News

United States: Growth and inflation data set to soften – TD Securities

TD Securities expects United States (US) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to slow to 1.0% q/q annualized in Q2, well below the 2.0% consensus, even as underlying growth is supported by a recovering US consumer and AI-related investment, with net exports and inventories dragging.

Source  Fxstreet1785411961
Polish Zloty: Glapinski probe seen low-impact for FX – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights accelerating efforts in Poland’s Sejm to hold NBP Governor Adam Glapinski accountable before the State Tribunal, amid allegations of politicising the central bank.

Source  Fxstreet1785410424
Federal Reserve: September hike risk stays on table – Nordea

Nordea’s Kirsti Sunde Midttun notes that the Federal Reserve (Fed) kept its target range at 3.50–3.75%, but three hawkish dissents make the hold less comfortable than in June. With no new projections, the unchanged statement and a cautious press conference offered limited guidance.

Source  Fxstreet1785409926
Bank of England: Market pricing stays hawkish – ING

ING’s Michiel Tukker and Padhraic Garvey expect no change in the Bank of England (BoE) policy rate at the upcoming meeting, despite markets pricing in substantial tightening.

Source  Fxstreet1785404876
Japan PM Takaichi: Will avoid debt channel to ensure market trust  

Japan Prime Minister (PM) Sanae Takaichi said during the European trading session on Thursday that the government won’t lean on debt funds to supplement temporary tax cuts, in an attempt to maintain market trust.

Source  Fxstreet1785403278
Federal Reserve: Dollar awaits clearer policy signals - Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Jan Groen reviews the July 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) outcome, noting the Federal Reserve (Fed) left the Fed funds target range at 3.5%-3.75% and signaled a cautious stance on inflation.

Source  Fxstreet1785402910
BoE interest rate expected to remain unchanged at 3.75% as markets look for policy clues

The Bank of England (BoE) is on track to keep the benchmark Bank Rate steady at 3.75% for the fifth straight meeting on Thursday, despite the renewed surge in Oil prices in July and a leadership change in the United Kingdom (UK).

Source  Fxstreet1785402000
Swiss Franc: Undervaluation supports APAC recovery trades – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that the Swiss Franc looks undervalued on both nominal and real effective exchange rate measures, near one-year and 15‑month lows respectively.

Source  Fxstreet1785401343
US GDP expected to grow at 2.1% in Q2, unshaken by Iran conflict

The United States (US) Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) is set to publish its preliminary estimate of second-quarter Gross Domestic Product (GDP) on Thursday, with analysts expecting the data to show annualised growth at a solid 2.1%, a modest cooling from the 2.1% expansion recorded in the previou

Source  Fxstreet1785400200
Indian Rupee: RBI seen on hold as growth solid – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s analysts report that USD/INR has eased as India’s June industrial production surprised to the upside and inflation stayed within the Reserve Bank of India’s target band.

Source  Fxstreet1785399463
Federal Reserve: Extended pause with 2027 cuts – UOB

UOB’s Suan Teck Kin and Alvin Liew analyze the latest FOMC decision, noting the Fed Funds Target Rate remains at 3.50%-3.75% for a fifth straight meeting despite three dissenting votes favoring a hike.

Source  Fxstreet1785399017
Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged at July Meeting as Wall Street Interprets Warsh’s Views

TradingKey - The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at its July meeting, but Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh's remarks at the press conference triggered far more controversy than the rate decision

Source  Tradingkey1785398594
German flash Q2 GDP rises 0.2% QoQ, beats 0.1% estimates

German preliminary Q2 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rises at a 0.2%, beats the estimates of 0.1%, according to the Federal Statistics Office of Germany. However, the GDP growth remains slower than the previous reading of 0.3%.

Source  Fxstreet1785398540
Equities: Fed-driven yield spike pressures equities – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank notes that the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) on-hold decision and limited detail from Chair Warsh sparked a sharp steepening in the Treasury curve, pushing the 30-year yield to 5.20% and weighing on equities.

Source  Fxstreet1785395604
Indonesian Rupiah holds ground as Bank Indonesia intensifies efforts to stabilize markets

USD/IDR inches higher after opening at a bearish gap, remaining in negative territory and trading around 18,110 during the Asian hours on Thursday.

Source  Fxstreet1785389204
Australian Dollar weakens against Japanese Yen as chances of RBA rate hikes fall

The AUD/JPY cross declines to around 113.65 during the early European session on Thursday. The pair currently trades 0.65% lower on the week as the likelihood of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raising interest rates has fallen.

Source  Fxstreet1785386716
Japan’s Katayama says official proposed no ceiling on next year’s budget requests

Japan's Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said that officials proposed no ceiling on next year’s budget requests.

Source  Fxstreet1785377163
New Zealand Dollar rises as ANZ Business Outlook Index jumps in July

NZD/USD extends its gains for the third consecutive day, trading around 0.5810 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair climbs higher as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) receives support from a sharp rise in domestic business confidence.

Source  Fxstreet1785376507
Australian Dollar gains despite cooling domestic Inflation, hawkish Fed hold

AUD/USD inches higher after two days of losses, trading around 0.6960 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The currency pair may face potential downside pressure as the US Dollar (USD) could gain strength following a hawkish interest rate pause by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

Source  Fxstreet1785374306

New Zealand ANZ Business Confidence climbed from previous 36.6 to 56.1 in July

Source  Fxstreet1785373201

South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI: 82 (August) vs 79

Source  Fxstreet1785372257

Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks rose from previous ¥-79.6B to ¥912.1B in July 24

Source  Fxstreet1785369002
No soft target: Warsh vows to return inflation to 2%

The Fed left interest rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75%, but the decision carried a distinctly hawkish edge as three officials voted for an immediate 25-basis-point increase.

Source  Fxstreet1785355909
Fed July Decision Holds Rates Steady With Most Dissents Since 2016 As Kashkari Unexpectedly Turns Hawkish and Warsh Faces September Pressure

TradingKey - On July 29 Eastern Time, the Federal Reserve announced its July interest rate decision. The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) voted 9-to-3 to maintain the target range for the federal

Source  Tradingkey1785349268
Bank of Japan: Gradual tightening path and neutral rate debate – ING

ING analysts Chris Turner and Padhraic Garvey see the Bank of Japan maintaining its tightening bias after June’s move to 1.00%, with most board members viewing Japan’s neutral rate near 2.00%.

Source  Fxstreet1785340595
Federal Reserve: Hawkish hold may offer US Dollar limited support – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that markets face a genuinely live Federal Reserve (Fed) decision, with futures implying about a 35% chance of a hike and a hold still the base case.

Source  Fxstreet1785338269
Federal Reserve set to hold interest rates steady, yet a hike can’t be ruled out

The United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) announces its interest rate decision on Wednesday, another pivotal meeting for markets to gauge the stance of policymakers as they assess how rising crude Oil prices could impact the inflation outlook.

Source  Fxstreet1785333600
Swiss National Bank: Rates seen on prolonged hold – Commerzbank

Michael Pfister of Commerzbank argues that subdued imported inflation and low exchange rate pass-through give the Swiss National Bank (SNB) little reason to tighten policy.

Source  Fxstreet1785332278
Singapore Dollar: Range guidance around NEER band – UOB

UOB’s SGD NEER model shows the index at 1.68% above the midpoint of the policy band, after ending the previous session 171 basis points above it. The model is expected to remain between 1.40% and 1.90% above the midpoint today, implying a USD/SGD trading range of 1.2898–1.2963.

Source  Fxstreet1785331175
Trump vows fresh strikes on Iran after missiles targeting US forces are intercepted

According to Reuters, United States (US) President Donald Trump said in a phone interview with Fox News on Wednesday that the US would carry out further strikes against Iran in response to attacks targeting US positions in Jordan.

Source  Fxstreet1785330618
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