News

Australia Building Permits (YoY): 14% (February) vs -15.7%

Source  Fxstreet1775003516

Australia Building Permits (MoM) came in at 29.7%, above expectations (6.5%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1775003402

South Korea S&P Global Manufacturing PMI increased to 52.6 in March from previous 51.1

Source  Fxstreet1775003401

Japan Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI came in at 51.6, above forecasts (51.4) in March

Source  Fxstreet1775003401

Ireland AIB Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 53.1 to 53.7 in March

Source  Fxstreet1775001661

Japan Tankan Non - Manufacturing Outlook came in at 29, above forecasts (28) in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1775001208

Japan Tankan Non - Manufacturing Index above expectations (33) in 1Q: Actual (36)

Source  Fxstreet1775001004

Japan Tankan Large All Industry Capex fell from previous 12.6% to 3.3% in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1775001004

Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Outlook came in at 14, above forecasts (13) in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1775001003

Japan Tankan Large Manufacturing Index registered at 17 above expectations (16) in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1775001002
China: PMI rebound seen as fragile without support – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Global Strategy Team reports that China’s March PMIs moved back into expansion, with Manufacturing and Non-manufacturing both beating expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1774999140
USD/IDR: Upside risks with BI liquidity tools – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight USD/IDR grinding higher toward 17,000 on firm Dollar, risk-off sentiment and Oil-related terms-of-trade pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1774997520
MYR: Policy stance steady with data watch – UOB

UOB notes that the central bank of Malaysia, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) is expected to keep the Overnight Policy Rate at 2.75% through early 2027.

Source  Fxstreet1774995960

Australia S&P Global Manufacturing PMI below expectations (50.1) in March: Actual (49.8)

Source  Fxstreet1774995863
USD/TWD: Consolidation bias holds near 32 – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note USD/TWD has risen nearly 2.5% this month but remains more contained than other Asian FX such as KRW, THB and MYR.

Source  Fxstreet1774992180
Asian FX: Growth risks rise with energy shock – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan highlights that higher Oil prices and potential energy shortages are increasingly weighing on Asian FX.

Source  Fxstreet1774990140
Malaysia: Inflation pressures contained with policy support – UOB

UOB reports that the central bank of Malaysia, Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) expects 2026 headline inflation to average 1.5%-2.5%, with core inflation at 1.8%-2.3%.

Source  Fxstreet1774988640
Forex Today: US Dollar weakens, stocks rise on Iran peace hopes

The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell to near the 100.00 region on Tuesday, holding a weak tone as the US Dollar (USD) lost its safe-haven demand amid growing hopes of a de-escalation of the war in the Middle East.

Source  Fxstreet1774986758
Taiwan: Higher energy costs reshape outlook – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Senior Economist Tommy Wu revises Taiwan’s 2026 macro outlook as higher Oil and LNG prices from Middle East tensions lift import costs. The bank now sees CPI inflation at 2.1% instead of 1.5%, and trims GDP growth to 7.6% from 8.0%.

Source  Fxstreet1774986660
China: PMI expansion masks risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao notes that China’s March PMIs show manufacturing back in expansion, supported by restocking, government spending and resilient exports, while non-manufacturing also edges above 50.

Source  Fxstreet1774985040
Colombia: Oil‑supported recovery with tighter BanRep – Societe Generale

According to Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish, higher Oil prices improve Colombia’s outlook, with growth expected to move back toward potential in 2026–27. Inflation expectations are stabilizing, though Oil passthrough could generate temporary upside.

Source  Fxstreet1774983360
Canada: Growth rebound faces policy headwinds – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) economists Matthieu Arseneau and Alexandra Ducharme say Canada’s real GDP started 2026 on a firmer footing, with January growth beating expectations and preliminary data pointing to a solid Q1 gain.

Source  Fxstreet1774981560
Fed’s Schmid: Can't assume inflation from higher oil prices will be transitory

Jeffrey Schmid, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Kansas City, said that inflation is the more salient risk for the Fed. Adding that there is a real risk inflation will get stuck closer to 3% in remarks prepared for delivery to the Rotary Club of Oklahoma City on Tuesday.

Source  Fxstreet1774981345
Hungary: Wage surge masks softening labour outlook – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya note that Hungary’s January wage data are heavily distorted by a one-off bonus to military and law enforcement staff, leaving underlying wage growth much lower than the headline figure.

Source  Fxstreet1774979640
Euro area: Energy shock limits ECB hikes – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Vincent Stamer notes Euro area inflation rose to 2.5% in March, driven entirely by higher energy prices linked to the Iran War, while core inflation slipped to 2.3%.

Source  Fxstreet1774977924
US CB Consumer Confidence Index rose to 91.8 in March

US consumer sentiment picked up marginal pace in March, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index ticked a tad higher to 91.8 from February’s 91.0 (revised from 91.2).

Source  Fxstreet1774971315
USD/CAD: Upside focus on 1.40 target – TD Securities

TD Securities analysts note that USD/CAD has been resilient despite stronger Canadian GDP data, as month-end and quarter-end Dollar demand offsets other forces. The pair has broken above its mid-January highs and they now highlights 1.40 as the next key level.

Source  Fxstreet1774969443
Iran IRGC: Will target US companies in region as of April 1

Iran's state media reported on Tuesday that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced that they will target United States (US) companies, including Google, Apple, Intel, Boeing, IBM and Tesla, in the region as of April 1 in retaliation for attacks on Iran.

Source  Fxstreet1774969010
Brazil: Growth to lag trend as policy tightens – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish expects Brazil’s economy to expand below trend in 2026 as tighter policy and a weaker external backdrop weigh on activity. Inflation is seen pressured by higher Oil prices, though soft demand offers some cushion.

Source  Fxstreet1774968931
US CB Consumer Confidence edges higher to 91.8 in March

The consumer sentiment in the United States (US) improved slightly in March, with the Conference Board's Consumer Confidence Index edging higher to 91.8 from 91 in February (revised from 91.2).

Source  Fxstreet1774968742
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