According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance increased to 200K for the week ending May 2.
Societe Generale analysts note that the National Bank of Poland (NBP) kept its policy rate at 3.75% and markets expect no further changes through 2026. Governor Glapinski’s press conference is expected to be uneventful unless he sounds very hawkish.
Nomura's research analysts report that the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank unexpectedly raised its policy rate by 25bp to 4.25% in May, citing frustration with sticky underlying inflation and a need to preserve credibility after earlier guidance.
Boston Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank President Susan Collins said during the late European trading session on Thursday that she sees the central bank holding interest rates at their current levels for longer. Collins added that she expects interest rate cuts to be the baseline scenario going ahead.
Societe Generale analysts highlight that the Czech National Bank (CNB) is expected to keep its policy rate at 3.50% despite a rise in headline inflation to 2.5% year-on-year in April. Governor Michl has emphasized maintaining positive real rates to support savings.
DBS Group Research economist Radhika Rao notes that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) is exploring measures to attract more US Dollar (USD) flows to support the Rupee and address the balance of payments gap.
Societe Generale analysts note that the central bank of Sweden, Riksbank left rates on hold this morning at 1.75% and EUR/SEK has been rebounding from an interim low and is now challenging its 200-day moving average, which has capped the pair since last year.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong characterize recent moves in Asian FX as a relief rally driven by lower Oil and hopes of a US–Iran deal. They stress that any agreement and normalization of flows through the Strait of Hormuz remain uncertain.
Here is what you need to know on Thursday, May 7:
European Central Bank (ECB) policymaker and Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau said in the European trading session on Thursday that the central bank should focus on the data and not the timing of any monetary policy adjustment
Societe Generale economists Sam Cartwright, Michel Martinez and Jorge Garayo analyse Euro Area inflation following the latest energy shock. They note headline inflation has already risen to 3% and expect indirect and second‑round effects to push it toward 3.5% in early 2027.
TradingKey - Fresh ADP data released this Wednesday (May 6) showed that the U.S. private sector added 109,000 jobs in April, marking the largest increase in 15 months. This figure not only exceeded th
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose expects the Czech National Bank (CNB) to keep rates at 3.50% but sees upside inflation risks from higher energy prices and a growing chance of at least one 25 bp hike later in 2026.
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights growing fiscal stress in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) as a key driver for regional FX and carry trades. Romania faces acute fiscal and external imbalances, while Poland and Hungary show better current account and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) dynamics.
According to a post from Al-Hadath, a sister channel to Al Arabiya, on X, sources have stated that intense communications are ongoing to gradually reopen the Strait of Hormuz, a vital passage to almost 20% of the global energy supply.
EUR/JPY remains flat after experiencing volatility, hovering around 183.70 during the early European hours on Thursday. The currency cross remains subdued as the Euro (EUR) failed to gain support from the strong German data.