MUFG’s Head of Research Derek Halpenny highlights that a two-week ceasefire between the US, Israel and Iran has sharply weakened the US Dollar as risk sentiment improves and Brent Oil falls.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback’s value against a basket of six major currencies, comes under heavy selling pressure on Wednesday, sliding to one-month lows after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire deal.
OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong stress that markets are being driven almost entirely by Iran headlines, with Oil and yields reacting to ceasefire developments.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that the US-Iran ceasefire has pushed financial markets into relief mode, with Brent, equities and bonds reacting positively and the Dollar falling sharply.
ING’s Chris Turner notes that risk assets are rebounding after the Iran ceasefire, with higher equities, a bullish steepening in yield curves and broad currency gains against the US Dollar (USD).
Dow Jones futures rise 2.32% to near 47,900 during European hours on Wednesday, ahead of the regular United States (US) open. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also gain 2.49% and 3.19% to near 6,820 and 25,150, respectively, at the time of writing.
Rabobank strategists Michael Every and Bas van Geffen note that a temporary ceasefire between the United States (US) and Iran has sharply reduced immediate risk premia, with Brent lower and equities higher. However, they stress this is only a short truce, leaving at least two weeks of uncertainty.
Deutsche Bank analysts report a strong recovery in S&P 500 futures after the US–Iran two-week ceasefire announcement and easing war fears. Futures are now less than 2% below pre-strike levels and well above the late-March lows.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, attracts heavy selling on Wednesday and plummets to a nearly one-month trough during the Asian session in reaction to the US-Iran ceasefire news.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 99.05 during the Asian trading hours on Wednesday.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) held near 99.80, not far from last week’s 100 peak, broadly supported as markets remain locked on the Iran conflict and, in particular, on United States (US) President Donald Trump’s deadline for 8:00pm EST tied to the Strait of Hormuz.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) dropped around 380 points, or 0.8%, snapping a four-session winning streak as risk appetite collapsed in the hours before President Trump's self-imposed deadline for Iran to agree to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
The Wall Street Journal reported on Tuesday that Iran has cut off direct communications with the United States (US) following President Donald Trump's threat to destroy Iran's whole civilization.
Deutsche Bank’s Henry Allen argues that the S&P 500’s modest pullback versus past Oil shocks reflects markets pricing a short conflict, resilient macro data and still‑dovish central banks.
Societe Generale’s Kit Juckes discusses Robin Brooks’ view that the Dollar looks significantly overvalued versus G10 rate differentials and could fall sharply on a ceasefire, with Oil tumbling and safe-haven flows reversing.
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes that a prolonged energy shock from the Iran conflict heightens financial stability risks and supports the Dollar beyond what rate differentials imply.
Dow Jones futures fall 0.2% to near 46,800 during European hours on Tuesday, ahead of the regular United States (US) open. Meanwhile, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also decline 0.34% and 0.45% to near 6,620 and 24,250, respectively, at the time of writing.
ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar (USD) remains supported as investors await a White House deadline linked to the US-Iran conflict and elevated energy prices. Strong US jobs data and resilient activity could see markets price Federal Reserve (Fed) hikes if Oil rises further.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding ground after registering losses in the previous trading day and hovering around 100.00 during the European hours on Tuesday.
OCBC strategists Christopher Wong and Sim Moh Siong note that global markets are cautious as Hormuz risks and energy disruptions threaten to evolve into a broader energy shock. Survey data already show rising input costs and longer delivery times.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.10 during the Asian trading hours on Tuesday.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained a scant 120 points, or 0.3%, on Monday in the first session following the Good Friday market closure. The index pushed toward 46,700 in early trading before fading through the midday session and ultimately settling around 46,500.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) fell towards the 100.00 area on Monday as markets were weighed by United States (US) President Donald Trump’s latest Strait of Hormuz ultimatum against growing hopes for a ceasefire framework between the US and Iran.
The US Dollar Index (DXY) struggled to crimp downside momentum near the 100.00 handle on Monday after a volatile day that saw the index slide from overnight highs near 100.30 down to a session low near 99.75 before staging a late recovery.
Donald Trump, United States (US) President, said that he is very upset that guns were supposed to go to protesters, but were kept by a certain group. He added that they’re going to pay a big price for that at a speech in Washington on Monday.
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan notes that persistent geopolitical tensions around Iran are reinforcing USD strength. Elevated US yields, resilient labour data and fading expectations for Fed rate cuts underpin Dollar carry appeal.
Dow Jones futures have recovered daily losses and are trading around 46,660, up by 0.06%, during European hours on Monday, ahead of the regular United States (US) open.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.25 during the Asian trading hours on Monday.
United States President Donald Trump has threatened to destroy Iran if they do not reopen the Strait of Hormuz before the deadline, in a post shared on Truth Social.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 100.00 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The DXY holds positive ground amid fresh concerns over a prolonged conflict in the Middle East.