Forex Today: Attention is back to the real economy

Source Fxstreet

The US Dollar continued its ascent, reaching fresh 2024 highs, even as the Trump-led rally showed signs of slowing and US yields dipped slightly ahead of a busy economic calendar on Friday.

Here is what you need to know on Friday, November 15:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) printed a new 2024 peak north of 107.00 despite declining US yields across the curve. Retail Sales will be at the centre of the debate across the pond, seconded by the NY Empire State Manufacturing Index, Export and Import Prices, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, and Business Inventories.

EUR/USD broke below the 1.0500 support to hit new 2024 lows amidst the incessant move higher in the Greenback. Germany’s Wholesale Prices are due along with speeches by the ECB’s McCaul, Lane, and Cipollone.

GBP/USD broke below the 1.2700 support to reach new lows amid further gains in the Greenback. The advanced Q3 GDP Growth Rate figures takes centre stage on the UK docket, followed by Business Investment, Goods Trade Balance, Industrial and Manufacturing Production, Construction Output, the final Q2 Labour Productivity index, and the NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker.

USD/JPY climbed past the 156.00 hurdle for the first time since mid-July on the back of further gains in the US Dollar. Key data releases in Japan will include flash Q3 GDP Growth Rate, Capacity Utilization, Industrial Production, and the Tertiary Industry Index.

Extra strength in the Greenback and the inconclusive price action in the commodity complex dragged AUD/USD to new lows near 0.6450. The RBA’s Jones will be the sole event Down Under at the end of the week.

WTI prices added to Wednesday’s marginal gains and shifted their focus to the key $70.00 mark on the back of a positive EIA’s weekly report.

Prices of Gold advanced marginally and regained the $2,570 region after bottoming out in new lows near $2,535 earlier in the day. Silver prices bounced off the sub-$30.00 zone per ounce, making a decent U-turn and eventually ending the day with marked gains.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold falls to two‑month low below $4,050 as oil spikesGold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 23, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to the lowest in more than two months near $4,025 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as escalating tensions in the Middle East send oil surging ahead of a Federal Reserve (Fed) policy meeting.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 23, Fri
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Nasdaq closes at 26,008.86 — 8.9 points above 26,000, and the credit market never blinkedThe Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
The Nasdaq Composite fell 2.60% to 26,008.86 on October 22, its worst session since June, as Meta sank 6.98% on 2026 capex guidance of $135–145 billion. But the equal-weight S&P 500 rose 0.73%, high-yield credit was flat and 10-year yields fell 20 basis points. This was an AI de-rating, not a risk-off event — here is the transmission chain, the 29,000 / 28,200 levels and what would prove it wrong.
placeholder
Brent tops $113 on Saudi supply risk — but the diesel line in the EIA report is the tellBrent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 23, Fri
Brent's December contract settled at $113.17 on October 22, up 4.00% and the highest close since May 4, after Saudi Arabia restricted refined-product shipments. The same session's EIA report showed crude stocks down 3.06 million barrels and gasoline down 2.95 million — but distillates built 1.68 million. That single line decides whether $113 holds: here are the data, the 108.8 / 114.0 / 119.3 levels and the two scenarios.
goTop
quote