News

Judgment on the Fed's December Rate Cut and 2026 Monetary Policy Trend: Identifying Opportunities in the U.S. Stock Market

1. IntroductionSince U.S. stocks pulled back from their late-October highs, they have staged a rebound after hitting a cyclical low in mid-to-late November. Currently, the S&P 500 has largely recouped

Source  Tradingkey1765422416
Japan’s Kihara says closely watching impact of US financial conditions after Fed rate cut

Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Minoru Kihara said on Thursday that the government will closely monitor the impact on the Japanese economy of United States (US) financial conditions following Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut.

Source  Fxstreet1765420283
Breaking: Australia’s Unemployment Rate stays unchanged at 4.3% in November vs. 4.4% expected

Australia’s Unemployment Rate steadied at 4.3% in November from 4.3% in October according to the official data released by the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) on Thursday. The figure came in below the market consensus of 4.4%.

Source  Fxstreet1765413174

Australia Part-Time Employment up to 35.2K in November from previous -13.1K

Source  Fxstreet1765413149

Australia Participation Rate below expectations (67%) in November: Actual (66.7%)

Source  Fxstreet1765413095

Australia Employment Change s.a. below forecasts (20K) in November: Actual (-21.3K)

Source  Fxstreet1765413064

Australia Unemployment Rate s.a. registered at 4.3%, below expectations (4.4%) in November

Source  Fxstreet1765413054

Australia Full-Time Employment down to -56.5K in November from previous 55.3K

Source  Fxstreet1765413034

United Kingdom RICS Housing Price Balance above forecasts (-21%) in November: Actual (-16%)

Source  Fxstreet1765411307

Japan BSI Large Manufacturing Conditions Index (QoQ) came in at 4.7, above forecasts (4.1) in 4Q

Source  Fxstreet1765410695

Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks declined to ¥96.8B in December 5 from previous ¥655.6B

Source  Fxstreet1765410635

New Zealand Manufacturing Sales increased to 1.1% in 3Q from previous -2.9%

Source  Fxstreet1765403132
FOMC Summary: A split cut and a clear shift toward caution

The Federal Reserve (Fed) went ahead with a 25 basis points rate cut, taking the target range to 3.50–3.75%. But the tone around the decision mattered just as much as the move.

Source  Fxstreet1765403100
Fed projects only 50 bps of additional rate cuts between 2026 and 2027 ; lifts GDP forecasts

The Federal Open Market Committee’s (FOMC) latest dot plot, released on Wednesday, indicates that interest rates will average 3.4% by the end of 2026, in line with the September projection.

Source  Fxstreet1765396279
GBP/USD surges after Fed rate cut, traders focus on Powell's next steps

GBP/USD climbs after the Federal Reserve decided to cut rates as expected on a 9-3 vote split, that witnessed two members voting for holding rates, while Fed Governor Stephen Miran voted for a 50-basis points rate cut. At the time of writing, the pair trades at 1.3350 up 0.46%

Source  Fxstreet1765395114

United States Fed Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (3.75%)

Source  Fxstreet1765393206

United States Monthly Budget Statement registered at $-173B above expectations ($-205B) in November

Source  Fxstreet1765393204
WH Economic Adviser Hassett: Stronger data could support 50 basis point cut

White House Economic Adviser Kevin Hassett stated that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has plenty of room to cut rates later and will likely need to do so again. The front-runner to be the Federal Reserve's next chair said in an interview on Fox News' "America Reports" program on Wednesday.

Source  Fxstreet1765392739
Summary of the BoC event: Economic resilience and data-dependent stance

As widely anticipated, the Bank of Canada (BoC) kept its benchmark interest rate at 2.25% at its event on Wednesday.

Source  Fxstreet1765383814

Canada BoC Interest Rate Decision meets expectations (2.25%)

Source  Fxstreet1765377932
JPY steadies after recent pullback – Scotiabank

The Japanese Yen (JPY) is consolidating above its late-November lows as yield spreads tilt modestly against it.

Source  Fxstreet1765377816

United States Employment Cost Index below expectations (0.9%) in 3Q: Actual (0.8%)

Source  Fxstreet1765373404

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -1.4% to 4.8% in December 5

Source  Fxstreet1765368000

India M3 Money Supply up to 9.9% in November 24 from previous 9.8%

Source  Fxstreet1765366557
ECB’s Lagarde: Monetary policy remains in good shape

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde said in an interview at the Financial Times (FT) Global Boardroom Conference in London during the European trading session on Wednesday that the current monetary policy is in good shape and the central bank will might revise growth projections

Source  Fxstreet1765364967

Portugal Global Trade Balance rose from previous €-8.94B to €-8.458B in October

Source  Fxstreet1765364453

South Africa Retail Sales (YoY) dipped from previous 3.1% to 2.9% in October

Source  Fxstreet1765364441
Federal Reserve expected to cut interest rates as disagreement among officials grows

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will announce its interest rate decision on Wednesday, with markets widely expecting the US central bank to deliver a final 25 bps cut for 2025.

Source  Fxstreet1765364400
USD: China November CPI matches expectations at 0.7% – BBH

China’s November CPI rose to 0.7% y/y, matching consensus, while core inflation held at 1.2% and PPI stayed in deflationary territory, keeping domestic demand weak and supporting the ongoing USD/CNH downtrend, BBH FX analysts report.

Source  Fxstreet1765363634

United Kingdom 10-y Bond Auction climbed from previous 4.608% to 4.613%

Source  Fxstreet1765361907
goTop
quote