Aussie likely to suffer if the RBA gives any indication of an imminent rate cut – Commerzbank
Source Fxstreet
Australian inflation figures for the fourth quarter will be released on Wednesday, January 31 at 00:30 GMT. Economists at Commerzbank analyze Aussie’s outlook ahead of the data.
RBA is unlikely to give the all-clear just yet
If the economists surveyed by Bloomberg are correct, the quarterly increase should be lower than in the third quarter but about the same as in the second quarter, i.e. the level we saw six months ago before inflation picked up again. With a quarterly change of 0.8%, the RBA is unlikely to give the all-clear just yet.
Unless inflation falls much more than expected, the RBA is unlikely to give any indication of an imminent rate cut at next week's meeting. If it does, it is likely to be one of the more dovish central banks and the Aussie is likely to suffer as a result.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
During Wednesday's Asian trading session, spot gold (XAUUSD) extended its rebound, reclaiming $4,400/oz. As of 11:08 Beijing time on August 12, spot gold was trading at $4,414.705/oz, up
WTI declines below $82.50 as oil inventories rise far more than expectedWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.45 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI declines on a larger-than-expected build in US crude oil inventories. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran talks for fresh impetus.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $82.45 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. WTI declines on a larger-than-expected build in US crude oil inventories. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding US-Iran talks for fresh impetus.
WTI remains below $80.50 as traders monitor diplomatic efforts to reopen HormuzWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $80.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude oil prices edge lower as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring diplomatic attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued for the third successive day, trading around $80.30 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude oil prices edge lower as investors adopt a wait-and-see approach, closely monitoring diplomatic attempts to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Related Instrument
