News

Equities: Cyclicals lead as geopolitical reversal trade extends – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes global equities extended gains, with Stoxx 600 up 1.4% and S&P 500 up 0.5% in a geopolitical reversal trade. Cyclicals outperformed defensives, though investors remain only cautiously optimistic.

Source  Fxstreet1774508673

Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) down to 1.8B in February from previous 6.3B

Source  Fxstreet1774508623

Sweden Trade Balance (MoM) rose from previous 6.3B to 162B in February

Source  Fxstreet1774508403

Germany GfK Consumer Confidence Survey came in at -28, below expectations (-26.5) in April

Source  Fxstreet1774508401
Brent: Conflict premium eases on de-escalation hopes – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee notes that Brent remains capped below $100 as markets reassess Iran conflict risks and shift focus toward a potential diplomatic off-ramp.

Source  Fxstreet1774508161
ECB's Nagel: April rate hike certainly an option

European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bundesbank chief Joachim Nagel said during European trading hours on Thursday that an interest rate hike in the April policy meeting is certainly an option.

Source  Fxstreet1774507618
EUR/HUF: Volatility risks stay elevated – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya expect the Hungarian Forint to remain volatile as geopolitical tensions and the April 2026 elections weigh on sentiment.

Source  Fxstreet1774507289
ECB: Weighs conflict-driven inflation risks – Rabobank

Rabobank strategist Molly Schwartz highlights that the Eurozone is already economically exposed to the conflict via higher energy prices.

Source  Fxstreet1774506472
Asian stock markets retrace after Trump’s ceasefire-linked relief rally, Hang Seng plummets 2%

Asian stock markets face profit-booking on Thursday after rallying in the last two-three trading days.

Source  Fxstreet1774506418

Netherlands, The Gross Domestic Product n.s.a (YoY) meets forecasts (1.8%) in 4Q

Source  Fxstreet1774503001

Singapore Industrial Production (YoY) declined to -0.1% in February from previous 16.6%

Source  Fxstreet1774501201

Singapore Industrial Production (MoM) fell from previous 5.3% to -7.2% in February

Source  Fxstreet1774501200
US Dollar Index holds losses near 99.50 as US-Iran talks face uncertainty

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, inches lower after two days of gains and is trading around 99.60 during the Asian hours on Thursday.

Source  Fxstreet1774500757
IDF launches series of attacks on Isfahan

Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) reports through a post on X, formerly known as Twitter, that it has completed a series of attacks on Isfahan, city in central Iran.

Source  Fxstreet1774498470
US President Trump: Iran is negotiating, wants to make a deal so badly

US President Donald Trump reiterated early Thursday that Iran is negotiating to end the war.

Source  Fxstreet1774491441

Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY) up to 2.7% in February from previous 2.6%

Source  Fxstreet1774482773

Japan Foreign Investment in Japan Stocks increased to ¥-2B in March 20 from previous ¥-1772.6B

Source  Fxstreet1774482601
RBA’s Kent: Middle East conflict poses inflation and economic risks

The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Assistant Governor Christopher Kent warned that if the Middle East conflict prolongs, the economic damage would be greater and policymakers would need to cap inflation amid surging energy prices.

Source  Fxstreet1774481725
China: Growth seen improving in 1Q – DBS

DBS Group Research economists Byron Lam and Daisy Sharma present a China GDP Nowcast indicating real GDP growth likely improved to 4.7% in 1Q 2026 from 4.5% in Q4 2025.

Source  Fxstreet1774476060
APAC FX: Balance-of-payments strains shape flows – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that APAC balance-of-payments pressures from the Iran conflict and energy by-products are increasingly driving currency flows, with MYR, THB, AUD and PHP in focus.

Source  Fxstreet1774471920
Indonesia: Cautious reopening under geopolitical strain – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao discusses Indonesia’s onshore markets as they reopen after the Lebaran holiday to a backdrop of uncertain geopolitics and volatile global sentiment.

Source  Fxstreet1774469220
India: New GDP series challenges growth narrative – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu argues that India’s new GDP series points to weaker historical growth and softer domestic demand than previously reported.

Source  Fxstreet1774462740
Euro area: Resilient NPL ratios face 2026 energy shock – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas argues that European Union (EU) manufacturing firms enter the 2026 energy shock from Iran with historically low non-performing loan (NPL) ratios, suggesting stronger financial health than in 2022.

Source  Fxstreet1774460039
Australia: Energy costs keep CPI elevated – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights that Australian inflation remains elevated, with housing and electricity key drivers, even as trimmed mean CPI tracks slightly below earlier RBA projections.

Source  Fxstreet1774458378

United States 5-Year Note Auction increased to 3.98% from previous 3.615%

Source  Fxstreet1774458206

Russia Industrial Output registered at -0.9%, below expectations (1.1%) in February

Source  Fxstreet1774454399
Denmark: Government formation faces prolonged negotiations – Nordea

Nordea’s Group Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen notes that the Danish parliamentary election has produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with 12 parties entering parliament and no majority for either the red or blue bloc. The Moderates, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen, now hold the balance of power.

Source  Fxstreet1774453920
GBP: BoE hawkish shift supports Pound – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights a hawkish pivot by the Bank of England (BoE), with the Bank Rate held at 3.75% and a unanimous 9–0 vote. The report removes prior expectations for three 2026 cuts, now forecasting the GBP Repo Rate steady at 3.75% through 4Q26 as inflation risks dominate.

Source  Fxstreet1774449805
ECB: Inflation risks point to further hikes – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Jan-Paul van de Kerke note that the ECB is likely to respond to the renewed energy shock with additional tightening focused on preventing second-round effects.

Source  Fxstreet1774449080
Germany: Rebound risks grow on Ifo slump – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski warns that Germany’s long-awaited cyclical rebound has been dented after the Ifo index fell sharply in March, with expectations suffering their worst hit since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Source  Fxstreet1774447270
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