There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further – Scotiabank
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovers above 104.00. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook.
Spreads have moved only marginally in the USD’s favour over the past month
Although markets continue to reprice Fed rate cut risks in the coming months (Fed swaps imply only 75 bps of easing through the end of the year now, about half of what was priced in at the start of February), this is not an obvious driver of USD gains because implied rate cuts by other central banks have been slashed as well.
Spreads have moved only marginally (5-6 bps for 2Y spreads) in the USD’s favour over the past month and the DXY is still trading above my estimated fair value (based on DXY-weighted yield differentials) which sits at 103.04 today.
There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further, in other words.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts fresh sellers at the start of a new week and reverses a part of Friday's strong move up of over $150 from sub-$4,900 levels.
Silver price retreats during the North American session nearly 1%, after reaching a daily high of $78.20.
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its losses for the second successive session, trading around $4,930 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some follow-through selling for the second straight day and slides to the $4,922 area during the Asian session on Tuesday amid thin liquidity on the back of the Lunar New Year holidays in China.
Related Instrument
