News

Argentina Gross Domestic Product (YoY) came in at 2.3%, above expectations (1.7%) in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1782241220
South Korean Won: Weak KRW and hawkish BoK expectations – Commerzbank

Commerzbank highlights strong South Korean export momentum, led by semiconductors and petroleum, but notes that South Korean Won (KRW) remains one of Asia’s weakest currencies versus the Dollar.

Source  Fxstreet1782237240
India: Interim US trade deal and tariff landscape – DBS

DBS economist Radhika Rao reports that India and US are close to formalising an interim trade agreement under a new framework first agreed in February.

Source  Fxstreet1782235260

United States 2-Year Note Auction: 4.189% vs 4.071%

Source  Fxstreet1782234190
Reserve Bank of Australia: Slowing demand supports steady rates – TD Securities

TD Securities strategist Prashant Newnaha notes that softer S&P Australia Flash Composite PMI data, including weaker new orders and moderating price pressures, supports the Reserve Bank of Australia keeping its cash rate unchanged at 4.35% in August.

Source  Fxstreet1782227758
Euro area: PMIs signal weak activity and sticky prices – Nomura

Nomura strategists note Euro area business activity stayed in contraction in June, with the composite PMI at 49.5 despite a small rise.

Source  Fxstreet1782225707
BoE’s Taylor: “We enter this shock with a very weak economy”

Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Alan Taylor said on Tuesday that keeping interest rates on hold for an extended period remains the most appropriate policy response, according to the text of a speech due to be delivered at an event hosted by Barclays and the Center for Economic Policy Research.

Source  Fxstreet1782223365

United States Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index came in at 4 below forecasts (9) in June

Source  Fxstreet1782223233
“Global imbalances are growing and may also be fuelling financial stability risks”: BoC's Macklem

Bank of Canada (BoC) Governor Tiff Macklem said on Tuesday that global imbalances are increasing and may risk financial stability.

Source  Fxstreet1782223051

United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI above expectations (54.8) in June: Actual (55.7)

Source  Fxstreet1782222333

United States S&P Global Composite PMI up to 52.2 in June from previous 51.5

Source  Fxstreet1782222301

United States S&P Global Services PMI came in at 51.3, above forecasts (51) in June

Source  Fxstreet1782222301
Fed: Warsh era keeps markets guessing – NBC

National Bank of Canada (NBC) Economics and Strategy team, led by Taylor Schleich, Ethan Currie and Vy Le, argues that Kevin Warsh’s Federal Reserve (Fed) is deliberately increasing policy ambiguity by stripping out forward guidance.

Source  Fxstreet1782219498

United States Redbook Index (YoY) up to 10% in June 19 from previous 9.4%

Source  Fxstreet1782219300
Euro: Softer PMIs challenge ECB tightening case – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY highlights that Eurozone PMIs remain weak despite a slightly better-than-expected composite reading. Core economies like Germany and France continue to underperform, with German services at a 43‑month low.

Source  Fxstreet1782218829
United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 30.75K

Private-sector hiring in the US has increased in early June. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 30.75K jobs per week in the four weeks ending June 6.

Source  Fxstreet1782217209

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 30.75K (May 30) vs 25.5K

Source  Fxstreet1782216910

Mexico Retail Sales (YoY) up to 4.4% in April from previous 2.9%

Source  Fxstreet1782216005

Mexico Retail Sales (MoM) climbed from previous 0.1% to 0.8% in April

Source  Fxstreet1782216004
US President Trump: Iran agreed to highest level nuclear inspections long into future

In a post published on Truth Social on Tuesday, United States (US) President Donald Trump claimed that Iran has "fully and completely" agreed to highest level nuclear inspections long into the future.

Source  Fxstreet1782214289
Aluminium: Deficit persists despite higher output – ING

ING strategists Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say global Aluminium output is rising, including in China, Europe and Asia ex-China, but the market remains in deficit. They estimate around 3mt of capacity has been lost to Middle East disruptions and is unlikely to return quickly.

Source  Fxstreet1782213652
Hungarian Forint: HUF strength supports easing path – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts expect the Hungarian central bank Magyar Nemzeti Bank (MNB) to cut rates by 25 bps to 6.0%, citing improved sentiment after Peter Magyar’s election victory and an EU-friendly policy stance.

Source  Fxstreet1782213044
Canadian Dollar: BoC patience persists with firmer CPI – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists note that Canadian headline Consumer Price Index (CPI) for May surprised to the upside, driven by energy and seasonal factors, while core measures remained stable near 2%.

Source  Fxstreet1782208842
Iran signals no early nuclear talks as it rules out missile negotiations

Iran reaffirmed its red line on military issues on Tuesday, as markets continue to monitor geopolitical developments in the Middle East.

Source  Fxstreet1782207877
Fed: Warsh era brings quieter guidance – BNY

BNY’s John Velis and David Tam argue that Chair Kevin Warsh is steering Federal Reserve communications toward less forward guidance and a stronger emphasis on price stability.

Source  Fxstreet1782206157
Indian Rupee: Support from flows and policy backdrop – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that India’s 10Y government bond yield has remained confined between 6.90% and 7.05% as domestic and global drivers offset each other.

Source  Fxstreet1782205593
WTI rebounds toward $73.50 as Iran's nuclear program uncertainty prevails

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends losses for the second consecutive day, trading around $73.40 per barrel during the European hours on Tuesday. However, Crude oil prices pare its daily losses over persisting uncertainty surrounding Iran's nuclear program.

Source  Fxstreet1782205476
US S&P Global PMI expected to show steady business growth in June

S&P Global will release the June flash Purchasing Managers' Indices (PMIs) for most major economies, with the United States (US) data scheduled on Tuesday. These surveys of top private-sector executives are seen as an early indicator of the country’s economic health.

Source  Fxstreet1782205200
Brent: Hormuz risk premium fades, forecast steady – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that easing US–Iran tensions have pushed Brent below USD80 as markets price a high probability of normalised Strait of Hormuz flows.

Source  Fxstreet1782204486
United Kingdom flash S&P Global Services PMI unexpectedly arrives lower at 48.7 in June vs. 50.0 estimates

Preliminary United Kingdom flash S&P Global Services Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) declines at a faster pace to 48.7 in June from 49.3 in May. The Services PMI was expected to arrive higher at 50.0, a figure that separates expansion from contraction.

Source  Fxstreet1782203718
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