US Dollar Index Price Forecast: Moves below 104.50 toward nine-day EMA support

Source Fxstreet
  • The US Dollar Index may test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17.
  • The 14-day RSI remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish bias.
  • Initial resistance is seen at the 50-day EMA at 105.62.

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the US Dollar (USD) against six major currencies, has given up its recent gains from the previous session, hovering near 104.30 during Thursday's Asian trading hours. The technical analysis of the daily chart indicates a persistent bearish bias, with the index trending lower within a descending channel.

Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below 50, reinforcing the bearish outlook. However, the US Dollar Index is holding above the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), suggesting an improvement in short-term price momentum.

On the downside, the US Dollar Index could test immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 104.17, followed by the four-month low of 103.34, recorded on November 6. A decisive break below this crucial support zone may weaken the short-term price momentum, potentially driving the index toward the five-month low of 100.68.

The DXY may explore the region around the 50-day EMA at 105.62, aligned with the descending channel's upper boundary. A break above this level could reinforce the bullish bias and support the index to approach 110.18, the highest level since November 2022.

US Dollar Index: Daily Chart

US Dollar PRICE Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the weakest against the British Pound.

  USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD   -0.23% -0.25% -0.23% 0.00% -0.18% -0.22% -0.07%
EUR 0.23%   -0.04% 0.00% 0.22% 0.01% -0.00% 0.15%
GBP 0.25% 0.04%   0.04% 0.26% 0.06% 0.02% 0.16%
JPY 0.23% 0.00% -0.04%   0.23% 0.01% -0.02% 0.13%
CAD -0.01% -0.22% -0.26% -0.23%   -0.18% -0.22% -0.09%
AUD 0.18% -0.01% -0.06% -0.01% 0.18%   -0.02% 0.11%
NZD 0.22% 0.00% -0.02% 0.02% 0.22% 0.02%   0.13%
CHF 0.07% -0.15% -0.16% -0.13% 0.09% -0.11% -0.13%  

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Seesaw Effect Continues. US Pre-Market Three Major Index Futures Weaken, Oil Prices Rise, Bitcoin Drops Below 68,000 MarkAgainst a backdrop of intertwined geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainty, global market sentiment has repeatedly diverged. In Friday pre-market trading ET, the three major U.S.
Author  TradingKey
6 hours ago
Against a backdrop of intertwined geopolitical risks and macroeconomic uncertainty, global market sentiment has repeatedly diverged. In Friday pre-market trading ET, the three major U.S.
placeholder
Australian Dollar falls to two-month lows on US–Iran peace uncertaintyAUD/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.6880 during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
AUD/USD extends its losing streak for the fourth consecutive day, trading around 0.6880 during the Asian hours on Friday.
placeholder
US-Iran Rift Persists, Will Gold Rise or Fall Next?US-Iran tensions persist; $4,400 becomes the gold ( XAUUSD) bulls' make-or-break level.During the European session on March 26, as of press time, spot gold retreated 1.5% to $4,436.42 per
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 21
US-Iran tensions persist; $4,400 becomes the gold ( XAUUSD) bulls' make-or-break level.During the European session on March 26, as of press time, spot gold retreated 1.5% to $4,436.42 per
placeholder
Gold rallies on hopes for US-Iran talks and falling US Treasury yieldsGold price (XAU/USD) gains nearly 2% on Wednesday as Oil futures prices tumbled amid growing speculation that the US and Iran would begin talks to end the conflict that started nearly four weeks ago. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,556.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 33
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains nearly 2% on Wednesday as Oil futures prices tumbled amid growing speculation that the US and Iran would begin talks to end the conflict that started nearly four weeks ago. At the time of writing, XAU/USD trades at $4,556.
placeholder
Gold Prices Under Pressure After Hitting $4,600, UBS: Safe-Haven Logic Unchanged But Only Delayed.Impacted by signs of easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, international gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded sharply after previously falling to the $4,100 level, at one point climbing
Author  TradingKey
Mar 25, Wed
Impacted by signs of easing geopolitical risks in the Middle East, international gold prices (XAUUSD) rebounded sharply after previously falling to the $4,100 level, at one point climbing
Related Instrument
goTop
quote