Not Microsoft. Not Google. Analysts Call This $2.7 Trillion Tech Titan the Most Undervalued AI Play.

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Amazon's e-commerce business is benefiting from AI.

  • Last quarter, Amazon Web Services revenue grew 37% year over year to $42.2 billion.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Amazon ›

Are investors overlooking obvious technology investments right in front of their faces? Stocks like Nvidia and Palantir Technologies have soared in recent years, lifting the S&P 500 index higher. However, some strong technology companies' stocks have been relative laggards during that time.

One example is Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN). Over the last five years, its shares are up 51%, compared with an 88% gain for the index. I think the market is massively underappreciating Amazon's potential as an artificial intelligence (AI) winner.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Here's why I view Amazon as the most undervalued AI play for your portfolio in 2027 and beyond.

A person working in a data center.

Image source: Getty Images.

Massive cloud acceleration

Evercore's Mark Mahaney has a price target of $355 on Amazon stock, which currently trades at around $250. He sees its potential to flip from AI laggard to AI winner over the coming quarters.

Why? Because of how much Amazon Web Services (AWS) is benefiting from the AI infrastructure boom. Amazon has chosen not to develop its own cutting-edge AI model, but AWS is the world's No. 1 cloud infrastructure player, and it aims to remain the data center, IT layer, and platform provider of choice for the training and deployment of AI services.

Last quarter, AWS revenue grew 37% year over year to $42.2 billion, a huge acceleration from recent quarters. With AWS' backlog growing and Amazon pouring capital into new data centers, investors should expect this growth to continue compounding over the coming quarters.

Don't forget e-commerce automation and advertising

AI can bolster Amazon's e-commerce, retail, and services divisions in different ways.

First, it is applying AI search tools to its website to help customers parse ordering choices more efficiently. Second, it's using AI to help brands create sponsored ads and more effectively target their advertisements. Third, Amazon is layering in automation and AI across its supply chain, including warehouse sorting, self-driving delivery, and drone delivery. The last one is a longer-term investment, but could lead to huge efficiency gains for Amazon in the years ahead.

Amazon's North America retail business grew 16% last quarter to $116 billion. Margins remain quite thin for that segment, at 7.4% over the last 12 months, but that is due in part to the investments it is making in automation and AI. Over the longer term, there should be immense operating leverage across this supply chain, leading to a nice expansion of segment margins.

SPY Total Return Level Chart

SPY Total Return Level data by YCharts.

Why Amazon is a cheap stock today

If you factor in everything, Amazon stock looks relatively cheap, even with a market cap of $2.7 trillion.

First, consider that AWS now boasts an annualized revenue rate (ARR) of $169 billion. If this figure grows by 37% again over the next 12 months, it would reach $232 billion by this time next year. In the long term, revenue growth will slow, but there is still significant potential at AWS. Plus, it has a profit margin of roughly 35%, which equates to around $81 billion in operating earnings.

The rest of Amazon -- including its international segment -- is currently generating $627 billion in revenue. I think this figure could grow to around $800 billion over the next two to three years, with nice margin expansions due to the factors discussed above.

A 10% consolidated margin on $800 billion in revenue would amount to $80 billion in earnings for the non-AWS businesses, giving the company $161 billion in total earnings. Based on that figure, its current forward earnings multiple is just 17, which suggests that Amazon stock is undervalued if you buy and hold for the next few years, let alone the long term.

Should you buy stock in Amazon right now?

Before you buy stock in Amazon, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Amazon wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $364,023!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,467,933!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 948% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 6, 2026.

Brett Schafer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Evercore, Microsoft, Nvidia, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
NVIDIA Price Forecast: Michael Burry Shorts NVDA, but Analysts See $299On July 1, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) sits at $198.34, failing to break above the former support level that is now serving as resistance between $198 and $205 on the 2H chart's downward blue c
Author  TradingKey
Jul 02, Thu
On July 1, NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) sits at $198.34, failing to break above the former support level that is now serving as resistance between $198 and $205 on the 2H chart's downward blue c
placeholder
Meta Compute Launch Sends AI Compute Stocks Tumbling GloballyMeta’s plan to sell surplus computing power hit chip stocks hard on Wall Street. Meta’s own shares climbed nearly 9% on the news.The announcement flipped years of assumed AI compute scarcity into a su
Author  Beincrypto
Jul 02, Thu
Meta’s plan to sell surplus computing power hit chip stocks hard on Wall Street. Meta’s own shares climbed nearly 9% on the news.The announcement flipped years of assumed AI compute scarcity into a su
placeholder
XAUUSD Gold Analysis: Gold Holds Above $4,350 Ahead of US Inflation Data Is $4,500 Next? Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 12, Wed
Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Drops 1.32% Despite Lower Fed Rate-Hike Bets, Can $4,313 Support Hold? Gold fell 1.32% on August 13 after rising to $4,449.73, then reversing lower and closing near $4,349.918 below the $4,356.46 support. Softer US inflation data reduced Fed rate hike expectations, but selling pressure still dominated the session. Will $4,313 support hold?
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 14, Fri
Gold fell 1.32% on August 13 after rising to $4,449.73, then reversing lower and closing near $4,349.918 below the $4,356.46 support. Softer US inflation data reduced Fed rate hike expectations, but selling pressure still dominated the session. Will $4,313 support hold?
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Gains 0.94% as Markets Expect Fed to Hold Rates, Can $4,449 Resistance Break? Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 18, Tue
Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
goTop
quote