There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further – Scotiabank
Source Fxstreet
The US Dollar Index (DXY) recovers above 104.00. Economists at Scotiabank analyze Greenback’s outlook.
Spreads have moved only marginally in the USD’s favour over the past month
Although markets continue to reprice Fed rate cut risks in the coming months (Fed swaps imply only 75 bps of easing through the end of the year now, about half of what was priced in at the start of February), this is not an obvious driver of USD gains because implied rate cuts by other central banks have been slashed as well.
Spreads have moved only marginally (5-6 bps for 2Y spreads) in the USD’s favour over the past month and the DXY is still trading above my estimated fair value (based on DXY-weighted yield differentials) which sits at 103.04 today.
There may be little potential for USD gains to develop further, in other words.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Bitcoin prices briefly fell below $75,000, hitting a new 10-month low, though the probability of continued short-term downside remains low.On Monday (February 12), the cryptocurrency mark
Bitcoin price targets remain bearish as it struggles near multi-month lows, influenced by historical bear market trends.
Australian shares post their worst loss in two months as gold miners slump 7.2% on hawkish US Fed outlooks and looming RBA rate hike fears.
Cryptocurrencies plunge again as Warsh emerges as a possible candidate for Fed Chair and the U.S. SEC delays the release of crypto innovation waiver measures.On Friday (January 30), the c
WTI slumps to near $64.00 on oversupply concerns and strong Dollar, Iran tensions limit lossesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $64.00 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The WTI price falls after hitting its highest since late September as oversupply concerns weigh on the price.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $64.00 during the early European trading hours on Friday. The WTI price falls after hitting its highest since late September as oversupply concerns weigh on the price.
Related Instrument
