There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further – Scotiabank
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovers above 104.00. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook.
Spreads have moved only marginally in the USD’s favour over the past month
Although markets continue to reprice Fed rate cut risks in the coming months (Fed swaps imply only 75 bps of easing through the end of the year now, about half of what was priced in at the start of February), this is not an obvious driver of USD gains because implied rate cuts by other central banks have been slashed as well.
Spreads have moved only marginally (5-6 bps for 2Y spreads) in the USD’s favour over the past month and the DXY is still trading above my estimated fair value (based on DXY-weighted yield differentials) which sits at 103.04 today.
There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further, in other words.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
WTI (USOIL) is down 2.13% at Sep 22 05:55(ET), now at $89.999, with a 7-day down of 12.84%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The retreat in US crude oil benchmark prices was primari
Bitcoin Surges to Briefly Break $87,000; Where Is the Next Key Resistance Level?On September 22, Bitcoin (BTC) strongly broke through the past month's resistance level of $82,000, surging
Bitcoin holds above $86,000 as four of five majors hit 3-month highs — why XRP is the odd one outBitcoin broke above $86,000 for the first time since late January and four of the five largest cryptocurrencies hit three-month highs — but XRP, despite leading the 24-hour gains, is the only one that failed to confirm. Roughly $900 million of leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts making up 86-90% of the total.
Bitcoin broke above $86,000 for the first time since late January and four of the five largest cryptocurrencies hit three-month highs — but XRP, despite leading the 24-hour gains, is the only one that failed to confirm. Roughly $900 million of leveraged positions were liquidated in 24 hours, with shorts making up 86-90% of the total.
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Bitcoin (BTC) market conditions improved over the past week as spot buying pressure strengthened and derivatives positioning increased, pushing the top crypto near $86,000.
Related Instrument
