USD/CNH Price Prediction: Trades above 23.6% Fibo., bulls seem non-committed near 7.1555

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CNH attracts some buyers on Thursday and moves away from over a one-week low.
  • The technical setup supports prospects for the emergence of fresh selling at higher levels. 
  • A sustained strength beyond 50% Fibo. level is needed to negate the negative outlook.

The USD/CNH pair builds on the previous day's bounce from the 7.1305-7.1300 area, or over a one-week low and gains some follow-through positive traction during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices stick to modest intraday gains near the 7.1560 area, though the mixed technical set-up warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move. 

The USD/CNH pair, so far, has been showing some resilience below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August fall and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. That said, oscillators on the daily chart are holding deep in negative territory and are still away from being in the oversold zone. Hence, any further positive move is more likely to attract fresh sellers near the 7.1845-7.1850 region and remain capped near the 7.1895-7.1900 area. 

The latter is followed by the 50% Fibo. level, around the 7.1975-7.1980 zone, which should now act as a key pivotal point. A sustained strength beyond the said barrier will suggest that the USD/CNH pair has bottomed out near the 7.0835 region, or the lowest level since June 2023 touched last week and pave the way for some meaningful appreciating move. 

On the flip side, the 7.1500 level is likely to protect the immediate downside, below which the USD/CNH pair could accelerate the fall back towards challenging the multi-month low, around the 7.0835 region. Some follow-through selling will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for an extension of the recent sharp pullback from the YTD peak touched in July.

USD/CNH daily chart

fxsoriginal

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Euro.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.04% -0.05% 0.01% -0.02% -0.31% 0.03% -0.01%
EUR -0.04%   -0.10% -0.03% -0.06% -0.45% -0.18% -0.03%
GBP 0.05% 0.10%   0.09% 0.07% -0.33% -0.07% 0.14%
JPY -0.01% 0.03% -0.09%   -0.05% -0.36% -0.14% 0.05%
CAD 0.02% 0.06% -0.07% 0.05%   -0.30% -0.11% 0.10%
AUD 0.31% 0.45% 0.33% 0.36% 0.30%   0.25% 0.46%
NZD -0.03% 0.18% 0.07% 0.14% 0.11% -0.25%   0.21%
CHF 0.00% 0.03% -0.14% -0.05% -0.10% -0.46% -0.21%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Forex Today: Japanese Yen rallies on reported intervention, US-Iran tensions remain highHere is what you need to know on Friday, May 1:
Author  FXStreet
12 hours ago
Here is what you need to know on Friday, May 1:
placeholder
AUD/USD jumps near 0.7200 as Japan’s intervention sinks the USDThe Australian Dollar reclaimed the 0.7200 level on Thursday, surging more than 1% as the Greenback dropped to seven-day lows amid Japanese authorities’ intervention in the FX markets, pushing aside solid US economic data. The AUD/USD trades past 0.7200 after hitting a daily low of 0.7110.
Author  FXStreet
19 hours ago
The Australian Dollar reclaimed the 0.7200 level on Thursday, surging more than 1% as the Greenback dropped to seven-day lows amid Japanese authorities’ intervention in the FX markets, pushing aside solid US economic data. The AUD/USD trades past 0.7200 after hitting a daily low of 0.7110.
placeholder
Bitcoin Briefly Falls Below $76,000: Will Powell Staying on Board Curb Rally? Fed maintains interest rates, Bitcoin price falls below $76,000 as Powell's stay may hinder rebound.On April 30 (GMT+8), Bitcoin ( BTC) narrowed its losses and returned above $76,000, cur
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
Fed maintains interest rates, Bitcoin price falls below $76,000 as Powell's stay may hinder rebound.On April 30 (GMT+8), Bitcoin ( BTC) narrowed its losses and returned above $76,000, cur
placeholder
Brent Oil Breaks Through $120 Mark, Strait of Hormuz Deadlock Continues to Ferment, How Will Trump’s Choice Sway Oil Price Direction?Hopes for a resolution to the U.S.-Iran deadlock are fading, and the oil price rally continued during the Asian session. On Thursday, dampened by pessimistic news regarding peace talks, B
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
Hopes for a resolution to the U.S.-Iran deadlock are fading, and the oil price rally continued during the Asian session. On Thursday, dampened by pessimistic news regarding peace talks, B
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: Fed Dissent and AI Capex Surges Define Volatile Earnings Week The S&P 500 edged down 0.04% to 7,135.95, while the Nasdaq Composite gained a modest 0.04% to reach 24,673.24. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0
Author  TradingKey
Apr 30, Thu
The S&P 500 edged down 0.04% to 7,135.95, while the Nasdaq Composite gained a modest 0.04% to reach 24,673.24. Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0
goTop
quote