If I Had $5,000 to Invest Today, Here's the Trillion-Dollar Stock I'd Buy Instead of SpaceX

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) stock recently peaked at $225, but it has since lost 29% of its value.

  • SpaceX has plenty of potential, but its stock is trading at a sky-high valuation which could open the door to more downside in the near term.

  • Microsoft might be a better investment because of its growing dominance in enterprise artificial intelligence, and its relatively cheap stock.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Microsoft ›

Elon Musk's Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX) went public in June, and it received a positive reception from investors who quickly sent its stock soaring to a peak of $225. However, the initial enthusiasm faded, and the stock has since declined by 29% to $158.96 (as of the market close last Friday, Oct. 2).

Valuation might be the reason why. SpaceX still has a market capitalization of $2.1 trillion, so based on the company's trailing 12-month revenue of $23 billion, its stock trades at a hefty price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 94, making it 14 times as expensive as the technology-heavy Nasdaq-100 index.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

Therefore, although management is predicting significant revenue growth over the next few years, more downside might be ahead for SpaceX stock in the near term. Value investors might want to look elsewhere for positive returns, and if I had $5,000 to deploy into one stock today, here's why I'd buy Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) instead.

Two people talking while walking past servers inside a data center.

Image source: Getty Images.

Microsoft wants to dominate enterprise artificial intelligence

Artificial intelligence (AI) has the potential to significantly increase productivity in the enterprise. It can rapidly analyze high volumes of data, instantly generate text and images, and even automate repetitive tasks entirely so employees can focus on more important things. Microsoft is helping businesses unlock the power of AI primarily through its Copilot virtual assistant and its Azure cloud platform.

Copilot is embedded in legacy software products like Windows, Bing, and Edge for free. But enterprises can also add it to the 365 productivity suite (which includes Word, Excel, PowerPoint, and Outlook) for an additional monthly subscription fee. As of June 30, companies all over the world were paying for 30 million Copilot licenses for 365, a whopping 50% increase from just three months earlier. But that's a mere fraction of Microsoft's opportunity, because companies pay for over 400 million 365 licenses for their employees, and all of them are candidates for the Copilot upgrade.

The Azure cloud platform offers all the tools enterprises need to develop and deploy AI software, including computing capacity from state-of-the-art data centers, foundation models from labs like OpenAI, and the Foundry platform where they can manage AI agents. As of June 30, Microsoft had a staggering $678 billion order backlog from customers who were waiting for more data centers to come online.

Microsoft built 88 new data centers during its 2026 fiscal year as part of a two-year plan to double its global infrastructure footprint. This will help the company convert that enormous backlog into revenue. On that note, Azure's annual revenue topped $100 billion for the first time during fiscal 2026, and the platform ended the year with an accelerating growth rate that hit 43% in the fourth quarter. In other words, Azure has a ton of momentum right now.

Microsoft looks like a bargain compared to SpaceX

Microsoft stock is trading at a P/S ratio of 11.6, so it's more expensive than the Nasdaq-100 which has a P/S ratio of 6.5. However, it's significantly cheaper than SpaceX by that valuation metric.

Plus, Microsoft is highly profitable, so we can also value its stock using the more traditional price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. Based on the company's fiscal 2026 earnings of $17.95 per share, its stock is trading at a P/E ratio of 28.8, which is below its five-year average of 32. It's also cheaper than the Nasdaq-100 by this particular metric, because the index has a P/E ratio of 34.7.

MSFT PE Ratio Chart

MSFT PE Ratio data by YCharts

Looking ahead, Microsoft has a significant advantage over AI companies like OpenAI and Anthropic in the race to dominate enterprise AI, because its legacy software products have so many existing users. As I highlighted earlier, organizations around the world already pay for over 400 million 365 licenses, but the Windows operating system is also used on a whopping 1.6 billion monthly active devices.

Therefore, while OpenAI and Anthropic have to build an enterprise customer base from scratch -- which can be very expensive -- Microsoft can sell AI products like Copilot to hundreds of millions of potential users with virtually no customer acquisition costs.

Combined with the incredible growth in the Azure cloud platform and the company's attractive valuation, I think Microsoft stock has significantly more upside potential from here than SpaceX stock.

Should you buy stock in Microsoft right now?

Before you buy stock in Microsoft, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Microsoft wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $364,023!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,467,933!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 948% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 7, 2026.

Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD retraces gains and nears two-month lows at $4,104Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and resumes its broader bearish trend, with the US Dollar (USD) appreciating across the board, as investors brace for the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
Author  FXStreet
12 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and resumes its broader bearish trend, with the US Dollar (USD) appreciating across the board, as investors brace for the release of the minutes of the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) meeting.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $89.50 as Middle East supply threats offset Persian Gulf recoveryWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the second successive day, trading around $89.50 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil climbed as persistent risks to Middle East energy flows overshadowed signs of rising supply from the region.
placeholder
AUD/USD Price Forecast: Struggles to return to 0.7000 amid firm US DollarThe Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 58
The Australian Dollar (AUD) gives back its early gains after rising to near 0.6975 and turns marginally lower at around 0.6964 against the US Dollar (USD) during the European trading session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Japanese Yen drifts lower as sustained USD buying offsets intervention fearsThe USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 53
The USD/JPY pair attracts some buyers following the previous day's two-day price moves, trading above the 158.00 mark during the early part of the European session on Tuesday.
placeholder
Gold holds steady below $4,150 amid elevated US yields Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 14
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades on a flat note near $4,140 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. Pressure from a stronger US Dollar (USD) and elevated US Treasury yields was offset by reduced expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike this month.
goTop
quote