Forex Today: Attention is back to the real economy

Source Fxstreet

The US Dollar continued its ascent, reaching fresh 2024 highs, even as the Trump-led rally showed signs of slowing and US yields dipped slightly ahead of a busy economic calendar on Friday.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 15:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) printed a new 2024 peak north of 107.00 despite declining US yields across the curve. Retail Sales will be at the centre of the debate across the pond, seconded by the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, Export and Import Prices, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, and Business Inventories.

EUR/USD broke below the 1.0500 support to hit new 2024 lows amidst the incessant move higher in the Greenback. Germany’s Wholesale Prices are due along with speeches by the ECB’s McCaul, Lane, and Cipollone.

GBP/USD broke below the 1.2700 support to reach new lows amid further gains in the Greenback. The advanced Q3 GDP Growth Rate figures takes centre stage on the UK docket, followed by Business Investment, Goods Trade Balance, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, Construction Output, the final Q2 Labour Productivity index, and the NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker.

USD/JPY climbed past the 156.00 hurdle for the first time since mid-July on the back of further gains in the US Dollar. Key data releases in Japan will include flash Q3 GDP Growth Rate, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and the Tertiary Industry Index.

Extra strength in the Greenback and the inconclusive price action in the commodity complex dragged AUD/USD to new lows near 0.6450. The RBA’s Jones will be the sole event Down Under at the end of the week.

WTI prices added to Wednesday’s marginal gains and shifted their focus to the key $70.00 mark on the back of a positive EIA’s weekly report.

Prices of Gold advanced marginally and regained the $2,570 region after bottoming out in new lows near $2,535 earlier in the day. Silver prices bounced off the sub-$30.00 zone per ounce, making a decent U-turn and eventually ending the day with marked gains.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
23 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
placeholder
Gold falls to near $4,150 as higher Treasury yields, oil prices outweigh softer PCE inflationGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
4 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,150 during the early Asian session on Thursday, pressured by elevated US Treasury bond yields. Traders await the US September employment data for fresh impetus, which will be released later on Friday. 
goTop
quote