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ECB: Hawkish hold and June options – Nordea

Nordea’s Chief Analyst Jan von Gerich expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to leave policy rates unchanged at the April meeting while keeping all options open for June. He anticipates a hawkish communication tone that underpins market expectations for a June hike.

Source  Fxstreet1777021433

China FDI - Foreign Direct Investment (YTD) (YoY) declined to -7.3% in March from previous -5.7%

Source  Fxstreet1777021262
Iran warns US an eye for an eye over oil strikes

Iran’s deputy president Esmaeil Saqab Esfahani has warned the United States (US) of “an eye for an eye” over oil strikes, according to the Mehr news agency, The Guardian reported. Esfahani threatened to attack the oil facilities of the countries from whose soil Iranian oil wells will be targeted.

Source  Fxstreet1777020994
AUD/USD: Range trading persists near 0.7130 – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann expect AUD/USD to remain in a consolidation phase after a brief dip to 0.7111 and close around 0.7130.

Source  Fxstreet1777020182
SNB’s Schlegel: Central bank is open to adjust monetary policy and made interventions

Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel said at the SNB's General Meeting during the European trading hours on Friday that the central bank has unrestricted room to maneuver on policy rate and made forex interventions.

Source  Fxstreet1777019721
German IFO Business Climate arrives lower at 84.4 in April vs. 85.5 estimates

German IFO Institute's Business Climate Index deteriorates at a faster-than-expected pace to 84.4 in April. The sentiment data was expected to arrive at 85.5, down from 86.3 in March revised lower from 86.4.

Source  Fxstreet1777017862
Equities: Earnings resilience and oil risk – BNY

BNY’s Bob Savage notes that Q1 S&P 500 earnings are strong but upside versus expectations is modest, with uneven Q2 and full‑year guidance. Sector leadership is concentrated in semiconductors, AI-linked names and parts of energy, while defense lags.

Source  Fxstreet1777017663
USD/RUB: Gradual rise toward 100.0 eyed – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Russian central bank to deliver another 50bp rate cut, though a pause is possible as inflation picks up and global price risks worsen.

Source  Fxstreet1777017036
GBP/USD: Risk building for test of 1.3400 – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann highlight that GBP/USD dropped sharply to 1.3448 before recovering, with momentum still only modestly negative. They see scope for a dip toward 1.3440, though a move to 1.3400 looks unlikely on current intraday momentum.

Source  Fxstreet1777016143
EUR/CHF: Higher Oil seen lifting cross – ING

Chris Turner at ING argues that a regime of higher Oil prices, inflation and tighter global policy would favour EUR/CHF upside. Switzerland’s low fossil-fuel exposure means the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is likely to lag in tightening.

Source  Fxstreet1777014474

France Consumer Confidence registered at 84, below expectations (88) in April

Source  Fxstreet1777013100
Equities: Tech underperforms on software slump – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team says global equities ended slightly lower on generally sour risk sentiment, with the tech sector underperforming due to a sharp drop in software names. Value stocks reversed prior losses and outperformed cyclicals.

Source  Fxstreet1777012590
EUR/USD: Downside risk hinges on 1.1665 break – UOB

United Overseas Bank (UOB) strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note EUR/USD has slipped to a two-week low near 1.1680 as Euro area activity weakens, but short-term downside momentum is slowing. They expect range trading between 1.1665 and 1.1715 intraday.

Source  Fxstreet1777011694
UK Retail Sales jump 0.7% MoM in March vs. 0.2% expected

Retail Sales, a key measure of consumer spending, in the United Kingdom (UK) rebounded 0.7% month-over-month (MoM) in March after declining by a revised 0.6% in February, the latest data published by the Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed on Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1777010495

United Kingdom Retail Sales ex-Fuel (MoM) meets forecasts (0.2%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1777010406

United Kingdom Retail Sales (MoM) came in at 0.7%, above forecasts (0.2%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1777010405

United Kingdom Retail Sales ex-Fuel (YoY) below expectations (2%) in March: Actual (1.7%)

Source  Fxstreet1777010405

United Kingdom Retail Sales (YoY) came in at 1.7%, above forecasts (1.3%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1777010404

Sweden Producer Price Index (MoM) climbed from previous 0.2% to 0.6% in March

Source  Fxstreet1777010404

Sweden Producer Price Index (YoY): 2% (March) vs -1.7%

Source  Fxstreet1777010403
Asian stocks mixed, Nikkei advances as annual inflation remains below BoJ’s 2% target

Asian equity markets mostly declined on Friday as higher oil prices pressured sentiment amid stalled US–Iran peace talks and ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz.

Source  Fxstreet1777008386
Israel UN Envoy: Lebanon ceasefire extension "not 100%"

Israel’s Ambassador to the United Nations (UN), Danny Danon, said in a CNN News interview on Friday that the Lebanon ceasefire extension "not 100%".

Source  Fxstreet1776999761
Japan’s Katayama: Warns of decisive action on speculation

Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama warned that officials are in close contact around the clock with their US counterparts over speculative moves that are keeping the Japanese Yen (JPY) weak. Katayama confirmed that there are no plans to alter Japan's currency swap lines with the US.

Source  Fxstreet1776992059
EUR/CAD remains below 1.1700 due to increased risk aversion

EUR/USD steadies after three days of losses, trading around 1.1690 during the Asian hours on Friday. The pair remains flat as the US Dollar (USD) maintains its position as safe-haven demand increases amid persistent uncertainty surrounding the United States (US)–Iran conflict.

Source  Fxstreet1776991979

Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY) rose from previous 2.7% to 3.1% in March

Source  Fxstreet1776988250

Japan National CPI ex Food, Energy (YoY) fell from previous 2.5% to 2.4% in March

Source  Fxstreet1776987071

Japan National CPI ex Fresh Food (YoY) in line with forecasts (1.8%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1776987002

Japan National Consumer Price Index (YoY): 1.5% (March) vs 1.3%

Source  Fxstreet1776987002

United Kingdom GfK Consumer Confidence came in at -25 below forecasts (-24) in April

Source  Fxstreet1776983324
USD/PHP: BSP hike overshadowed by Oil shock – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad reports that USD/PHP is trading just below its record high as higher crude Oil prices overshadow a hawkish Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) move.

Source  Fxstreet1776983160
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