News

Singapore Dollar: Range bias holds above 1.2890 against US Dollar – UOB

United Overseas Bank’s (UOB) Quek Ser Leang notes that USD/SGD’s mild downward pressure has eased, with the pair expected to stay range-bound. Intraday, the Dollar is seen trading between 1.2920 and 1.2960, while over the next 1–3 weeks UOB projects a broader 1.2890–1.2990 band.

Source  Fxstreet1783623730
British Pound: Recovery tests key resistance against US Dollar – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report the British Pound (GBP) is fractionally higher versus the US Dollar (USD), with sentiment improving after PM Starmer’s resignation announcement.

Source  Fxstreet1783618085

United States 30-Year Bond Auction climbed from previous 5.02% to 5.058%

Source  Fxstreet1783616670
South Korean Won: Asia outperformer on flows and BoK – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists note the Korean Won (KRW) has become Asia’s best performer in early H2, rallying nearly 2.8% as USD/KRW drops from around 1,550 to near 1,500.

Source  Fxstreet1783616399
Chinese Yuan: Forecast band tightened as stability holds against US Dollar – ING

ING's Chief Economist Lynn Song notes that the CNY has been one of the strongest performers in 2026, even against a firm Dollar backdrop.

Source  Fxstreet1783615422

United States 4-Week Bill Auction up to 3.63% from previous 3.605%

Source  Fxstreet1783611147
South Korean Won: Oil-linked range view into BoK meeting – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay argues that elevated South Korean inflation strengthens the case for a 25bp Bank of Korea (BoK) hike to 2.75% on 16 July.

Source  Fxstreet1783610460
European Central Bank: September hike prospects stay firm – Nordea

Nordea’s Jan von Gerich argues that the European Central Bank (ECB) is likely to continue tightening policy, with the outlook heavily dependent on Middle East developments and energy prices.

Source  Fxstreet1783607539

United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change registered at 61B above expectations (60B) in July 3

Source  Fxstreet1783607402
Singapore Dollar: Upside risks building as USD stays firm – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Eugene Leow warns that shorter-term Singapore Dollar (SGD) rates may face upside pressure despite recent flush liquidity. He notes SGD rates have decoupled from USD rates, with spreads stretched, while Fed hike expectations remain sticky and the USD strong.

Source  Fxstreet1783607100
Chinese Yuan: Range consolidation after recent retreat against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang notes that after a prior rise in USD/CNH, upward momentum has now faded, with the pair expected to trade between 6.7950 and 6.8100 in the near term.

Source  Fxstreet1783606448

United States Existing Home Sales (MoM) registered at 4.09M, below expectations (4.2M) in June

Source  Fxstreet1783605601

United States Existing Home Sales Change (MoM) dipped from previous 3.2% to -2.4% in June

Source  Fxstreet1783605600
Fed’s Williams: Inflation is still 'far too high'

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of New York President John Williams said in the Future of Market Liquidity and Functioning Workshop in New York on Thursday that inflation remains “far too high,” while stressing that policymakers are actively debating different inflation scenarios as energy prices, artifi

Source  Fxstreet1783604901
Equities: Growth downgrades and rotation theme – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has trimmed its 2026 global growth forecast to 3.0%, with uneven impacts across energy exporters, tech economies and low-income importers, influencing global equities.

Source  Fxstreet1783604882
United States: Participation drop masks slack – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO’s Rogier Quaedvlieg highlights that US labour-market conditions are weaker than headline unemployment suggests, as rapidly declining participation is holding the rate down.

Source  Fxstreet1783604340
India: Tactical duration opportunity on rates – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Sherilyn Chew notes that renewed geopolitical risk has lifted yields across Asia, but sees Indian G-Secs as offering a tactical opportunity. She argues the India sell-off is mainly macro repricing, with domestic fundamentals and structural demand intact.

Source  Fxstreet1783603741
Fed: Hawkish minutes keep upside rate risks – ING

ING strategists Michiel Tukker and Benjamin Schroeder note that the Federal Reserve’s June minutes confirmed a more hawkish stance despite an unchanged policy rate.

Source  Fxstreet1783602920
US Dollar: Fed minutes flag supply-driven inflation risks – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists highlight that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes showed rising concern over inflation risks, even as the United States (US) labor market remains stable.

Source  Fxstreet1783602254

Russia Central Bank Reserves $ up to $721.7B from previous $715.2B

Source  Fxstreet1783602098
Czech Koruna: CNB alignment may weigh CZK against Euro – BNY

Geoff Yu at BNY Mellon highlights that Czech National Bank policy expectations have risen alongside the ECB, yet the Czech Koruna is sliding on a nominal effective basis.

Source  Fxstreet1783601248
Confirmed: ECB Accounts reveal growing concerns over upside inflation risks

The European Central Bank (ECB) released the accounts of its latest monetary policy meeting on Thursday, revealing growing concern among policymakers over persistent inflationary risks.

Source  Fxstreet1783600768
Fed: Divergent inflation paths shape rate outlook – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Jan Groen notes that the June Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes confirmed a hawkish hold, with the Summary of Economic Projections (SEP) showing an even split between members favoring unchanged or lower rates and those preferring hikes.

Source  Fxstreet1783600661
US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 215K last week

According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance shrank to 215K for the week ending July 4.

Source  Fxstreet1783600476

United States Continuing Jobless Claims remains at 1.814M in June 26

Source  Fxstreet1783600333

United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average fell from previous 222K to 218.75K in July 3

Source  Fxstreet1783600202

United States Initial Jobless Claims below forecasts (218K) in July 3: Actual (215K)

Source  Fxstreet1783600202
New Zealand Dollar: Rate support constrained by Oil drag – OCBC

Christopher Wong highlights that the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) has strengthened after a hawkish Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) rate hike, but higher Oil prices are capping gains.

Source  Fxstreet1783600060
Brent: Supply recovery meets weak China demand – ING

ING’s Warren Patterson notes that Oil prices fell after the US–Iran Memorandum of Understanding allowed Persian Gulf supply to recover faster than expected, while demand lagged.

Source  Fxstreet1783598722

Mexico 12-Month Inflation below forecasts (3.52%) in June: Actual (3.37%)

Source  Fxstreet1783598407
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