USD/CNH Price Prediction: Trades above 23.6% Fibo., bulls seem non-committed near 7.1555

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CNH attracts some buyers on Thursday and moves away from over a one-week low.
  • The technical setup supports prospects for the emergence of fresh selling at higher levels. 
  • A sustained strength beyond 50% Fibo. level is needed to negate the negative outlook.

The USD/CNH pair builds on the previous day's bounce from the 7.1305-7.1300 area, or over a one-week low and gains some follow-through positive traction during the Asian session on Thursday. Spot prices stick to modest intraday gains near the 7.1560 area, though the mixed technical set-up warrants some caution before positioning for any further appreciating move. 

The USD/CNH pair, so far, has been showing some resilience below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level of the July-August fall and the subsequent move up favors bullish traders. That said, oscillators on the daily chart are holding deep in negative territory and are still away from being in the oversold zone. Hence, any further positive move is more likely to attract fresh sellers near the 7.1845-7.1850 region and remain capped near the 7.1895-7.1900 area. 

The latter is followed by the 50% Fibo. level, around the 7.1975-7.1980 zone, which should now act as a key pivotal point. A sustained strength beyond the said barrier will suggest that the USD/CNH pair has bottomed out near the 7.0835 region, or the lowest level since June 2023 touched last week and pave the way for some meaningful appreciating move. 

On the flip side, the 7.1500 level is likely to protect the immediate downside, below which the USD/CNH pair could accelerate the fall back towards challenging the multi-month low, around the 7.0835 region. Some follow-through selling will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and set the stage for an extension of the recent sharp pullback from the YTD peak touched in July.

USD/CNH daily chart

fxsoriginal

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Euro.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   0.04% -0.05% 0.01% -0.02% -0.31% 0.03% -0.01%
EUR -0.04%   -0.10% -0.03% -0.06% -0.45% -0.18% -0.03%
GBP 0.05% 0.10%   0.09% 0.07% -0.33% -0.07% 0.14%
JPY -0.01% 0.03% -0.09%   -0.05% -0.36% -0.14% 0.05%
CAD 0.02% 0.06% -0.07% 0.05%   -0.30% -0.11% 0.10%
AUD 0.31% 0.45% 0.33% 0.36% 0.30%   0.25% 0.46%
NZD -0.03% 0.18% 0.07% 0.14% 0.11% -0.25%   0.21%
CHF 0.00% 0.03% -0.14% -0.05% -0.10% -0.46% -0.21%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 26, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 26, Mon
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 26, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 26, Mon
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
22 hours ago
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Fed October Rate Decision Preview: Rate Hike Pause Has Become Consensus, How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold React?The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Author  TradingKey
17 hours ago
The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
goTop
quote