News

US Dollar: Mixed data and higher yields shape outlook – Danske Bank

Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes that US July PPI came in slightly below expectations, with volatile trade and transport services dragging the headline lower while broader services stayed firm.

Source  Fxstreet1786709073
US Dollar Index: Range-bound Dollar as Fed odds ease – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes the USD index (DXY) is trading near the lower end of its recent 99.50–100.00 range as cooling United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) and Producer Price Index (PPI) have cut implied odds of a September Fed rate hike.

Source  Fxstreet1786705854
US Dollar: Looking for a shift in Fedspeak – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that post-CPI summer conditions are suppressing FX volatility and keeping the Dollar broadly stable. They still see scope for a weaker Dollar as market expectations for further Federal Reserve tightening look overstated.

Source  Fxstreet1786700711
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY declines to 99.75-99.70 amid receding Fed hike bets

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, continues to lose ground through the first half of the European session on Friday and retreats further from a two-week high, touched the previous day.

Source  Fxstreet1786697909
US Dollar: Carry trades supported as Fed seen on hold – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong note that softer United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) and lower US Treasury yields have led markets to scale back expectations of a September Federal Reserve (Fed) hike, limiting US Dollar (USD) upside.

Source  Fxstreet1786697200
US Dollar: Softer tone with falling yields – MUFG

MUFG’s Lee Hardman notes the US Dollar (USD) is trading on a softer footing as Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike expectations are scaled back following weaker labour data and a mixed United States (US) Producer Price Index (PPI) report.

Source  Fxstreet1786693781
Dow Jones futures steady ahead of US Retail Sales data

Dow Jones futures remain subdued around 53,910 during European hours on Friday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures move little, hovering around 7,820, and Nasdaq 100 futures inch lower by 0.09%, trading near 30,160.

Source  Fxstreet1786691995
US Dollar: Labor slowdown gives mixed signals for Dollar - Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Volkmar Baur and Tatha Ghose highlight that despite a “low-hire, low-fire” US labor market, the Dollar remains supported. Initial jobless claims and unemployment stay very low, while wage growth shows only tentative signs of slowing.

Source  Fxstreet1786688951
One stock wrote the Dow Jones Industrial Average's entire session

The Dow Jones Industrial Average trades near 53,700 on Thursday, roughly 75 points and a tenth of a percent lower, on a morning when the S&P 500 prints a fresh record intraday high and the Nasdaq Composite runs close to a percent higher.

Source  Fxstreet1786637932
US Dollar: Safe haven support versus Fed repricing – Rabobank

Rabobank's Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley analyzes the US Dollar’s (USD) evolving relationship with Oil and its safe haven role.

Source  Fxstreet1786630343
US Dollar: Yield support erodes on weaker inflation – DBS

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee notes that softer US CPI and labour data kept DXY locked in a 99.4–100.1 range after the USD/JPY sell-off linked to joint US-Japan interventions. Markets sharply reduced the implied probability of a September Federal Reserve hike.

Source  Fxstreet1786627458
US Dollar: CPI-driven moves point to near-term stability – MUFG

Lee Hardman at MUFG reports that the US Dollar’s initial post-CPI weakness quickly reversed, with the dollar index returning to around 100.00 as markets trimmed but did not abandon expectations for a September Fed hike.

Source  Fxstreet1786614732
US Dollar: Markets remain hawkish after CPI – ING

ING strategists Francesco Pesole, Frantisek Taborsky and Chris Turner note that the Dollar strengthened after an in-line US CPI, as markets had positioned for a hotter print.

Source  Fxstreet1786610225
Dow Jones futures rise as cooling inflation reduces Fed rate hike bets

Dow Jones futures gain 0.08% to trade around 53,910 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures rise by 0.09% to trade around 7,780 and Nasdaq 100 futures advance 0.06%, trading near 29,870.

Source  Fxstreet1786608316
US Dollar Index Price Forecast: DXY bulls await trading range breakout above 100.00

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, is seen building on the previous day's sold bounce from the post-CPI swing low and prolonging its weekly uptrend for the fourth straight day.

Source  Fxstreet1786607151
US Dollar: Fed-driven hedge rebuilding revives selling pressure – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that the July Fed meeting marked a peak in Dollar dehedging rather than an end to U.S. exceptionalism. Cross-border investors are rebuilding USD hedges, reducing effective unhedged U.S. exposure while maintaining broadly solid underlying demand for U.S. assets.

Source  Fxstreet1786606453
United States Dollar Index stalls post-CPI bounce near 100.00 on receding Fed hike bets

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, continues its struggle to build on the momentum beyond the 100.00 psychological mark and edges lower during the Asian session on Thursday.

Source  Fxstreet1786583771
Cooler inflation buys the Dow Jones Industrial Average nothing

The July Consumer Price Index (CPI) landed at 12:30 GMT on every line the consensus had written for it, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average has spent the hours since handing back the few minutes of enthusiasm that followed.

Source  Fxstreet1786550433
US Dollar: Bearish momentum extends after CPI – TD Securities

TD Securities strategists note that July US inflation came in broadly in line with expectations, with headline CPI rising 0.1% m/m and core CPI increasing 0.2% m/m.

Source  Fxstreet1786547067
President Trump says US has "total control" of Hormuz

United States (US) President Donald Trump used a post on Truth Social to declare that the US has "total control" over the Strait of Hormuz on Wednesday., Trump boasted about the American naval presence near the Persian Gulf, which he described as "a wall of steel".

Source  Fxstreet1786546515
US Dollar: Soft CPI risks weigh on outlook – ING

ING’s Chris Turner expects US July CPI to be the key driver for the Federal Reserve’s next move, with consensus looking for subdued headline and core readings that edge closer to the 2% target.

Source  Fxstreet1786536864
United States Dollar Index trades calmly ahead of US Inflation data

The US Dollar (USD) reflects a sideways performance against its peers ahead of the United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) data is scheduled to be published at 12:30 GMT.

Source  Fxstreet1786535378
US Dollar: Inflation data and Middle East risks – Commerzbank

Commerzbank FX analyst Antje Praefcke notes that July US inflation is expected to rise only 0.1% month-on-month, with headline and core rates slipping to 3.4% and 2.5% year-on-year.

Source  Fxstreet1786533602
US Dollar: Fed pricing and CPI risks – BBH

Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad notes markets are steady ahead of the United States (US) July Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, which is seen as pivotal for Fed funds expectations and the Dollar.

Source  Fxstreet1786528471
US Dollar: CPI-driven range signals carry focus – OCBC

OCBC’s Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) stayed mixed as markets waited for the key United States (US) Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, with Middle East tensions and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) rhetoric offsetting each other.

Source  Fxstreet1786526520
United States Dollar Index Price Forecast: Bulls await US CPI and breakout above 100.00

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, retains a positive bias for the third straight day on Wednesday, though it lacks bullish conviction.

Source  Fxstreet1786523717
Dow Jones futures remain steady as traders await US CPI data

Dow Jones futures are steady around 53,890 during European hours on Wednesday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain by 0.18% to trade around 7,760 and Nasdaq 100 futures rise 0.48%, trading near 29,770.

Source  Fxstreet1786523630
US Dollar: CPI and Fed rhetoric in focus – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analysts highlight cautious positioning in the Dollar ahead of July US CPI, with the Dollar Index steady near 99.83 and EUR/USD around 1.1540.

Source  Fxstreet1786516624
United States Dollar Index rises to near 100.00 ahead of US inflation data

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is extending gains for the third successive day and trading around 99.90 during the Asian hours on Wednesday.

Source  Fxstreet1786507412
The US Dollar Index has no dovish tail to price

Tuesday gives the Dollar Index a session with almost nothing in it.

Source  Fxstreet1786471593
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