If a Stock Market Crash Is Coming, History Says Investors Who Do This 1 Thing Always Win Out

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • With major market indexes wavering, many investors are feeling nervous about the future.

  • The market's short-term performance is unpredictable, but that's not necessarily a bad thing.

  • A long-term outlook can set your investments up for lucrative gains.

  • 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index ›

The stock market has been shaky lately, with the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC), and Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJINDICES: ^DJI) all slipping from their all-time highs earlier this year.

Investors are feeling the uncertainty, too. The Fear and Greed Index measures investor sentiment on a scale from 0 to 100, with lower numbers indicating greater fear. In early May, the index peaked at 71 -- firmly in the "greed" category. As of this writing, it sits at 28, indicating fearful investor sentiment.

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In other words, if you're feeling nervous about the market right now, you're in good company. Fortunately, history says one simple, proven strategy can help protect your investments right now.

Sign with a red bear against a stormy sky.

Image source: Getty Images.

Staying invested is more important than ever

If you're worried about a market crash, it can be tempting to sell your investments now before prices plunge. While that strategy may sound safer, it can be costly.

The market's short-term performance will always be unpredictable to an extent. When the market stumbles, it's impossible to know whether it's just a short-term fluctuation or the beginning of a crash.

For example, earlier this year, the S&P 500 plunged amid fears that the war in Iran would drag the market into a recession. Almost immediately, though, it rebounded. As of this writing, the index is up more than 13% so far this year.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts

While it may sound counterintuitive, history shows that the single best way to avoid losing money during a downturn is to continue investing consistently. When stock prices plunge, your portfolio may lose value. But you won't actually lock in losses unless you sell your investments for less than you paid for them.

For example, say you sold your stocks in March of this year, expecting the market to fall further. In that case, you'd have been hit twice: first by selling at discounted prices, and second by having to pay higher prices to reinvest later after the market rebounded.

Timing the market accurately is nearly impossible, and it can often cost you more than you gain.

The market has a flawless track record of long-term growth

Decades' worth of history proves that staying invested for the long term is the most lucrative way to build wealth in the stock market -- even when the short term is volatile.

During the dot-com bubble burst in the early 2000s, for instance, the S&P 500 sank by nearly 50% as the tech sector imploded. It took years for the index to reach a new all-time high, and shortly after it did, the Great Recession began in 2007 -- becoming the most severe economic downturn post-WWII.

^SPX Chart

^SPX data by YCharts

Despite all of this volatility, however, the S&P 500 has soared by more than 750% since January 2000. In other words, if you'd invested $10,000 in an S&P 500 index fund or ETF back then and didn't contribute another dollar, you'd have more than $85,000 by today.

Along with a long-term outlook, it's equally important to invest in quality stocks. Not all companies will recover from a market crash or recession, especially if they're built on shaky foundations. During the dot-com bubble, for instance, many tech stocks surged despite weak finances or unsustainable business models. When the bubble popped, those stocks fared the worst.

No matter what may come this year or beyond, healthy stocks are best positioned for long-term growth. The right investments can help avoid losses during a downturn while setting you up for lucrative gains, too.

Should you buy stock in S&P 500 Index right now?

Before you buy stock in S&P 500 Index, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and S&P 500 Index wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $350,756!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,363,905!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 922% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 213% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 22, 2026.

Katie Brockman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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