News

PBOC: Limited inflation constraint, easing likely – ING

ING expects Chinese inflation dynamics to have limited impact on People’s Bank of China policy in 2026. Lynn Song argues that CPI will again undershoot an expected 2% target, but this shortfall should not constrain monetary decisions.

Source  Fxstreet1770848220
Fed's Hammack: Labor market stabilizing, policy around neutral

Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack is crossing the wires. She said that the Unemployment Rate is stabilizing, following the release of the strong January Nonfarm Payrolls report in the US.

Source  Fxstreet1770846866
Malaysia: Stable outlook supports Ringgit – UOB

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research economists Julia Goh and Loke Siew Ting highlight that Malaysia’s labour market strengthened further in 4Q25, with unemployment falling to 2.9% and participation steady at 70.9%.

Source  Fxstreet1770845760
China: Deficit miss seen supporting growth – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan, Shuang Ding and Carol Liao note that China’s broad fiscal deficit reached 8.1% of GDP in 2025, below target but still expansionary.

Source  Fxstreet1770843240
Singapore GDP: Upgraded growth outlook on AI momentum – UOB

UOB Global Economics & Markets Research reports that Singapore’s 4Q25 GDP was revised significantly higher, driven by stronger manufacturing, services and construction. This lifted full‑year 2025 growth and prompted the authorities to raise the official 2026 forecast range.

Source  Fxstreet1770840480
Pentagon weighs second carrier as Trump ramps up Iran pressure – WSJ

A Wall Street Journal article revealed that the Pentagon is preparing a second aircraft carrier to deploy to the Middle East.

Source  Fxstreet1770840034
Indonesia: Fiscal and growth outlook under scrutiny – MUFG

MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan notes Indonesia enters 2026 with solid growth momentum but rising fiscal and policy risks.

Source  Fxstreet1770838440

United States Monthly Budget Statement came in at $-95B, below expectations ($-86.5B) in January

Source  Fxstreet1770836403
US 10-year yield rises after hot NFP’s hit Fed cut hopes

US Treasury yields rise across the curve with the US 10-year Treasury note rising nearly one and a half basis points at 4.155% following the release of a strong jobs report in the US, which trimmed investors’ expectations of further easing by the Federal Reserve.

Source  Fxstreet1770833039

United States 10-Year Note Auction increased to 4.177% from previous 4.173%

Source  Fxstreet1770832990
Latin America: Positioning stretched as flows peak – BNY

BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage highlights that Latin American assets have seen strong, broad-based inflows across equities, bonds and FX, leaving positioning elevated versus other Emerging Markets.

Source  Fxstreet1770827280

Russia Unemployment Rate increased to 2.2% in December from previous 2.1%

Source  Fxstreet1770825605
Fed’s Schmid: Further rate cuts could allow higher inflation for longer

Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Kansas City President, Jeffrey Schmid, said it is appropriate to maintain a restrictive monetary policy as inflation approaches 3%.

Source  Fxstreet1770823663
Riksbank: Stable policy stance supports Krona – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole expects the Riksbank to keep rates on hold through 2026 despite inflation falling temporarily to around 1%.

Source  Fxstreet1770819798
CAD: BoC deliberations and policy nuance – TD Securities

TD Securities expects the Bank of Canada’s Summary of Deliberations to deliver a more nuanced message than January’s cautious statement.

Source  Fxstreet1770818295

United States U6 Underemployment Rate fell from previous 13% to -42% in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816625

United States Average Weekly Hours came in at 34.3, above forecasts (34.2) in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816608

United States Average Hourly Earnings (YoY) above expectations (3.6%) in January: Actual (3.7%)

Source  Fxstreet1770816608

United States Unemployment Rate registered at 4.3%, below expectations (4.4%) in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816607

United States Nonfarm Payrolls came in at 130K, above expectations (70K) in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816606

Canada Building Permits (MoM) came in at 6.8%, above expectations (5%) in December

Source  Fxstreet1770816606

United States Labor Force Participation Rate rose from previous 62.4% to 62.5% in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816605

United States Average Hourly Earnings (MoM) came in at 0.4%, above forecasts (0.3%) in January

Source  Fxstreet1770816604

Russia Foreign Trade increased to $10.021B in December from previous $6.795B

Source  Fxstreet1770815910
Euro area: Above-potential GDP seen lifting inflation – Nomura

Nomura expects Euro area GDP growth to accelerate in 2026–2027 to around 1.7–1.8% year-on-year, above estimated potential of roughly 1.1–1.2%.

Source  Fxstreet1770815750
Germany: Robust collective growth to support consumption – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Marc Schattenberg analyzes Germany’s 2026 wage round, covering around 10 million employees across public services, retail, wholesale, chemicals and metalworking.

Source  Fxstreet1770814776
NOK: Rate cuts seen off table – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that stronger January inflation in Norway, with headline at 3.6% and core at 3.4% year-on-year, confirms that interest rate cuts by Norges Bank are off the table for now.

Source  Fxstreet1770813840
GBP: UK GDP expectations and March cut view – TD Securities

TD Securities expects UK GDP to rise 0.1% m/m in December, driven mainly by manufacturing, with services flat. This would leave Q4 2025 GDP at 0.2% q/q, matching consensus and MPR projections, and only modest services growth.

Source  Fxstreet1770812434
US Equities: Cross-border tech demand stays firm – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that US equity markets have stabilized despite recent volatility, with the Tech sector still leading allocations.

Source  Fxstreet1770811614

United States MBA Mortgage Applications up to -0.3% in February 6 from previous -8.9%

Source  Fxstreet1770811206
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