US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Moves below 104.50 toward nine-day EMA support

Source Fxstreet
  • The US Dollar Index may test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish bias.
  • Initial resistance is seen at the 50-day EMA at 105.62.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has given up its recent gains from the previous session, hovering near 104.30 during Thursday's Asian trading hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index trending lower within a descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish outlook. However, the US Dollar Index is holding above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting an improvement in short-term price momentum.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17, followed by the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6. A decisive break below this crucial support zone may weaken the short-term price momentum, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may explore the region around the 50-day EMA at 105.62, aligned with the descending channel's upper boundary. A break above this level could reinforce the bullish bias and support the index to approach 110.18, the highest level since November 2022.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the British Pound.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.23% -0.25% -0.23% 0.00% -0.18% -0.22% -0.07%
EUR 0.23%   -0.04% 0.00% 0.22% 0.01% -0.00% 0.15%
GBP 0.25% 0.04%   0.04% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.16%
JPY 0.23% 0.00% -0.04%   0.23% 0.01% -0.02% 0.13%
CAD -0.01% -0.22% -0.26% -0.23%   -0.18% -0.22% -0.09%
AUD 0.18% -0.01% -0.06% -0.01% 0.18%   -0.02% 0.11%
NZD 0.22% 0.00% -0.02% 0.02% 0.22% 0.02%   0.13%
CHF 0.07% -0.15% -0.16% -0.13% 0.09% -0.11% -0.13%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: 2025 outlook brightens on expectations of US pro-crypto policyBitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 19, 2024
Bitcoin (BTC) price has surged more than 140% in 2024, reaching the $100K milestone in early December.
placeholder
Bitcoin ETF Inflows For 2025 Now Outpace 2024, Data ShowsUS Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen more inflows this year so far compared to the same point in 2024, according to data.
Author  Bitcoinist
Jul 16, 2025
US Bitcoin spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have seen more inflows this year so far compared to the same point in 2024, according to data.
placeholder
Gold rallies to two-week high as USD softens on Iran deal hopes, receding Fed hike betsGold (XAU/USD) attracts buyers for the second consecutive day and surges past the $4,100 mark to hit a nearly two-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 05, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts buyers for the second consecutive day and surges past the $4,100 mark to hit a nearly two-week high during the Asian session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Persistent ETF inflows, easing Middle East tensions lift risk appetiteBitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 06, Thu
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
placeholder
NFP or Iran: Which factor will break the US Dollar Index out of its consolidation?The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
Author  FXStreet
16 hours ago
The US Dollar Index (DXY) trades around 99.95 at the time of writing on Friday, virtually unchanged on the day, as investors refrain from placing aggressive bets ahead of the release of the July US employment report.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote