History Shows 1 Powerful Fact That Makes Me Bullish on VTI

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • The Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) was launched in May 2001.

  • In the past 25 years since then, VTI has delivered average annual returns of 9.44%.

  • $300 per month invested in VTI starting 25 years ago would be worth more than $325,000 today.

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

It's easy to get distracted by daily news headlines and stressful events in the world and social media noise about the stock market. It's harder to stay focused on the long-term.

But in the long run, most negative news headlines don't matter much for the stock market. The broader U.S. stock market tends to keep growing and delivering strong returns -- if you can hold on for the long-term.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

What does "long-term" investing mean? How about 25 years. That's how long the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI) has been available to investors. That's a longer track record than many investment firms. Many publicly traded companies don't even stay in business for 25 years.

Here's the most impressive fact about VTI: for the past 25 years since the fund's inception in May 2001, this same total stock market ETF has delivered average annual returns of 9.44%. In the past five years, VTI has done even better, with annualized returns of about 12.6%.

Just by owning this one ticker that holds roughly "all the stocks" of the U.S. market for the past 25 years, just by patiently, consistently investing in this one low-cost index fund, investors could have built life-changing wealth.

Here's why this one fact is so powerful: that 9.44% annualized return includes major stock market crashes that have happened in the past 25 years, like the global financial crisis in 2008 and the Great Recession. It includes the bear market that happened after the dot-com bubble. If you were a long-term investor in this fund, you still made great money despite those terrible problems in the short term.

Let's look at what the 25-year history of the Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF means, and why it matters for your investing choices today.

A confident investor looks at a laptop screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

VTI: 3,519 stocks of all sizes

The Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) might be the best index fund for owning the most diversified mix of U.S. stocks. VTI holds a portfolio of 3,519 stocks, which includes small-caps and mid-caps, along with large-caps like the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). These smaller companies held by VTI don't always outperform the big names of the S&P 500, but they might have more upside potential for the future.

Because VTI owns "all the stocks" and not just the largest companies, it sometimes underperforms the S&P 500. In the past 10 years, VTI has underperformed that large-cap index, as well as the tech-heavy Nasdaq-100 index.

^NDX Chart

^NDX data by YCharts

But that's OK. Even with "only" 9.44% annualized returns, lots of everyday people could have made massive gains by investing only in VTI for the past 25 years. Here's how the math looks.

VTI: investing at 9.44% annualized returns for 25 years

What if you had started investing in VTI 25 years ago? A one-time $1,000 investment in VTI in 2001 would have grown to $9,537 today. Your money would have multiplied by about 9.5 times.

But most people don't invest in the stock market only once. Many investors keep putting money into stocks on a regular basis. What if you could steadily keep investing $300 per month, starting 25 years ago to today, earning VTI's 9.44% average annual return?

After 5 years, you'd have $21,735. After 10 years, you'd have $55,857. After 20 years, you'd have $193,525. And after 25 years of investing in VTI, today you would have $325,555.

What if you could have invested even more, and put $500 per month into VTI for the past 25 years? A $500 monthly investment in VTI earning a 9.44% average annual return from 2001 to today would have grown to $542,592 after 25 years.

Why buy VTI

The Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF doesn't have to be your only investment. But it can be a great way to start investing, and a solid piece of your portfolio. Few other ETFs have such a long-term track record of strong performance for 25 years.

There's no guarantee that VTI or any other stock or ETF will keep delivering the same returns that it has in the past. But if you believe that the U.S. stock market is likely to keep growing, and you want to own companies of all sectors and sizes, VTI is a low-cost, simple way to bet on the future of America's economy. America's publicly traded companies tend to keep figuring out new ways to solve problems, sell products, and earn profits. Index funds like VTI let you share in that success.

It won't help you get rich quick. But if VTI keeps delivering 9.44% annualized returns in the future, it could help you build significant wealth with steady, consistent investments and a long-term perspective.

Should you buy stock in Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $355,124!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,296,254!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 901% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 210% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 25, 2026.

Ben Gran has positions in Vanguard Morningstar Total Stock Market ETF. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold falls to two‑month low below $4,050 as oil spikesGold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 23, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 23, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
placeholder
Brent tops $113 on Saudi supply risk — but the diesel line in the EIA report is the tellBrent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
goTop
quote