US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Moves below 104.50 toward nine-day EMA support

Source Fxstreet
  • The US Dollar Index may test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish bias.
  • Initial resistance is seen at the 50-day EMA at 105.62.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has given up its recent gains from the previous session, hovering near 104.30 during Thursday's Asian trading hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index trending lower within a descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish outlook. However, the US Dollar Index is holding above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting an improvement in short-term price momentum.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17, followed by the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6. A decisive break below this crucial support zone may weaken the short-term price momentum, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may explore the region around the 50-day EMA at 105.62, aligned with the descending channel's upper boundary. A break above this level could reinforce the bullish bias and support the index to approach 110.18, the highest level since November 2022.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the British Pound.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.23% -0.25% -0.23% 0.00% -0.18% -0.22% -0.07%
EUR 0.23%   -0.04% 0.00% 0.22% 0.01% -0.00% 0.15%
GBP 0.25% 0.04%   0.04% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.16%
JPY 0.23% 0.00% -0.04%   0.23% 0.01% -0.02% 0.13%
CAD -0.01% -0.22% -0.26% -0.23%   -0.18% -0.22% -0.09%
AUD 0.18% -0.01% -0.06% -0.01% 0.18%   -0.02% 0.11%
NZD 0.22% 0.00% -0.02% 0.02% 0.22% 0.02%   0.13%
CHF 0.07% -0.15% -0.16% -0.13% 0.09% -0.11% -0.13%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookGet a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
Author  Rachel Weiss
May 15, Fri
Get a comprehensive financial market 2026 outlook exploring key economic drivers, volatility catalysts in gold, oil and stocks, and what the evolving economic outlook means for cfd trading strategies and risk management on global markets.
placeholder
Euro softens to near 1.1600 on US–Iran tensions The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1615 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro (EUR) extends the decline as the prolonged US-Iran conflict weighs on the riskier assets.
Author  FXStreet
8 hours ago
The EUR/USD pair trades in negative territory around 1.1615 during the early Asian session on Monday. The Euro (EUR) extends the decline as the prolonged US-Iran conflict weighs on the riskier assets.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote