USD/CNH: Bears may break below 7.1150 towards 7.0636 – UOB Group

The US Dollar (USD) is likely to trade sideways between 7.1150 and 7.1350. In the longer run, downward momentum has increased sharply, suggesting there is potential for USD to decline to 7.0636, UOB Group FX strategists Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Potential to decline towards 7.0636

24-HOUR VIEW: “Yesterday, we held the view that USD ‘could drop further to 7.0900 before stabilisation can be expected.’ However, USD fell less than expected, rebounding from 7.1069 to 7.1251. USD closed at 7.1239 (+0.11%). Downward pressure appears to have faded. Today, USD is likely to trade sideways, probably between 7.1150 and 7.1350.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After USD fell last Friday, we indicated yesterday (26 Aug, spot at 7.1100) that downward momentum has increased sharply, suggesting there is potential for USD to decline to the July’s low of 7.0636. While USD did not make further headway on the downside, we continue to hold the same view for now. Only a breach of 7.1460 (no change in ‘strong resistance level from yesterday) would mean that USD is not declining further.”