Should You Forget Nike Stock Near a 52-Week Low?

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Nike's share price has sharply declined in recent memory, including this year.

  • The new CEO has taken steps to grow sales.

  • Recent results show the company faces hurdles.

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

It's tempting to buy stocks at or near their 52-week low. Still, investors should take a step back before investing. That's because the market quickly incorporates information. In other words, the share price has dropped for a reason.

Turning to individual stocks, Nike's (NYSE: NKE) share price closed at $37.30 on Oct. 23. That's near the 52-week low of $31.97 and well below the high of $70.44.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Do the shares represent a value opportunity at this level?

Someone shopping for sneakers in a store.

Image source: Getty Images.

Nike had been a leading brand, with memorable commercials that resonated with consumers. After several missteps and intensifying competitive pressures, sales struggled. A couple of years ago, the company brought in a new CEO, former Nike executive Elliott Hill, to turn around languishing sales.

He has outlined steps such as rebuilding relationships with retailers, developing products, and reemphasizing sports merchandise.

However, it's challenging to rebuild a brand's relevance, and Nike's sales remain in the doldrums. Nike's fiscal first-quarter sales dropped 5% year over year, adjusted for foreign-currency translation. This covered the period that ended on Aug. 31.

Management doesn't expect things to improve anytime soon, either. It forecasts that sales will fall by a high single-digit percentage this year.

Facing intense competition and a turnaround that has yet to show tangible results, this has the makings of a value trap. Hence, I'd pass on Nike's shares despite the stock's big price drop.

Should you buy stock in Nike right now?

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Lawrence Rothman, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nike. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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