ending a multi-year deflation spell.
ING’s Min Joo Kang expects the Bank of Japan to deliver a 25bp rate hike in June, supported by resilient growth, negative real rates and upside inflation risks. Despite soft May inflation, underlying pressures and firm wages justify further normalisation.
Nomura analysts Josie Anderson, George Buckley, Andrzej Szczepaniak and David Seif expect the SNB to keep its policy rate at 0.00% at the 18 June meeting. They highlight low Swiss inflation, mixed activity data and ongoing Iran war uncertainty.
ING’s James Smith highlights a softer UK backdrop than in 2022, with vacancies falling, unemployment rising and wage growth slowing, while firms and workers have limited pricing and bargaining power. He judges that the Bank of England (BoE) is torn between a prolonged pause and a symbolic move.
Nordea’s Jan von Gerich and Tuuli Koivu note that the European Central Bank (ECB) raised rates by 25bp and signalled readiness to tighten further as inflation stays above target.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points at the June policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Deutsche Bank’s Sanjay Raja expects UK headline CPI to edge up to 3.01% year-on-year in May, with core CPI at 2.72% and Services CPI at 3.65%. The bank projects CPI to average 3.1% this year before easing to 2.6% next year and 2.3% in 2028, with risks to inflation seen skewed to the upside.
TD Securities’ Prashant Newnaha and Howard Du argue recent weak Australian data and Federal Budget tax changes should keep the RBA cash rate at 4.35% next week and likely on hold for longer.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points at the June policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points at the June policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.
TradingKey - Data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics on Thursday showed that the U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) rose 1.1% month-over-month in May, matching the increase in April and exce
ING’s Warren Patterson notes that weaker Chinese crude imports and strong US exports have temporarily eased pressure on Oil, but he stresses these supports are not sustainable. China’s May 2026 crude imports fell sharply, while higher US exports are being drawn from inventories.
Nomura’s European economics team expects the SNB to keep emphasising an elevated willingness to intervene in FX markets, despite recent CHF depreciation against EUR.
Producer inflation in the United States (US) as measured by the change in the Producer Price Index (PPI), climbed to its highest level since November 2022 at 6.5% in May, from 5.7% in April, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported on Thursday.