Not Microsoft. Not Google. Analysts Call This $2.7 Trillion Tech Titan the Most Undervalued AI Play.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Amazon's e-commerce business is benefiting from AI.

  • Last quarter, Amazon Web Services revenue grew 37% year over year to $42.2 billion.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Amazon ›

Are investors overlooking obvious technology investments right in front of their faces? Stocks like Nvidia and Palantir Technologies have soared in recent years, lifting the S&P 500 index higher. However, some strong technology companies' stocks have been relative laggards during that time.

One example is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN). Over the last five years, its shares are up 51%, compared with an 88% gain for the index. I think the market is massively underappreciating Amazon's potential as an artificial intelligence (AI) winner.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Here's why I view Amazon as the most undervalued AI play for your portfolio in 2027 and beyond.

A person working in a data center.

Image source: Getty Images.

Massive cloud acceleration

Evercore's Mark Mahaney has a price target of $355 on Amazon stock, which currently trades at around $250. He sees its potential to flip from AI laggard to AI winner over the coming quarters.

Why? Because of how much Amazon Web Services (AWS) is benefiting from the AI infrastructure boom. Amazon has chosen not to develop its own cutting-edge AI model, but AWS is the world's No. 1 cloud infrastructure player, and it aims to remain the data center, IT layer, and platform provider of choice for the training and deployment of AI services.

Last quarter, AWS revenue grew 37% year over year to $42.2 billion, a huge acceleration from recent quarters. With AWS' backlog growing and Amazon pouring capital into new data centers, investors should expect this growth to continue compounding over the coming quarters.

Don't forget e-commerce automation and advertising

AI can bolster Amazon's e-commerce, retail, and services divisions in different ways.

First, it is applying AI search tools to its website to help customers parse ordering choices more efficiently. Second, it's using AI to help brands create sponsored ads and more effectively target their advertisements. Third, Amazon is layering in automation and AI across its supply chain, including warehouse sorting, self-driving delivery, and drone delivery. The last one is a longer-term investment, but could lead to huge efficiency gains for Amazon in the years ahead.

Amazon's North America retail business grew 16% last quarter to $116 billion. Margins remain quite thin for that segment, at 7.4% over the last 12 months, but that is due in part to the investments it is making in automation and AI. Over the longer term, there should be immense operating leverage across this supply chain, leading to a nice expansion of segment margins.

SPY Total Return Level Chart

SPY Total Return Level data by YCharts.

Why Amazon is a cheap stock today

If you factor in everything, Amazon stock looks relatively cheap, even with a market cap of $2.7 trillion.

First, consider that AWS now boasts an annualized revenue rate (ARR) of $169 billion. If this figure grows by 37% again over the next 12 months, it would reach $232 billion by this time next year. In the long term, revenue growth will slow, but there is still significant potential at AWS. Plus, it has a profit margin of roughly 35%, which equates to around $81 billion in operating earnings.

The rest of Amazon -- including its international segment -- is currently generating $627 billion in revenue. I think this figure could grow to around $800 billion over the next two to three years, with nice margin expansions due to the factors discussed above.

A 10% consolidated margin on $800 billion in revenue would amount to $80 billion in earnings for the non-AWS businesses, giving the company $161 billion in total earnings. Based on that figure, its current forward earnings multiple is just 17, which suggests that Amazon stock is undervalued if you buy and hold for the next few years, let alone the long term.

Should you buy stock in Amazon right now?

Before you buy stock in Amazon, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Amazon wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $364,023!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,467,933!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 948% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 6, 2026.

Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Evercore, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD recovers some lost ground above $2,050, US ADP report eyedGold price (XAU/USD) bounces off the multi-day lows near $2030 per ounce and hovers around $2,042 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
Author  FXStreet
Jan 04, 2024
Gold price (XAU/USD) bounces off the multi-day lows near $2030 per ounce and hovers around $2,042 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 06, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 07, Wed
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
placeholder
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 07: 32
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】Gold rebounds 1% off a two-month low, Nasdaq drops 1.25% and yields ease — the storm premium keeps WTI near $91Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
Author  Irene Q.
1 hour ago
Gold trades at $4,174 after rebounding from Wednesday's $4,090 two-month low, the Nasdaq fell 1.25% while the Dow edged higher, and the 10-year Treasury eased to 5.23% from the week's highs. Hurricane Isaias keeps about 25% of Gulf output shut in with WTI near $91, and bitcoin holds below $82,000. The next scheduled tests are the EIA report on 15 October and the FOMC on 27-28 October.
goTop
quote