News

US Dollar: Fed expectations support gains – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is supported by widening US-G6 yield spreads and resilient US data, which keep Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations alive in the near term.

Source  Fxstreet1788349376
United States Dollar Index rises to near 99.85 ahead of US ADP Employment data

The US Dollar (USD) reflects strength against its currency peers on Wednesday as United States bond yields surge further due to rising oil prices and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1788347777
Dow Jones futures steady amid bond selloff, rising geopolitical tensions

Dow Jones futures inch higher by 0.05% to trade near 52,850 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.4%, to trade around 7,640, while Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.19% to trade around 29,070.

Source  Fxstreet1788337692
ADP Employment Report is expected to show a moderate increase in private payrolls in August

The Automatic Data Processing (ADP) Research Institute will release its monthly report on private-sector job creation for August next Wednesday.

Source  Fxstreet1788336900
US Dollar Index gains as US-Iran tensions escalate, Treasury yields rise

The US Dollar Index (DXY) edges higher on Tuesday, reversing all of the previous day’s losses as hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations and rising US Treasury yields provide a strong tailwind.

Source  Fxstreet1788286881
Forex Today: Enter the US labour market

The US Dollar (USD) has managed to leave behind the negative start to the week and regained balance on Tuesday. The recovery has come on the back of a generalised recovery in US Treasury yields and ongoing tensions in the geopolitical landscape.

Source  Fxstreet1788282333
Dow Jones Industrial Average finds no bid under confirmed strikes

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 52,750, roughly 450 points and 0.85% lower, at fresh session lows made after Central Command confirmed that American forces had begun striking Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) targets inside Iran.

Source  Fxstreet1788282293
US Dollar: Fed risks and election scenarios – TD Securities

TD Securities’ macro team, led by Jayati Bharadwaj, Howard Du and Linda Cheng, maintains a bearish view on the Dollar despite a hawkish market reaction to Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech.

Source  Fxstreet1788273675
US Dollar: Warsh boost fades as Fed pricing holds – ING

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes the Dollar has surrendered around half of its post-Jackson Hole gains, even as front-end US rates remain firmly supported. He argues that concerns over long-end yields and potential Treasury intervention are feeding a debasement narrative.

Source  Fxstreet1788265644
US Dollar: September hike odds stay elevated – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar has recovered most of its recent pullback as Fed funds futures price a 67% chance of a 25 bps rate hike on September 16 and 60 bps of tightening over twelve months.

Source  Fxstreet1788262312
US Dollar: Jackson Hole keeps hike risk alive – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes the US Dollar has gained modestly after Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, with US Dollar Index (DXY) up around 0.3% since Friday’s open and 2‑year Treasury yields sharply higher.

Source  Fxstreet1788256404
Dow Jones futures fall as surging oil prices stoke inflation concerns

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.45% to trade near 53,000 during European hours on Tuesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.5%, to trade around 7,660, while Nasdaq 100 futures lose 0.83% to trade around 29,270.

Source  Fxstreet1788254172
US Dollar: Fed restraint supports gains against peers – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong have reset their forecasts after the earlier US Dollar (USD) sell-off but still projects moderate USD strength into early 2027.

Source  Fxstreet1788252712
United States Dollar Index edges up to near 99.50, supported by higher bond yields

The US Dollar (USD) trades slightly higher against its peers on Tuesday, as long-dated United States (US) Treasury Yields rally due to surging oil prices in the wake of renewed Middle East conflicts.

Source  Fxstreet1788241695
August was three good days for the Dow Jones Industrial Average

The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed just short of 53,300, roughly 250 points and about 0.5% lower, after American forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island and Tehran answered with missile and drone attacks on bases in Jordan and the United Arab Emirates.

Source  Fxstreet1788206121
The Dollar Index falls through a war and a hawkish repricing

The Dollar Index trades just beneath 99.50 and 0.26% lower, on a session that handed it every input a currency is supposed to rally on.

Source  Fxstreet1788193844
The Dow Jones Industrial Average is short its own war

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,250, roughly 300 points lower on the session, after American forces struck two Iranian rocket launchers on Larak Island and Tehran answered with attacks on bases in Jordan and assets in the United Arab Emirates.

Source  Fxstreet1788191575
US Dollar: Warsh boosts policy credibility – OCBC

OCBC FX Strategist Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that Fed Chair Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech eased debasement concerns and supported the Dollar, with Gold lower and the US yield curve flatter.

Source  Fxstreet1788180162
US Dollar: Jobs data to test hawkish Fed repricing - BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that recent U.S. inflation data left the macro narrative intact, but Fed Chair Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech pushed markets to reprice September hike odds and lifted the Dollar. The focus now shifts to U.S.

Source  Fxstreet1788174934
US Dollar: Warsh speech keeps rate hike debate open – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen notes that Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech boosted the US Dollar by signalling openness to tighter monetary policy and a possible September rate hike.

Source  Fxstreet1788170752
US Dollar: Hawkish Fed pricing supports Dollar into payrolls – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that Kevin Warsh’s hawkish Jackson Hole speech has sharply increased market-implied odds of a September Federal Reserve rate hike, supporting the Dollar and short-term Treasury yields.

Source  Fxstreet1788167097
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY fails near 100-SMA/38.2% Fibo. confluence around 99.75

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts some sellers at the start of a new week and erodes a part of Friday's strong gains to a two-week high.

Source  Fxstreet1788166824
Dow Jones futures slip as traders adopt caution amid higher oil prices

Dow Jones futures fall by 0.15% to near 53,500 during European hours on Monday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures decline by 0.12%, to trade near 7,710, while Nasdaq 100 futures gain by 0.05% to trade around 29,500.

Source  Fxstreet1788166323
US Dollar: Warsh speech supports greenback – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that the US Dollar (USD) recovered after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech, as futures pricing restored a meaningful probability of a September FOMC rate hike.

Source  Fxstreet1788161491
United States Dollar Index trades slightly lower at the start of the US NFP week

The US Dollar (USD) is slightly down in the Asian trading session at the start of the week. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which gauges the Greenback’s value against its peers, corrects 0.1% to near 99.58 after a strong Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1788148290
Dollar: rebound needs stronger data – TD Cowen

TD Cowen’s Washington Strategy team, led by Chris Krueger, notes that a durable rebound in the Dollar hinges on stronger US policy follow-through and renewed upside surprises in US data.

Source  Fxstreet1788147143
Dow Jones Industrial Average round-trips a Fed that promised nothing

The Federal Reserve chair used the largest speaking slot on the calendar to commit to nothing and the futures market repriced September anyway.

Source  Fxstreet1787932480
US Dollar Index rallies as Warsh puts September rate hike back on the table

US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies on Friday, gaining 0.36% to trade around 99.50 at the time of writing, as Federal Reserve (Fed) Chair Kevin Warsh’s hawkish remarks at the Jackson Hole Symposium prompt investors to sharply reassess the outlook for US interest rates.

Source  Fxstreet1787931045
US Dollar: Dovish Fed repricing risk grows – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is mixed near a one‑week high as major FX pairs test key technical levels, including EUR/USD at its 200‑day moving average and USD/JPY near 160.00.

Source  Fxstreet1787918964
US Dollar: Jackson Hole scenarios shape FX risk – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart argue that Jackson Hole only becomes a significant FX event for the Dollar when the Federal Reserve Chair delivers a clear policy surprise or commits to future action.

Source  Fxstreet1787916320
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