News

Fed: AI-driven growth complicates rate path – NBC

National Bank of Canada’s (NBC) Senior Economist Jocelyn Paquet, argues that surging AI-related investment is keeping U.S. GDP growth above potential, with forecasts of 2.4% in 2026 and 2.0% in 2027.

Source  Fxstreet1778594927
Fed’s Goolsbee: We have an inflation problem in this country

Austan Goolsbee, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Chicago, said that the April United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) report was worse than they expected in comments reported by Reuters on Tuesday.

Source  Fxstreet1778594698
British Pound: Political risk premium builds – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights rising political uncertainty in the UK as calls grow for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, with betting markets seeing a high chance he leaves office this year.

Source  Fxstreet1778593254
United States Oil output reaches unprecedented levels: What does this mean for markets?

The Energy Information Administration (EIA) released the Monthly Energy Review on Tuesday. The report showed that the US hit a record energy production in 2025, recording a 3.4% increase from the previous record set in 2024.

Source  Fxstreet1778593118
Silver: Industrial support and volatility risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank's Commodity Analyst Barbara Lambrecht notes that Silver has surged to a two-month high near USD 87 per troy ounce, supported by strength in industrial metals and a record high London Metal Exchange index.

Source  Fxstreet1778591523

United States Redbook Index (YoY) climbed from previous 7.8% to 9.6% in May 8

Source  Fxstreet1778590923
April CPI Hits New High Since May 2023. Energy Price Hikes Drive Inflation Rebound Beyond Expectations; No Hope for Fed Rate Cuts This Year?

TradingKey - On Tuesday (May 12) ET, the U.S. Department of Labor released the CPI. The Consumer Price Index for April rose 3.8% year-over-year, higher than the forecast of 3.7% and well above last mo

Source  Tradingkey1778590817
Modi to India: Don’t buy Gold for a year

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi urged the nation’s citizens to avoid buying Gold for a year, in an effort to cut spending and save foreign exchange as the country grapples with the macroeconomic consequences of the Iran war. 

Source  Fxstreet1778590302
Euro: Favorable versus Pound and Canadian Dollar – TD Securities

TD Securities’ FX strategists see the Euro (EUR) relatively strong on crosses, particularly versus the Pound (GBP) and Canadian Dollar (CAD).

Source  Fxstreet1778589664

United States Consumer Price Index Core s.a up to 335.423 in April from previous 334.165

Source  Fxstreet1778589093

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (MoM) above expectations (0.3%) in April: Actual (0.4%)

Source  Fxstreet1778589004

United States Consumer Price Index ex Food & Energy (YoY) above forecasts (2.7%) in April: Actual (2.8%)

Source  Fxstreet1778589004

United States Consumer Price Index n.s.a (MoM) rose from previous 330.21 to 333.02 in April

Source  Fxstreet1778589004

United States Consumer Price Index (YoY) above forecasts (3.7%) in April: Actual (3.8%)

Source  Fxstreet1778589003

United States Consumer Price Index (MoM) in line with forecasts (0.6%) in April

Source  Fxstreet1778589003
ADP Employment Change 4-week average increases to 33K

Private-sector hiring in the US has added extra momentum in late April. According to the NER Pulse, the weekly companion to the ADP National Employment Report, companies added an average of 33K jobs per week in the four weeks ending April 25.

Source  Fxstreet1778588312

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average fell from previous 39.25K to 33K in April 18

Source  Fxstreet1778588165

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average dipped from previous 39.25K to 30.25K in April 18

Source  Fxstreet1778588153

United States ADP Employment Change 4-week average: 33K (April 18) vs previous 39.25K

Source  Fxstreet1778588120
British Pound: Political risk premium builds against Euro – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole highlights rising political uncertainty in the United Kingdom (UK) as calls grow for Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s resignation, with betting markets seeing a high chance he leaves office this year.

Source  Fxstreet1778587820

Mexico Industrial Output (YoY) came in at -1.3%, above forecasts (-1.5%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1778587203

South Africa Manufacturing Production Index (YoY) up to 0.9% in March from previous -2.8%

Source  Fxstreet1778583608
US Dollar: Inflation focus shapes rate expectations – TD Securities

TD Securities economists highlight that higher US Treasury yields followed headlines on Middle East tensions and upcoming supply, with attention now turning to April United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI).

Source  Fxstreet1778580232

United States NFIB Business Optimism Index below expectations (96.1) in April: Actual (95.9)

Source  Fxstreet1778580000
Silver: Tentative breakout above resistance – OCBC

OCBC’s Christopher Wong highlights a strong Silver rally, up over 7% and breaking the 83–84 resistance zone in what looks like a cleaner technical breakout. He attributes the move to momentum, short-covering, structural tightness and positioning ahead of Trump–Xi talks.

Source  Fxstreet1778578989
UK PM Starmer says that he is not quitting in a cabinet meeting on Tuesday

During a cabinet meeting on Tuesday, British Prime Minister (PM) Keir Starmer said that he was not stepping down.

Source  Fxstreet1778578620
Australia sees CPI inflation at 5% in 2025/26, 2.5% through 2029/30

Following are the highlights of Australia's 2026/27 budget and the Treasury's key economic forecasts released on Tuesday, per Reuters.

Source  Fxstreet1778578545
BOJ Rate Hike Probability Surges to 77% as Yen Weakens: What Is the Market Worried About?

TradingKey - On May 12, the Summary of Opinions from the Bank of Japan's April meeting, released on Monday, sent a clear tightening signal. However, the foreign exchange market provided the opposite a

Source  Tradingkey1778578266

South Africa Unemployment Total climbed from previous 7.836M to 8.137M in 1Q

Source  Fxstreet1778576474

South Africa Unemployment Rate (%) increased to 32.7% in 1Q from previous 31.4%

Source  Fxstreet1778576448
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