News

BoJ's official: Financial conditions remain easy in Japan, underpinning economic activity

A Bank of Japan (BoJ) official told Parliament during the Asian session on Wednesday that financial conditions in Japan remain easy, backing strong economic activity, a scenario that leaves room for tightening monetary conditions further.

Source  Fxstreet1779850188

New Zealand RBNZ Interest Rate Decision meets forecasts (2.25%)

Source  Fxstreet1779847205

Australia Construction Work Done above expectations (0.9%) in 1Q: Actual (3.4%)

Source  Fxstreet1779845401

Australia Westpac Leading Index (MoM): 0% (March) vs -0.1%

Source  Fxstreet1779845195
WTI slips below $92.00 despite US-Iran peace uncertainty

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price declines after registering more than 3% gains in the previous day, trading around $91.90 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices decline as traders weigh potential progress toward a US-Iran peace agreement.

Source  Fxstreet1779843130
BoJ’s Ueda: Temporary oil shocks can become persistent

Bank of Japan (BoJ) Governor Kazuo Ueda said that identical oil price hike can produce varied impacts based on wages, expectations, demand, and currency rates, Reuters reported on Wednesday.

Source  Fxstreet1779840864

Japan Corporate Service Price Index (YoY) fell from previous 3.1% to 3% in April

Source  Fxstreet1779839988
Iran threatens to retaliate after US broke ceasefire with overnight strikes

The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) threatened to retaliate after the United States (US) carried out strikes on southern Iran in “self-defence,” CNN reported on Tuesday.  The IRGC also claimed that 25 vessels, including oil tankers, transited Hormuz during the “last day and night.”

Source  Fxstreet1779837956

South Korea BOK Manufacturing BSI rose from previous 72 to 80 in June

Source  Fxstreet1779832759
Indonesian Rupiah: Macro headwinds versus reversal risks against US Dollar – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan highlights that macro headwinds continue to pressure the Indonesian Rupiah, with higher US yields, elevated Oil prices and narrowing rate differentials weighing on IDR against the Dollar.

Source  Fxstreet1779830340
RBNZ set to hold interest rate, though a hike can’t be ruled out as inflation pressures mount

The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is widely expected to hold the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 2.25% for the third consecutive meeting, as the impact of the Iran war continues to hit the economic growth and fuel inflation pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1779830100
Sri Lanka: Policy tightening supports Rupee – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Saurav Anand and Siddharth Sadasivam note that the Central Bank of Sri Lanka raised policy rates by 100bps to curb inflation, cool credit-driven imports and support the LKR.

Source  Fxstreet1779827280
Fed's Kashkari: Middle East inflation risks could warrant series of rate hikes

 Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said that the central bank could begin “a series of” rate increases as inflation rises, sparked by the Middle East conflict, in comments to Nikkei as he visits Tokyo for two days to attend the Bank of Japan's annual conference.

Source  Fxstreet1779824729
Indonesia Rupiah: External pressures weigh on outlook – UOB

UOB’s Global Economics & Markets Research, led by Enrico Tanuwidjaja and Vincentius Ming Shen, highlights that Indonesia’s wider current and financial account deficits increase downside risks for the Rupiah.

Source  Fxstreet1779824520
Euro: ECB hawks eye June rate hike – BNY

BNY cites comments from ECB Executive Board member Isabel Schnabel arguing for a June rate increase, as Middle East energy shocks create persistent inflation pressures.

Source  Fxstreet1779823320
Singapore Dollar: Growth strength fails to lift SGD – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Singapore team highlights that Singapore’s Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) was revised sharply higher to 6.0% year-on-year, with strong AI-related demand and robust construction and services activity. Inflation remains contained near the lower end of MAS’s forecast range.

Source  Fxstreet1779821820
India: Subsidies delay pass-through from Oil – ING

According to ING’s Deepali Bhargava, India has temporarily contained consumer inflation from higher Oil prices by capping retail fuel pass-through, leaving CPI impacts modest so far.

Source  Fxstreet1779819120
Forex Today: Australian inflation takes centre stage alongside geopolitics

The US Dollar (USD) regains some composure on Tuesday, rapidly reversing Monday’s downtick against the backdrop of persistent uncertainty around the US-Iran peace deal and the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Source  Fxstreet1779815854

United States 2-Year Note Auction increased to 4.071% from previous 3.812%

Source  Fxstreet1779815052
Brent: Extended Hormuz closure and $200/bbl stress case – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts examine a low‑probability but severe scenario where the Strait of Hormuz stays shut through 2026, forcing Brent toward and potentially above $200/bbl to trigger sufficient demand destruction.

Source  Fxstreet1779811320
US Dollar: Supported by higher-for-longer Fed stance – TD Securities

TD Securities’ US Economic Outlook suggests a higher-for-longer Federal Reserve stance that is typically supportive for the US Dollar. The bank sees stagflationary risks from the Iran conflict, elevated Oil prices, and stressed supply chains keeping inflation high and preventing rate cuts in 2026.

Source  Fxstreet1779807985
RBNZ: July hike risk watched as inflation lingers – MUFG

MUFG's strategists flag the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) as a key event risk, with markets expecting no move this week but assigning a meaningful probability to a July rate hike.

Source  Fxstreet1779806215

United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index increased to 0.4 in May from previous -2.3

Source  Fxstreet1779805880
Euro: Rangebound against US Dollar despite ECB repricing – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes notes that the Euro (EUR) has shown limited reaction to comments from Isabel Schnabel about a June European Central Bank (ECB) rate hike, even as markets price in more tightening.

Source  Fxstreet1779805684
Fed: Hawkish bias and extended hold – TD Securities

TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect the Fed to drop its easing bias in June and keep rates on hold through 2026, citing hawkish FOMC momentum, firm inflation and a stabilized labor market. Cuts are not expected to resume until 2027.

Source  Fxstreet1779804489
US CB Consumer Confidence Index eases to 93.1 in May

US consumer sentiment loses some momentum in May, as the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence Index recedes to 93.1 from April’s 93.8 (revised from 92.8).

Source  Fxstreet1779804296

United States S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices (YoY) came in at 0.8%, below expectations (1%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1779800401

United States Housing Price Index (MoM) meets forecasts (0.1%) in March

Source  Fxstreet1779800400
Fed : PCE data and hawkish rhetoric in focus – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists flag Thursday’s US personal income and spending report, including core PCE, as the key data for the Federal Reserve. They expect core PCE to rise 0.3% month-on-month, with consumption momentum cooling.

Source  Fxstreet1779799800
BoC's Vincent: Structural changes in labor markets make BoC's job more complicated

Bank of Canada (BOC) Deputy Governor Nicolas Vincent said on Tuesday the more the economy faces shocks accompanied by structural changes, the less clear-cut the monetary policy decisions will be, per Reuters.

Source  Fxstreet1779798705
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