News

Indonesian Rupiah: Forecasts cut on tougher backdrop – OCBC

OCBC's strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong lower their Indonesian Rupiah (IDR) forecasts despite Bank Indonesia’s (BI) larger-than-expected 50 bp hike, arguing that renewed domestic policy uncertainty and an unfavourable external backdrop are weighing on IDR.

Source  Fxstreet1780433520
Philippine Peso: Year-end 2026 forecast raised to 62.7 against US Dollar – DBS

Philip Wee at DBS Group Research has raised his USD/PHP year-end 2026 forecast to 62.7 from 57.8, reflecting persistent external and domestic pressures. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz and higher Oil prices have widened trade deficits and pushed inflation well above target.

Source  Fxstreet1780431420
Chinese Yuan: Global usage trends higher in 2026 – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Tommy Wu reports that the bank’s revamped Renminbi Globalisation Index shows higher global RMB usage in February–April 2026 versus late 2025.

Source  Fxstreet1780429320

Argentina Tax Revenue (MoM): 21513B (May) vs 17400B

Source  Fxstreet1780426555
Indonesian Rupiah: Seen above 18,000 at end of 2026 against dollar – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee has revised higher his USD/IDR projections, now expecting the pair to end 2026 slightly above 18,000 versus 16,500 previously.

Source  Fxstreet1780425120
Taiwan Dollar: Growth and AI flows anchor TWD – Commerzbank

Commerzbank reports that USD/TWD traded steadily around 31.37, with realised one‑month volatility near 4.5%, lower than several regional peers.

Source  Fxstreet1780422960
Singapore Dollar: Range trade persists against US Dollar – UOB

UOB’s Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note that USD/SGD stayed firm on Monday, closing around 1.2788 after trading between 1.2759 and 1.2803, supported by a stronger US Dollar and a stable Singapore Dollar (SGD) Nominal Effective Exchange Rate (NEER).

Source  Fxstreet1780421340
China: Overnight anchor gains prominence – Standard Chartered

Standard Chartered’s Shuang Ding and Hunter Chan note that the People’s Bank of China has shifted its operational focus from DR007 to DR001, aligning with the dominance of overnight repos in China’s interbank market.

Source  Fxstreet1780419720
Germany: Fiscal support offsets conflict shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank analysts, including Mark Wall and team, argue Germany faces multifaceted headwinds from the Middle East conflict, with growth momentum weakening into mid‑2026. Expansionary fiscal policy is seen as the key stabilizer, keeping Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth at 0.5% in 2026.

Source  Fxstreet1780417560
Eurozone: Services inflation surge supports ECB hikes – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Rose Heaulme note that Eurozone headline inflation rose to 3.2% in May, with core inflation surprising at 2.5%. Energy remains the main driver, while food inflation eased.

Source  Fxstreet1780415880
"The risk of failing to act is more severe than the risk of acting": BoE's Greene signals readiness to raise rates

Megan Greene, a member of the Bank of England's (BoE) Monetary Policy Committee (MPC), warned on Tuesday that United Kingdom (UK) households and businesses appear more sensitive to rising inflation than in the past, emphasizing that the risks of failing to act against persistent inflation outweigh t

Source  Fxstreet1780414388
Sweden: Growth, inflation and Riksbank risks – Rabobank

RaboResearch says Sweden’s weak Q1 GDP was driven by lower government spending but partly offset by household consumption and inventories.

Source  Fxstreet1780413960

New Zealand GDT Price Index dipped from previous 0.6% to -0.6%

Source  Fxstreet1780413248
Polish central bank cites geopolitical risks as rates stay unchanged

The National Bank of Poland (NBP) met the broad consensus among market participants and held interest rates steady and adopted a cautious tone earlier on Tuesday, saying that future data would guide policy choices but also that inflation concerns are very much alive.

Source  Fxstreet1780413060
Hungary: Growth outlook stays fragile – ING

ING economists Peter Virovacz and Zoltán Homolya say Hungary’s latest GDP data show the economy emerging from stagnation, but they stress that much of the recent strength reflects temporary pre-election factors.

Source  Fxstreet1780411855
European Central Bank: Rate hike seen inevitable – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Vincent Stamer argues persistent Euro area inflation above 3% and rising core pressures make an European Central Bank (ECB) rate increase unavoidable. He cites firms’ intentions to pass on higher energy costs and elevated consumer inflation expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1780410912
United States JOLTS Job Openings shatter expectations: What the surge to a two-year high means for the US Dollar

The number of job openings in the United States (US) came in at 7.618 million in April, up sharply from the revised 6.887 million in March, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported in its Job Openings & Labor Turnover (JOLTS) report on Tuesday.

Source  Fxstreet1780410274
Euro area: Services-driven inflation rise supports ECB hike – Societe Generale

Société Générale economist Sam Cartwright notes Euro area headline inflation rose to 3.2% year-on-year in May, with core inflation at 2.5%. Services, not energy, led the increase, partly due to Easter timing effects.

Source  Fxstreet1780410239

United States RealClearMarkets/TIPP Economic Optimism (MoM) below expectations (44.5) in June: Actual (42.5)

Source  Fxstreet1780408830

United States JOLTS Job Openings registered at 7.618M above expectations (6.88M) in April

Source  Fxstreet1780408803
United States: Manufacturing resilience fuels inflation risks – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart underline that the latest ISM Manufacturing data show strong United States (US) economic resilience despite Middle East uncertainty. The headline index has reached a four-year high, with broad-based gains across sub-indices and rising new orders.

Source  Fxstreet1780408417
United Kingdom: Firmer footing into energy shock – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists say in their World Outlook (WO) report, the United Kingdom (UK) entered the energy shock with stronger Q1‑2026 data, prompting only a marginal downgrade to growth. Stockpiling is expected to cushion activity as higher energy costs feed into inflation and real incomes.

Source  Fxstreet1780407817
ECB: Hiking cycle seen extending on persistent pressures – Nordea

Nordea’s Tuuli Koivu and Anders Svendsen argue that persistent inflation pressures and a resilient labour market point to a new European Central Bank (ECB) hiking cycle starting in June.

Source  Fxstreet1780407050
Silver: Deficits and upgraded forecasts – TD Securities

TD Securities raises its outlook for Silver and PGMs despite near-term correction risks similar to Gold. The team upgrades Silver and PGM forecasts over the next two quarters and further improves the long-term view, citing Gold’s projected strength and an improving global economy.

Source  Fxstreet1780406426

Singapore Manufacturing PMI climbed from previous 50.7 to 51 in May

Source  Fxstreet1780405240
US Dollar: Fed transition and Middle East risks keep ranges intact – DBS

DBS Group Research’s Philip Wee argues that FX Majors remain range-bound as markets digest shifting narratives around Middle East tensions and the upcoming Fed leadership transition.

Source  Fxstreet1780405025

United States Redbook Index (YoY) remains at 9% in May 29

Source  Fxstreet1780404901
Fed's Hammack warns inflation may require action ‘soon’

Beth Hammack, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, struck a distinctly hawkish tone on Tuesday, warning that persistent inflation risks may eventually require a policy response.Key Quotes

Source  Fxstreet1780404153
SNB’s Schlegel: We raise readiness to intervene against Swiss Franc’s appreciation

Swiss National Bank (SNB) Chairman Martin Schlegel said during the European trading session on Tuesday that the central bank is now more ready to intervene against one-way appreciating moves in the Swiss Franc (CHF).

Source  Fxstreet1780401423
Euro area: Inflation keeps ECB on hiking path – Nordea

Nordea economists Tuuli Koivu and Anders Svendsen say rising Euro-area headline and core inflation, driven mainly by higher energy costs and robust services prices, strengthens the case for an ECB rate hike in June.

Source  Fxstreet1780399372
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