News

Oil Market Shift Amid U.S.-Iran Conflict Reversal: OPEC+’s Difficult Balance From Supply Shortage to Potential Surplus

TradingKey - As the temporary ceasefire agreement between the US and Iran takes effect and shipping through the Strait of Hormuz gradually resumes, the global crude oil market is undergoing a dramatic

Source  Tradingkey1783344371
Oil: Supply normalization pressures prices – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu notes that OPEC+ has ratified another production quota increase, extending gradual supply normalization and adding pressure on Brent and WTI.

Source  Fxstreet1783344261
Gold edges lower as firmer US Dollar caps recovery

Gold (XAU/USD) edges lower on Monday as a firmer US Dollar (USD) and mild profit-taking cap gains following last week's rebound from a more than seven-month low of $3,941.

Source  Fxstreet1783337412
WTI Oil falls as oversupply concerns outweigh recent rebound

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Oil trades around $68.30 at the time of writing on Monday, down 0.64% on the day, as investors continue to assess the global supply outlook following the latest production decisions by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+).

Source  Fxstreet1783335204
Silver price today: Silver falls, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) fell on Monday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $62.02 per troy ounce, down 0.64% from the $62.42 it cost on Friday.

Source  Fxstreet1783330256
Oil: Supply rebound and glut concerns – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Dr. Henry Hao and Charlie Lay highlight a structural shift in Oil as a US–Iran interim peace deal boosts crude supply and restores shipping through the Strait of Hormuz. Seven OPEC+ members will lift output again in August, raising fears of a global crude glut.

Source  Fxstreet1783328980
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD holds losses below $62.50 on Fed hike bets

Silver price (XAG/USD) halts its four-day winning streak, trading around $62.30 per troy ounce during the European hours on Monday. The white metal edges lower as market expectations solidify around a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike later this year.

Source  Fxstreet1783324733
Analysts agree: Oil prices likely to fall further even after returning to pre-war levels

Brent Crude Oil trade flat near $71.90 during the European trading session on Monday.

Source  Fxstreet1783323664
Oil: Diverging market paths under geopolitical camps – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Market Strategist Benjamin Picton highlights that Brent has turned lower as OPEC+ eases production cuts and tanker flows through the Strait of Hormuz resume, but stresses that shipping risks remain crucial for Oil prices.

Source  Fxstreet1783322595
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data

Gold prices fell in India on Monday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.

Source  Fxstreet1783312509
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD corrects to near $62, increasing bearish bets on oil prices limit downside

Silver price (XAG/USD) is down 1% to near $61.80 during the Asian trading session on Monday. The white metal falls back after rising for four straight trading days.

Source  Fxstreet1783310887
Gold struggles to find acceptance above $4,200; eases from two-week high amid USD uptick

Gold (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest Asian session uptick and trades below a fresh two-week high, levels just above the $4,200 mark, touched this Monday.

Source  Fxstreet1783309328
WTI rises to near $69.00 despite OPEC+ hikes, Hormuz flows

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $69.00 per barrel during the Asian hours on Monday.

Source  Fxstreet1783307075
OPEC+ agrees on raising output targets, starting in August

 The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+), including Russia, agreed to raise their output targets by 188,000 barrels a day starting in August.

Source  Fxstreet1783303532
Iran confirms Strait of Hormuz service fees, rejects third-part intervention

Speaking at the World Peace Forum in Beijing on Saturday, Iran’s ambassador to China, Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli, said that Tehran is considering introducing new service fees for ships passing through the Strait of Hormuz, while promising “special" treatment for countries that supported Iran during the

Source  Fxstreet1783302918
Silver Price Forecast: Reclaims $60 as RSI recovery targets $65 breakout

Silver prices reclaim the $60.00 mark for the second straight day and extend their weekly gains to over 5.50%, trading at $62.42 amid broader US Dollar weakness that is pushing the white metal to an eight-day high of $62.89.

Source  Fxstreet1783103619
Gold price climbs as weak NFP cool Fed hike bets

Gold (XAU/USD) price rises by more than 1% on Friday as investors digest a softer-than-expected US jobs report, trimming hawkish bets despite higher inflation. At the time of writing, the XAU/USD pair trades at $4,174, after bouncing off daily lows of $4,121.

Source  Fxstreet1783103069
Copper: Tariff risks and Chile supply strain – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analyst Norman Liebke reports that the Copper market is focused on a potential 15% US import tariff on refined Copper, which could temporarily boost US demand and prices if implemented in 2027.

Source  Fxstreet1783100820
WTI Crude Oil advances on softer US jobs data and lingering Middle East tensions

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $68.65 at the time of writing on Friday, up 0.30% on the day, recovering part of its recent losses as the US Dollar (USD) weakens following softer-than-expected US employment data.

Source  Fxstreet1783096874
Oil: Market expectations diverge from data – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team, led by Norman Liebke and colleagues, notes that Oil prices have fallen as optimism grows over US–Iran talks and a potential reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.

Source  Fxstreet1783090688
Oil Market Enters Phase of Cooling, Brent Crude Trades Near $72, Citi Forecasts Oil Price May Fall to $60

Tradingkey - On July 3, Eastern Time, the US stock market is closed today due to the Independence Day holiday. Trading of precious metals, energy, foreign exchange, US Treasuries, and stock index futu

Source  Tradingkey1783088809
Gold: Price rebound seen as corrective – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Carsten Fritsch notes that the Gold price has rebounded toward USD 4,200 per ounce after steep second-quarter losses, helped by weaker US labour data and reduced rate hike expectations.

Source  Fxstreet1783084943
Aluminium: Gulf supply disruptions seen temporary – ING

ING analysts Warren Patterson and Ewa Manthey say LME Aluminium fell towards $3,000/t as markets unwound the geopolitical risk premium from earlier Middle East tensions.

Source  Fxstreet1783080768
Gold extends gains as weak US NFP data dents Fed rate hike expectations

Gold (XAU/USD) extends gains on Friday as weaker-than-expected US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data released on Thursday batters the US Dollar (USD) and cools expectations of an imminent Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate hike.

Source  Fxstreet1783079990
Silver climbs above $62 on fading Fed rate hike expectations

Silver (XAG/USD) advances to $62.35 on Friday at the time of writing, up 2.32% on the day, as investors increase exposure to precious metals following the release of a weaker-than-expected US employment report.

Source  Fxstreet1783079380
Gold: Rebound tests major resistance band – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts note that Gold has held the $3,930/3,885 support zone linked to the November 2025 low and rebounded sharply.

Source  Fxstreet1783077440
Silver price today: Silver rises, according to FXStreet data

Silver prices (XAG/USD) rose on Friday, according to FXStreet data. Silver trades at $62.60 per troy ounce, up 2.72% from the $60.94 it cost on Thursday.

Source  Fxstreet1783071029
WTI Price Forecast: Hovers around mid-$68.00s amid oversold RSI; bearish potential intact

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – attracts fresh sellers following an intraday uptick to the $69.25 area on Friday, its modest bounce from the lowest level since late February touched the previous day.

Source  Fxstreet1783069180
Gold: Higher range forming as Fed risks ease – TD Securities

TD Securities’ Bart Melek notes that weaker US jobs data and reduced odds of a 2026 Fed rate hike have driven Gold above $4,100/oz. The bank expects Gold to trend toward $4,280/oz near term, with support near $3,900/oz holding.

Source  Fxstreet1783068680
Silver Price Forecast: Cooling Non-Farm Payrolls Weaken Fed Rate Hike Expectations, Silver Expected to rebound Toward $70.

TradingKey - As of the Asian session on July 3, silver ( XAGUSD) prices extended yesterday's post-NFP rebound momentum, reclaiming the level above $62. Technical indicators suggest that silver may con

Source  Tradingkey1783064842
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