News

Forecasting the upcoming week: Warsh's Jackson Hole debut and US inflation test a soft US Dollar

The US Dollar Index (DXY) ended the week near even with Thursday, holding near 98.80. Like Thursday, DXY traded down to the 98.50s before recovering later in the session.

Source  Fxstreet1787343766
Higher yields stop paying the Dollar Index

The Dollar Index trades just beneath 99.00 and unchanged on the session, with the entire day fitting inside 35 pips between the 98.50 area and a high that stopped a shade short of the handle.

Source  Fxstreet1787333639
The Dow Jones Industrial Average buys its own bond problem

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades roughly 430 points higher at just above 53,200, taking back the larger part of a Thursday decline that ran close to 690 points.

Source  Fxstreet1787329065
US Dollar: Jackson Hole volatility over credibility – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that Kevin Warsh’s Jackson Hole speech will focus on structural themes such as productivity, AI-driven growth and Federal Reserve (Fed) regime change.

Source  Fxstreet1787323389
US Dollar: Bearish regime reinforced by bull flattener – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists argue that the United States (US) Treasury buyback announcement has reinforced bearish momentum for the Dollar.

Source  Fxstreet1787316193
US Dollar: Yield management weighs on currency – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the US Dollar (USD) is weaker against all major currencies as longer-term US Treasury yields edge lower following buyback plans. Haddad argues expanded buybacks and fiscal messaging may cap long-end yields but at a credibility cost for the USD.

Source  Fxstreet1787310901
US Dollar broadly consolidates as analysts cast doubts over long-term impact of US Treasury buyback

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is broadly consolidating near the 99.00 level as investors process the US Treasury's expanded long-end bond buyback and a modest rebound in Treasury yields.

Source  Fxstreet1787309003
US Dollar: Limited upside as fiscal plans questioned – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny notes that the US Dollar has weakened as investors focus on potential US Treasury measures to stem the decline in Treasury yields, while Japanese inflation data supports expectations for a 25bp BoJ rate hike in September.

Source  Fxstreet1787306655
US Dollar: Softer bias with pro-risk flows – ING

ING’s Chris Turner, Francesco Pesole and Frantisek Taborsky argue that recent US Treasury buy-backs are primarily a signalling tool against high yields, pointing to a softer Dollar in a risk-friendly environment.

Source  Fxstreet1787302909
US Dollar: Consolidation around 99.00 after buyback news – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Chang Wei Liang notes that the Dollar has firmed slightly as US Treasury yields recover, with DXY consolidating near 99.00 after the US Treasury expanded long-end bond buybacks.

Source  Fxstreet1787298632
Dow Jones futures gain as traders weigh US debt buybacks against surging oil prices

Dow Jones futures gain 0.13% to trade above 52,900 during European hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures remain up by 0.18%, to trade near 7,680, and Nasdaq 100 futures advance by 0.38% to trade above 29,400.

Source  Fxstreet1787298291
United States Dollar Index remains below 99.00 as 10-year US yield steadies

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding losses after registering minor gains in the previous day and trading around 98.80 during the early European hours on Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1787295126
US Dollar: Treasury twist signals structural risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur notes the US Dollar remains under pressure as EUR/USD trades around 1.17 following the US Treasury’s expansion of its Liquidity Support Buyback Operations.

Source  Fxstreet1787293717
United States Dollar Index trades around 99.75-99.70, hangs near three-month low

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts fresh sellers during the Asian session on Friday, stalling the previous day's modest bounce from the vicinity of mid-98.00s, or the lowest since May 14.

Source  Fxstreet1787279204
Dow Jones Industrial Average repays the Treasury's rally with interest

Wednesday bought the bond market one session of calm and the Dow Jones Industrial Average spent Thursday paying for it with interest.

Source  Fxstreet1787264574
Forex Today: US Dollar firms ahead of global flash PMIs

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is hovering near 98.90, still short of 100.00, but grinding higher on Thursday. Hawkish commentary from Federal Reserve Bank of St.

Source  Fxstreet1787253315
The Dollar Index takes its floor from a Fed non-voter

The Dollar Index has spent Thursday building a floor just above 98.50 and defending it with everything the calendar had to offer, and the entire effort is worth roughly a tenth of a point.

Source  Fxstreet1787251487
Dow Jones Industrial Average sells the best outlook since 1983

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,050, more than 400 points lower on the session, after two of the strongest American data points of the month arrived in the same 12:30 GMT block and were sold on delivery.

Source  Fxstreet1787245169
US Dollar: Debasement worries weigh after buyback – Scotiabank

Scotiabank strategists Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret note the US Dollar (USD) is extending losses to its weakest level since mid-June as markets react to the US Treasury’s decision to double bond buybacks.

Source  Fxstreet1787241120
"More avenues opening for US Dollar weakness ahead": MUFG on why Treasury buyback could backfire

The US Dollar (USD) has extended its decline following the US Treasury’s unexpected decision to double its long-end bond buybacks, an intervention designed to push down long-term borrowing costs.

Source  Fxstreet1787232190
US Dollar: Consolidation after treasury buybacks – DBS

DBS Group Research strategist Chang Wei Liang notes ongoing Dollar weakness after the US Treasury unexpectedly doubled long-dated bond buybacks, pushing DXY below 99.

Source  Fxstreet1787231124
US Dollar: Treasury buybacks raise fiscal questions – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman (BBH) notes that US long-term Treasury yields have retraced most of their decline following the Treasury’s expanded buyback announcement, while the US Dollar (USD) remains under pressure.

Source  Fxstreet1787227915
US Dollar: Downside risks grow as yields contained – MUFG

MUFG’s Derek Halpenny and Abdul-Ahad Lockhart highlight that the US Treasury’s unscheduled expansion of long-end buybacks triggered the largest daily US Dollar drop since March outside intervention episodes.

Source  Fxstreet1787225336
US Dollar: Policy-driven yield retreat – UBS

UBS' chief economist Paul Donovan notes that the United States (US) Treasury’s plan to at least double purchases of long-term US government bonds triggered a rally, pushing 10-year yields down to levels seen a week ago.

Source  Fxstreet1787217384
Dow Jones futures gain on Treasury bond buyback relief

Dow Jones futures inch lose 0.11% to trade around 53,470 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures remain inching lower by 0.06%, trading near 7,720, and Nasdaq 100 futures remain steady around 29,520.

Source  Fxstreet1787215836
US Dollar: Upside capped as yields ease – MUFG

MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes the US Dollar weakened after US Treasury Secretary Bessent announced a major expansion of long-dated Treasury buybacks, which pushed long-end yields lower.

Source  Fxstreet1787214284
US Dollar: Under pressure as yields capped – OCBC

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong say the Dollar has weakened to its lowest level since May as expanded Treasury buybacks pushed long-end US yields lower.

Source  Fxstreet1787211521
98.75 support tested; US Dollar Index under pressure amid US debt buyback plan

The US Dollar (USD) took a beating on Wednesday after US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent announced a plan to buy back long-term government debt to ease Bond yields.

Source  Fxstreet1787210334
US Dollar: Risk-on pattern with softer DXY – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that US Treasury buy-back operations and a drop in longer-dated yields have supported equities and weighed on the Dollar.

Source  Fxstreet1787209842
United States Dollar Index weakens below 99.00 on Fed repricing, Treasury bond buybacks

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 98.80 in the early European trading hours on Thursday.

Source  Fxstreet1787200660
goTop
quote