There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further – Scotiabank
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovers above 104.00. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook.
Spreads have moved only marginally in the USD’s favour over the past month
Although markets continue to reprice Fed rate cut risks in the coming months (Fed swaps imply only 75 bps of easing through the end of the year now, about half of what was priced in at the start of February), this is not an obvious driver of USD gains because implied rate cuts by other central banks have been slashed as well.
Spreads have moved only marginally (5-6 bps for 2Y spreads) in the USD’s favour over the past month and the DXY is still trading above my estimated fair value (based on DXY-weighted yield differentials) which sits at 103.04 today.
There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further, in other words.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
If Warsh rejects dot plot projections, it could suppress institutional capital and weaken market risk appetite in the short term, but is a long-term positive for Bitcoin.On June 17, Asian
Three Major International Investment Banks Bearish on Oil Outlook, Citi Expects Brent to Fall to $70. Crude Oil Prices Fall for Four Straight Days to Levels at Start of US-Iraq War.On June 16, after US President Donald Trump sent consecutive signals of geopolitical easing, the two major crude oil benchmarks extended their recent declines and are poised to return to
On June 16, after US President Donald Trump sent consecutive signals of geopolitical easing, the two major crude oil benchmarks extended their recent declines and are poised to return to
The USD/JPY pair ticks lower during the Asian session on Wednesday, though it remains within striking distance of the highest level since late April, touched last week.
Since 2026, gold has erased almost all of its gains and has fallen more than 20% from its record high of $5,595 set at the end of January. Has gold bottomed out? Is now the time to add to
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price inches higher after registering 3.7% losses in the previous day, trading around $80.10 per barrel during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
Related Instrument
