According to a poll by Reuters, 115 of 117 economists have predicted that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will reduce interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) to 3.75%-4.00% in the monetary policy announcement on October 29.
The National Bank of Hungary (NBH) is widely expected to keep the base rate unchanged at 6.50%, BBH FX analysts report.
US Dollar (USD) could trade in a range, likely between 7.1190 and 7.1300. In the longer run, USD could drop to 7.1130; a clear break below this level will shift the focus to 7.1000, UOB Group's FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Peter Chia note.
USD/CAD is firmer near the top-end of a multi-day 1.4000-1.4080 range. Canada’s September CPI print is up next (1:30pm London, 8:30am New York), BBH FX analysts report.
The US Dollar (USD) is modestly stronger against most major currencies but remains comfortably within the range established since June, as narrowing U.S.–G6 rate differentials curb the potential for further rallies.
Hungary’s National Bank (MNB) will almost certainly leave its base rate unchanged at 6.50% today, leaving the overnight rate corridor unchanged as well. This decision aligns with the widely anticipated policy guidance for a prolonged hold.
Newly appointed Japan’s Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama refuses to comment when asked about whether the Bank of Japan (BoJ) will hike interest rates further.
China’s 3Q25 GDP growth came in within market’s expectation at 4.8% y/y but the increased growth disparities highlight the risk of a sharper slowdown ahead as industrial production and exports cool.
Recently appointed Japan’s Chief Cabinet Secretary Seiji Kihara announces the list of ministers during the European trading hours on Tuesday.
Statistics Canada will publish September’s inflation figures on Tuesday. The numbers will give the Bank of Canada (BoC) a fresh read on price pressure as the central bank weighs its next move on interest rates.
EUR/JPY halts its four-day losing streak, trading around 175.80 during the Asian hours on Tuesday. The currency pair strengthens as the Japanese Yen (JPY) weakens ahead of a parliamentary vote likely to confirm Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s next prime minister.