USD/IDR inches higher after opening at a bearish gap, remaining in negative territory and trading around 18,110 during the Asian hours on Thursday.

The AUD/JPY cross declines to around 113.65 during the early European session on Thursday. The pair currently trades 0.65% lower on the week as the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raising interest rates has fallen.

Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said that officials proposed no ceiling on next year’s budget requests.

NZD/USD extends its gains for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5810 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair climbs higher as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) receives support from a sharp rise in domestic business confidence.

AUD/USD inches higher after two days of losses, trading around 0.6960 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair may face potential downside pressure as the US Dollar (USD) could gain strength following a hawkish interest rate pause by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence climbed from previous 36.6 to 56.1 in July

South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI: 82 (August) vs 79

Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks rose from previous ¥-79.6B to ¥912.1B in July 24

The Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the decision carried a distinctly hawkish edge as three officials voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase.

TradingKey - On July 29 Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve announced its July interest rate decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-to-3 to maintain the target range for the federal

ING analysts Chris Turner and Padhraic Garvey see the Bank of Japan maintaining its tightening bias after June’s move to 1.00%, with most board members viewing Japan’s neutral rate near 2.00%.

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets face a genuinely live Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, with futures implying about a 35% chance of a hike and a hold still the base case.

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as they assess how rising crude Oil prices could impact the inflation outlook.

Michael Pfister of Commerzbank argues that subdued imported inflation and low exchange rate pass-through give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) little reason to tighten policy.

UOB’s SGD NEER model shows the index at 1.68% above the midpoint of the policy band, after ending the previous session 171 basis points above it. The model is expected to remain between 1.40% and 1.90% above the midpoint today, implying a USD/SGD trading range of 1.2898–1.2963.

According to Reuters, United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a phone interview with Fox News on Wednesday that the US would carry out further strikes against Iran in response to attacks targeting US positions in Jordan.

TD Securities strategists note that Australia’s Q2 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and June headline inflation came in below expectations, easing pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad expects the Federal Open Market Committee to keep the federal funds target range unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% for a fifth consecutive meeting.

Commerzbank’s Michael Pfister analyses how the Swiss National Bank’s recent shift toward tolerating a weaker Swiss Franc affects inflation and EUR/CHF.

United States MBA Mortgage Applications down to -6.4% in July 24 from previous 1.9%

According to a Reuters report, Yemen's Houthis are considering imposing fees on commercial ships sailing through the Southern Red Sea. The report also shows that Houthis might exempt China's shipping fleet from any fee system.

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research notes that the Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep the Federal Funds Target Rate at 3.50%-3.75% at the July FOMC meeting.

TD Securities strategists expect the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) Summary of Deliberations to shed light on the July decision, focusing on how policymakers view inflation amid recent energy price moves and Consumer Price Index (CPI) forecast revisions.

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes that weaker-than-expected Australian inflation has sharply reduced market-implied odds of an August RBA rate hike and pushed the AUD lower.

The remarks from European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Governor of the Central Bank of Cyprus, Christodoulos Patsalides, released during the European trading session on Wednesday signal a warning of further acceleration in inflationary pressures if oil prices remain higher.

ING’s Michiel Tukker expects the Federal Reserve (Fed) to keep rates on hold, even as markets price a 30% chance of a hike. He notes that any decision will move United States (US) rates and influence global curves.

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes that the Australian Dollar, a beneficiary of AI-related demand, has weakened after another softer-than-expected Australian Consumer Price Index (CPI) release.

DBS Bank’s Philip Wee notes that Dollar bulls have built substantial long USD positions ahead of the FOMC, encouraged by Brent’s sharp rebound and expectations of a surprise rate hike by Chairman Kevin Warsh.

Deutsche Bank’s US economists expect the Federal Reserve to leave rates unchanged at a highly uncertain FOMC meeting, with markets pricing a significant chance of a hike.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, July 29: