US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Moves below 104.50 toward nine-day EMA support

Source Fxstreet
  • The US Dollar Index may test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish bias.
  • Initial resistance is seen at the 50-day EMA at 105.62.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has given up its recent gains from the previous session, hovering near 104.30 during Thursday's Asian trading hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index trending lower within a descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish outlook. However, the US Dollar Index is holding above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting an improvement in short-term price momentum.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17, followed by the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6. A decisive break below this crucial support zone may weaken the short-term price momentum, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may explore the region around the 50-day EMA at 105.62, aligned with the descending channel's upper boundary. A break above this level could reinforce the bullish bias and support the index to approach 110.18, the highest level since November 2022.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the British Pound.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.23% -0.25% -0.23% 0.00% -0.18% -0.22% -0.07%
EUR 0.23%   -0.04% 0.00% 0.22% 0.01% -0.00% 0.15%
GBP 0.25% 0.04%   0.04% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.16%
JPY 0.23% 0.00% -0.04%   0.23% 0.01% -0.02% 0.13%
CAD -0.01% -0.22% -0.26% -0.23%   -0.18% -0.22% -0.09%
AUD 0.18% -0.01% -0.06% -0.01% 0.18%   -0.02% 0.11%
NZD 0.22% 0.00% -0.02% 0.02% 0.22% 0.02%   0.13%
CHF 0.07% -0.15% -0.16% -0.13% 0.09% -0.11% -0.13%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin briefly loses 2025 gains as crypto plunges over the weekend.Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 17, 2025
Bitcoin experienced a sharp decline this weekend, briefly erasing its 2025 gains and dipping below its year-opening value of $93,507. The cryptocurrency fell to a low of $93,029 on Sunday, representing a 25% drop from its all-time high in October. Although it has rebounded slightly to around $94,209, the pressures on the market remain significant. The downturn occurred despite the reopening of the U.S. government on Thursday, which many had hoped would provide essential support for crypto markets. This year initially appeared promising for cryptocurrencies, particularly after the inauguration of President Donald Trump, who has established the most pro-crypto administration thus far. However, ongoing political tensions—including Trump's tariff strategies and the recent government shutdown, lasting a historic 43 days—have contributed to several rapid price pullbacks for Bitcoin throughout the year. Market dynamics are also being influenced by Bitcoin whales—investors holding large amounts of Bitcoin—who have been offloading portions of their assets, consequently stalling price rallies even as positive regulatory developments emerge. Despite these sell-offs, analysts from Glassnode argue that this behavior aligns with typical patterns seen among long-term investors during the concluding stages of bull markets, suggesting it is not indicative of a mass exodus. Notably, Bitcoin is not alone in its struggles, as Ethereum and Solana have also recorded declines of 7.95% and 28.3%, respectively, since the start of the year, while numerous altcoins have faced even steeper losses. Looking ahead, questions linger regarding the viability of the four-year cycle thesis, particularly given the increasing institutional support and regulatory frameworks now in place in the crypto landscape. Matt Hougan, chief investment officer at Bitwise, remains optimistic, suggesting a potential Bitcoin resurgence in 2026 driven by the “debasement trade” thesis and a broader trend toward increased adoption of stablecoins, tokenization, and decentralized finance. Hougan emphasized the soundness of the underlying fundamentals, pointing to a positive outlook for the sector in the longer term.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD opens lower around $4,450 on fears of widening Iran conflictsGold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 30, Mon
Gold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
placeholder
Gold rises on softer US Dollar, traders await Trump's address on Iran warGold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally to near $4,775 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal surges amid a weakening US Dollar (USD) and cooling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 20
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends the rally to near $4,775 during the early Asian session on Thursday. The precious metal surges amid a weakening US Dollar (USD) and cooling geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $72.00 amid fading safe-haven demandSilver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 08: 19
Silver price (XAG/USD) continues to lose ground after registering tiny losses in the previous day, trading around $72.90 during the Asian hours on Thursday. The safe-haven demand for the precious metal fades amid rising optimism over Middle East peace.
placeholder
Gold retreats sharply from two-week top/$4,800 as Trump’s Iran comments boost USDGold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 07: 03
Gold (XAU/USD) witnessed an intraday turnaround from the $4,800 mark, or a fresh two-week high set earlier this Thursday, and for now, seems to have snapped a four-day winning streak amid resurgent US Dollar (USD) demand.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote