News

Malaysia Ringgit: BNM hawkish tilt limits downside – Commerzbank

Commerzbank notes USD/MYR has risen to 4.07, marking a fourth consecutive session of Ringgit weakness, weighed by foreign portfolio outflows from Malaysian equities.

Source  Fxstreet1789065737
ECB sources say further tightening remains likely – Reuters

According to Reuters sources, the European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to further tighten monetary policy in the months ahead and could raise rates in October.

Source  Fxstreet1789061890

United States 30-Year Bond Auction rose from previous 5.216% to 5.308%

Source  Fxstreet1789061792
ECB recap: A hawkish hike despite downside growth risks

The European Central Bank (ECB) increased the Deposit Facility Rate to 2.50%, the Refinancing Rate to 2.65% and the Marginal Lending Facility to 2.90%, effective from September 16.

Source  Fxstreet1789060863

United States EIA Gasoline Stocks Change increased to 1.269M in September 3 from previous -1.173M

Source  Fxstreet1789056978
United States: Higher August forecast with methodology shift – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Eli Nir and Oscar Munoz raise their August core PCE forecast after stronger PCE-relevant components in the August PPI report. They now expect core PCE at 0.24% m/m and 3.3% y/y, with headline PCE at 0.33% m/m and 3.8% y/y.

Source  Fxstreet1789051859
European Central Bank: Two more hikes remain the baseline – Nordea

Nordea analysts Jan von Gerich and Tuuli Koivu note that the European Central Bank (ECB) delivered a 25bp rate hike and signalled a bias toward further tightening as its projections show Eurozone inflation above target through 2028.

Source  Fxstreet1789051211

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 40B, above expectations (35B) in September 4

Source  Fxstreet1789050606
Copper: Record prices with real constraints – NBC

National Bank of Canada's (NBC) Kyle Dahms highlights that Copper has reached a fresh nominal record, driven by AI-related data-centre demand, electricity grid expansion, tariff-driven stockpiling and supply disruptions.

Source  Fxstreet1789047817
US August PPI Rose 5.4% YoY, Gold Fell Over 1%, Brent Crude Broke Above $105 as Rate Hike Expectations Rose

TradingKey - On September 10, Eastern Time, data released by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose 0.4% month-over-month in August, match

Source  Tradingkey1789047698
Lagarde speech: Surprised by economic resilience

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points (bps) at the September policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.

Source  Fxstreet1789046647
Lagarde speech: Can't anticipate what will be the next move

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points (bps) at the September policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.

Source  Fxstreet1789046062
Lagarde speech: Inflation to return to target towards end of 2027

Christine Lagarde, President of the European Central Bank (ECB), explains the ECB's decision to raise key rates by 25 basis points (bps) at the September policy meeting and responds to questions from the press.

Source  Fxstreet1789045597
US headline Producer Prices rose by 5.4% in August

US Producer Prices rose 5.4% in August from a year earlier, according to the latest figures from the Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS). The print came in just above estimates (5.3%) and the 4.8% gain recorded in the previous month (revised from 4.7%).

Source  Fxstreet1789044081
Canada: Limited trade shock from new U.S. tariffs – RBC

Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Nathan Janzen assesses that new U.S. tariff retaliation and import bans on selected Canadian products represent a modest escalation in the trade dispute.

Source  Fxstreet1789043967
US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 206K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 206K for the week ending September 5.

Source  Fxstreet1789043616
Norwegian Krone: Softer inflation trims hike odds – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) Elias Haddad notes Norwegian Krone (NOK) underperformance after Norway’s mixed August Consumer Price Index (CPI) data reduced the perceived likelihood of a near-term Norges Bank hike, with September odds falling from 65% to 38%.

Source  Fxstreet1789042443
Polish Zloty: Scope for weakness against Euro as NBP underwhelms – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky reports that the National Bank of Poland left rates at 3.75% and provided limited new guidance, shifting focus to Governor Glapinski’s press conference. With markets already pricing around 85bp of tightening, ING sees a high bar for a hawkish surprise.

Source  Fxstreet1789041069
US Treasury yields hit fresh long-term highs amid surging Oil prices, US Treasury's buybacks

The yield for the 30-year US Treasury note trades above 5.3%, nearing the 2007 high, when Lehman Brothers collapsed. The benchmark US 10-year hit a 4.865% high earlier on Thursday, accumulating a 25 basis point rally in less than two weeks and a whole half point since late June.

Source  Fxstreet1789039450
Czech Koruna: CNB stance leaves room for weakness against Euro – ING

ING’s Frantisek Taborsky notes that the Czech National Bank (CNB) blackout period has started, with Deputy Governor Zamrazilova signalling a preference to keep rates unchanged at next week’s meeting.

Source  Fxstreet1789033344
Euro: Second hike seen as energy clouds outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kenneth Broux expects a second 25bp ECB depo rate hike, stressing that wage dynamics and updated staff forecasts will determine how far tightening goes.

Source  Fxstreet1789031354
Australian Dollar slips against Japanese Yen due to increased risk aversion

AUD/JPY extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 110.70 during European hours on Thursday. The currency cross depreciates as the Australian Dollar (AUD) faces challenges amid escalating Middle East tensions that have weighed heavily on global risk sentiment.

Source  Fxstreet1789029266

Italy Industrial Output s.a. (MoM) came in at 0.7%, above forecasts (0.3%) in July

Source  Fxstreet1789027254

Italy Industrial Output w.d.a (YoY) came in at 0%, above expectations (-0.6%) in July

Source  Fxstreet1789027217
European Central Bank to resume interest rate hikes in September as inflation, energy risks rise

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to raise the interest rate on the Main Refinancing Operations and the Deposit Facility by 25 basis points (bps) to 2.65% and 2.50%, respectively. The ECB will announce the decision on Thursday at 12:15 GMT.

Source  Fxstreet1789027200
European Central Bank: Higher energy lifts rate hike expectations – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank reports that rising Oil and natural gas prices are pushing European yields to multi‑year highs and prompting markets to price a more hawkish European Central Bank path.

Source  Fxstreet1789026020
Indonesian Rupiah faces challenges due to higher oil prices

USD/IDR gains after two days of losses, trading around 17,570 during the early European hours on Thursday. The pair gains upward momentum as the Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) faces pressure from elevated oil prices, which strain fiscal conditions given Indonesia's status as a net oil importer.

Source  Fxstreet1789024635
Equities: Stagflation pattern weighs on stocks – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team reports that global equities fell as higher energy prices, rising bond yields and a smaller-than-hoped US Treasury buyback weighed on sentiment.

Source  Fxstreet1789024291
Brent: Geopolitics keep rally supported – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey note that Brent has broken above $100/bbl for the first time since July, driven by persistent geopolitical risk in the Persian Gulf and limited prospects for de-escalation between the US and Iran.

Source  Fxstreet1789021772
Euro: Firms against US Dollar as ECB hike in focus – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.50%, in line with consensus and market pricing, while President Lagarde is expected to retain full optionality on future moves.

Source  Fxstreet1789020890
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