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China’s RatingDog Services PMI eases in June: What 54.1 means for Australian Dollar

China's Services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) declined to 54.1 in June from 54.4 in May, the latest data published by RatingDog showed on Wednesday.  

Source  Fxstreet1783043150

China RatingDog Services PMI fell from previous 54.4 to 54.1 in June

Source  Fxstreet1783043101
Japan's Katayama: Ready to act appropriately on currency fluctuations

Japan’s Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that officials are ready to act appropriately on currency fluctuations. However, Katayama decllined to comment on specific currency levels.

Source  Fxstreet1783041962

Japan Jibun Bank Services PMI came in at 52.2, above expectations (51.8) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783038601

Ireland AIB Services PMI: 54.2 (June) vs 50.8

Source  Fxstreet1783036861

Australia S&P Global Composite PMI came in at 50.4, above expectations (49.8) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783033201

Australia S&P Global Services PMI came in at 50.5, above forecasts (49.9) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783033201

New Zealand ANZ – Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence: 91.3 (June) vs 86.5

Source  Fxstreet1783031587
Chinese Yuan: Renminbi gains weaken undervaluation claims – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that current CNY strength has strategic value as China boosts imports of semiconductors from Japan, South Korea and Taiwan. He notes that renminbi gains versus NA-3 (JPY, KRW ve TWD), USD and EUR weaken any U.S./EU case on Chinese currency undervaluation.

Source  Fxstreet1783030500
Thai Baht: External cushion less generous – UOB

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research highlights that Thailand’s external buffers remain credible, but current-account dynamics have turned less favorable. Apr–May deficits reflect strong imports of energy and capital goods alongside resilient exports, reducing domestic value-added.

Source  Fxstreet1783028220

South Korea FX Reserves climbed from previous 426.99B to 427.36B in June

Source  Fxstreet1783026002
South Korean Won: Semiconductor risk and inflation dynamics – BNY

BNY’s report underscores heavy selling in South Korean semiconductor stocks and warns, via the OECD’s 2026 survey, that Korea’s reliance on chip exports heightens exposure to global tech-cycle swings.

Source  Fxstreet1783025580

Argentina Tax Revenue (MoM) dipped from previous 21513B to 20017B in June

Source  Fxstreet1783023480
Chinese Yuan: PMI resilience but trade risks grow – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay and Dr. Henry Hao report that China’s private manufacturing PMI eased slightly to 51.7 but still delivered the strongest quarter in nearly six years, with official PMIs also beating expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1783023060
Singapore Dollar: Range bias holds near recent lows against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes USD/SGD closed at 1.2960 after a volatile session, with intraday swings between 1.2938 and 1.2975. For the coming day, he expects the pair to stay confined within a narrow 1.2935–1.2975 band.

Source  Fxstreet1783020840
USMCA: Prolonged negotiation cycle, not rupture – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish expects a drawn-out USMCA negotiation process rather than agreement expiry, highlighting comments from Mexican and US officials that downplay irreconcilable differences.

Source  Fxstreet1783018307
Asian FX: Scope for sharp rebound on US pressure – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that clients have largely capitulated on Japanese Yen (JPY) and South Korean Won (KRW) longs as these currencies stay weak versus US Dollar (USD) and Chinese Yuan (CNY).

Source  Fxstreet1783009380
Fed Speaks Out Intensively After Labor Market Cools. Another Official Says Inflation Will Cool Following Warsh’s Speech

TradingKey - On July 2, Eastern Time, following two consecutive unexpectedly weak labor market reports, another Federal Reserve official stated that the current restrictive monetary policy stance will

Source  Tradingkey1783007294
Germany: Reform drive supports growth narrative – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski analyses a new German government reform package focused on cutting red tape, increasing labour market flexibility, and capping healthcare and pension costs to restore competitiveness.

Source  Fxstreet1783007280

United States 4-Week Bill Auction fell from previous 3.61% to 3.605%

Source  Fxstreet1783006361
Federal Reserve: Jobs slowdown supports steady rates – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner notes that weaker US employment data for June and downward revisions to prior months reduce pressure on the Federal Reserve to hike rates at the late-July meeting.

Source  Fxstreet1783005514
Indonesia: Stabilising FX and bonds as oil eases – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that Indonesia’s onshore FX and bond markets have stabilised following a correction in global Oil prices, though gains are modest.

Source  Fxstreet1783003632

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change above expectations (81B) in June 26: Actual (87B)

Source  Fxstreet1783002602
BoE’s Mann: Activist move can bring inflation expectations and outcomes toward 2% target

Bank of England (BoE) policymaker Catherine Mann said on Thursday that an “activist move” may be needed if inflation expectations and outcomes move unfavorably, according to a speech text released by the BoE ahead of an event hosted by French bank Natixis.

Source  Fxstreet1783002593
Thailand: Narrow rebound, steady BoT rate – UOB

UOB economists Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Sathit Talaengsatya see Thailand’s 2Q26 starting stronger than feared, driven by exports and technology-linked investment, but with domestic demand still weak.

Source  Fxstreet1783002430
Central banks: Framework guidance shift reshapes analysis – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Michael Every highlights how Fed Chair Warsh and other major central bankers at Sintra are signalling a structural shift away from traditional forward guidance towards data-driven “framework guidance.” Every stresses that evolving AI, new inflation measures and reduced public tou

Source  Fxstreet1783001322

United States Factory Orders (MoM) came in at -1.3%, above expectations (-1.8%) in May

Source  Fxstreet1783000801
Mexico: USMCA review cycle extends uncertainty – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Dev Ashish argues that the US decision to opt for annual USMCA reviews instead of a 16-year extension prolongs policy uncertainty for Mexico while leaving near-term trade flows intact.

Source  Fxstreet1783000435

Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI up to 53 in June from previous 52.9

Source  Fxstreet1782999002
US Dollar: Softer jobs and inflation outlook weigh on rate expectations – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Bernd Weidensteiner highlights that US nonfarm payrolls rose only 57,000 in June, far below consensus, with prior months revised down by 74,000. Monthly job growth has been slowing and the six-month average is expected to turn lower.

Source  Fxstreet1782998527
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