Brent fell below $98 a barrel as Gulf exports picked up, and bond yields in Europe and the US fell with it. France got the most relief, as the extra yield investors want for holding its 10-year debt over Germany's narrowed to about 1.3 percentage points from more than 1.5 on Friday.

TD Securities notes the US economy and labor market are resilient but not overheating, leading them to push Fed rate hike calls to December 2026 and March 2027. They believe market pricing for Fed hawkishness has peaked and see it as hard to derive persistently bullish Dollar signals from Fed and data alone, even as their scorecard still ranks the USD highest.

Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman highlights that the Dollar has trimmed some recent gains but retains support from strong US data and Fed expectations. September ISM services and manufacturing indexes point to resilient growth, while Prices Paid suggest intensifying inflation.

ING’s Francesco Pesole notes that the Dollar remains supported early in the week, helped by Euro-specific weakness and higher global bond yields, even as strong equities cap gains. The ISM services data were slightly hawkish but not enough to shift expectations for an October Federal Reserve hold.

Dow Jones futures gain by 0.47% to trade near 51,800 during European hours on Tuesday. S&P 500 futures advance by 0.24% to trade around 7,840, while Nasdaq 100 futures rise by 0.27% to trade near 31,400.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is holding its position after posting modest gains the previous day and hovering around 102.10 after pulling back from nearly 18-month highs during the European hours on Tuesday.

The US Dollar (USD) trades broadly firm against its major currency peers as United States (US) bond yields remain higher due to persistent inflation fears.

France's government owes close to 120% of what its economy produces in a year. The gap between what France and Germany pay to borrow for 10 years reached about 1.5 percentage points on Friday, the widest since 2011.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the Dollar rallied broadly last week as DXY hit new cyclical highs alongside widening US-G6 rate differentials and a deepening global bond selloff.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) is testing fresh yearly highs near the 102.50 zone, powered by independent Euro (EUR) weakness and relative resilience in the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate path.

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong highlight that the US Dollar (USD) has started Q4 2026 on a firm footing, supported by resilient United States (US) growth and hawkish Federal Reserve (Fed) risks.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, is gaining ground after registering losses in the previous trading day and hovering around 102.20 after pulling back from nearly 18-month highs during the European hours on Monday.

ING’s Chris Turner notes the US Dollar (USD) remains supported as investors focus on French fiscal risks and repricing of European Central Bank (ECB) tightening versus a more resilient Fed path.

Dow Jones futures inch lower by 0.07% to trade near 51,440 during European hours on Monday. S&P 500 futures decline by 0.09% to trade around 7,770, while Nasdaq 100 futures remain steady near 31,070.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the Greenback against a basket of currencies, catches aggressive bids following Friday's dismal US jobs data-led downtick and jumps to a fresh high since April 2025 at the start of a new week.

DBS Group Research economist Philip Wee says the Dollar’s three-week rally is losing monetary-policy support as senior Federal Reserve officials push back against expectations for another rate hike at the October 28 FOMC meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), an index of the value of the US Dollar (USD) measured against a basket of six world currencies, currently trades near 102.20 in the early Asian trading hours on Monday. The DXY holds positive ground amid safe-haven flows.

US employers added 29K jobs in September against a forecast of 90K, and July and August were revised down by a combined 60K. The unemployment rate rose to 4.2%, and hourly pay grew 3.0% over the year against a 3.2% forecast.

TD Securities' Macro Research’s FX team notes the softer US payrolls data is only marginally negative for the Dollar, with the labor market still described as buoyant and neither overheating nor deteriorating.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad notes the recent US Dollar rally and bond selloff have stalled as FOMC officials temper expectations for an October rate hike.

Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid team reports that the S&P 500 broke a three-day losing streak, helped by a pullback in US Treasury yields and more dovish FOMC commentary. Despite strong US data and earlier upward pressure on yields, markets now price a much lower probability of an October Fed hike, supporting US equities into the upcoming jobs report.

ING’s Chris Turner notes that the French debt sell-off triggered a reassessment of global rate expectations, but US short-dated yields only corrected modestly.

The US Dollar (USD) trades marginally lower on Friday ahead of the United States (US) Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for September at 12:30 GMT.

The odds of an October Fed rate hike have roughly halved since Monday, and the Dollar Index has risen on every one of those days. It trades near 102.10, its highest since April 2025. The index is moving with Crude Oil and the Euro rather than with the odds for the Fed's next meeting.

The US Dollar Index (DXY) rally gathers pace on Thursday, climbing to a fresh year-to-date high as resilient US economic growth, a firm labour market and stubborn inflation support expectations of further monetary policy tightening by the Federal Reserve (Fed).

The US Dollar (USD) continues to display underlying strength, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) touching its June year-to-date high near 101.80 despite recent data showing a deceleration in core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation.

Brown Brothers Harriman’s Elias Haddad highlights a resilient US economy underpinning Dollar strength, with the DXY at new cyclical highs. Upward revisions to US Q2 GDP and strong Q3 estimates from the Atlanta Fed GDPNow model support the constructive outlook.

Deutsche Bank’s Early Morning Reid notes that softer US PCE revisions reduced expectations for an October Fed hike, even as the Dollar Index edged higher.

Dow Jones futures decline by 0.42% to trade near 51,060 during European hours on Thursday. Meanwhile, S&P 500 futures gain by 0.09% to trade around 7,720, while Nasdaq 100 futures rise 0.51% to trade near 30,850.

ING’s Chris Turner notes the Dollar remains strongly supported, with the DXY index near its highs for the year as solid US activity data reinforces the Federal Reserve’s hawkish stance. He highlights resilient consumer spending, signs of accelerating payrolls and expectations for firm ISM readings.