Mitrade Insights is dedicated to providing investors with rich, timely and most valuable financial information to help investors grasp the market situation and find timely trading opportunities.

2021

Best News & Analysis Provider

FxDailyInfo

2022

Best Forex Educational Resources Global

International Business Magazine

Insights

News

Technical Analysis

Forex Today: The RBA and Fedspeak grab all the attention

Source Fxstreet

The US Dollar (USD) has stated the week with slight gains, resuming its recent uptrend and leaving behind Friday’s hiccup. In the meantime, further tightening by the Fed remains at the centre of almost every debate, while re-escalating tensions in the Middle East continue to lend support to the buck and limit any potential declines.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, September 29:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) has managed to keep the trade just above the 101.00 barrier, helped by the unabated move higher in US Treasury yields across the spectrum. The FHFA’s House Price Index will be released along with JOLTs Job Openings, the Conference Board’s Consumer Confidence gauge and the API’s weekly report on US crude inventories. In addition, the Fed’s Goolsbee, Musalem and Williams are due to speak.

EUR/USD has rapidly faded Friday’s uptick and refocused on the lower end of its range, revisiting the area of multi-week troughs near 1.1350. The final print of the EMU’s Consumer Confidence is due, followed by Consumer Inflation Expectations tracked by the European Commission. Additionally, the ECB’s Cipollone, Lane, Lagarde and Vujčić will also speak.

GBP/USD has added to Friday’s advance, reaching new three-day highs around 1.3280. The BRC Shop Price Inflation kicks off the calendar across the Channel, followed by the BoE’s Mortgage Approvals/Lending, M4 Money Supply, Consumer Credit and Net Lending to Individuals.

USD/JPY has traded without clear direction in the low 157.00s, with bears struggling to extend Friday’s severe pullback. Japan will only see the release of the final Coincident and Leading Economic Indexes.

AUD/USD has started the week in an irresolute mode, challenging once again the 0.7000 contention zone. The RBA is widely anticipated to hike its OCR at its meeting. Data-wise, Household Spending figures will also be released.

Front-month WTI futures have trimmed their initial move past the 96.00 mark per barrel, stabilising below $93.00 amid the resurgence of geopolitical tensions in the US-Iran-Hormuz conflict.

Gold has retreated to levels last seen in early August near the $4,100 mark per troy ounce following the better tone in the US Dollar and the strong rebound in US Treasury yields across the curve.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Recommended Articles

【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve begins The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.

Author Irene Q.

Sep 15, Tue

The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.

October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changed Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Author Irene Q.

Sep 23, Wed

Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decision The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.

Author Mitrade

Sep 28, Mon

The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.

Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth trading Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.

Author Irene Q.

19 hours ago

Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.

The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficit The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.

Author Irene Q.

19 hours ago

The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.

Related Instrument