Aussie likely to suffer if the RBA gives any indication of an imminent rate cut – Commerzbank
Source Fxstreet
Australian inflation figures for the fourth quarter will be released on Wednesday, January 31 at 00:30 GMT. Economists at Commerzbank analyze Aussie’s outlook ahead of the data.
RBA is unlikely to give the all-clear just yet
If the economists surveyed by Bloomberg are correct, the quarterly increase should be lower than in the third quarter but about the same as in the second quarter, i.e. the level we saw six months ago before inflation picked up again. With a quarterly change of 0.8%, the RBA is unlikely to give the all-clear just yet.
Unless inflation falls much more than expected, the RBA is unlikely to give any indication of an imminent rate cut at next week's meeting. If it does, it is likely to be one of the more dovish central banks and the Aussie is likely to suffer as a result.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Gold is on fire at the start of the week, a widely expected move, as investors seek harbor in the traditional store of value, following the continued US and Israel attacks on Iran.
WTI Price Forecast: Retreats from seven-month top, still well bid near $71.00 markWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices trim a part of strong intraday gains to levels beyond the $73.00 mark, or the highest since June 2025, touched this Monday in reaction to a dramatic escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) US Crude Oil prices trim a part of strong intraday gains to levels beyond the $73.00 mark, or the highest since June 2025, touched this Monday in reaction to a dramatic escalation of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Related Instrument
