Why are crypto and stock markets crashing so hard today?

Source Cryptopolitan

Markets are in free fall. Over the past two months, the S&P 500 and crypto have lost a staggering $5.5 trillion in market value. That’s an insane amount of money gone in record time.

The sell-off has been so brutal that sentiment has flipped from Extreme Greed to Extreme Fear practically overnight.

The S&P 500 has erased $4.5 trillion since February 20th alone. That’s $350 billion per day for 13 straight days. The Nasdaq is now 8% away from bear market territory, something it hasn’t seen since 2022.

Image
Crypto market prices. Source/Kobeissi

Meanwhile, crypto has been completely wrecked, crashing $1.3 trillion in market cap since its peak on December 16th. That’s a 33% drop in just three months, an average of $15.5 billion lost every single day for 84 days straight.

Big money is pulling out first

The trade war is being blamed for this collapse, but that’s not the full story. Institutional investors started bailing long before the drop even began. Heading into 2025, hedge fund exposure to Magnificent 7 stocks hit a 22-month low.

That means the biggest players on Wall Street started reducing their risk before the crash happened, leaving retail investors to hold the bag.

On February 9th, institutional investors built the largest Ethereum short position in history. At the same time, retail traders were diving headfirst into crypto, fueled by optimism over the US Strategic Reserve.

Image
Stock market prices. Source/Kobeissi

That didn’t end well. Even when the US Bitcoin Reserve was confirmed, the market sold off instead of rallying, turning it into a classic sell-the-news event.

The shift in risk sentiment has been so extreme that even firms like Apollo—who just two months ago predicted a 0% chance of a US recession—are now scrambling to adjust their outlook. Fear is completely taking over.

The outflows are breaking records

Money is fleeing every corner of the market. Crypto funds alone lost $2.6 billion last week, the biggest weekly outflow ever recorded. That’s $500 million more than the previous record set in 2024.

The S&P 500 has been hit just as hard. US small-cap stocks saw $3.5 billion in outflows, the most since December 18th. Mid-cap funds lost $2.1 billion, and sectoral funds dumped another $4.5 billion, with $1.9 billion of that coming from tech stocks alone.

The Volatility Index (VIX) has shot up over 70% in a single month, signaling that wild price swings are here to stay. Wall Street traders are now preparing for 1,000+ point swings in the Dow to become routine.

Tech stocks have taken some of the biggest hits. MicroStrategy has plunged 16%, Tesla is down 14%, and Palantir has fallen 10%. Even big names like Alphabet, Apple, Meta, Nvidia, Amazon, Netflix, and Microsoft have all lost between 4% and 7%.

The S&P 500’s $4.5 trillion wipeout has left the Nasdaq 100 just 7% away from bear market territory. Meanwhile, crypto’s $1.3 trillion crash is raising the question: Has the 2025 crypto bear market already begun?

Cryptopolitan Academy: Tired of market swings? Learn how DeFi can help you build steady passive income. Register Now

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Four jobs reports in five days: what JOLTS, ADP, claims and the September payrolls mean for the October Fed decisionThe US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
Author  Mitrade
Sep 28, Mon
The US labour market faces its densest data week of the month. JOLTS job openings land Tuesday (7.2 million expected), ADP on Wednesday (70,000 expected), initial claims on Thursday and the September non-farm payrolls on Friday (100,000 expected, down from 162,000). Markets price a 64%-70% chance of another quarter-point Fed hike on October 28. The dollar index sits at 100.77 and the S&P 500 at 7,729.8.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 29, Tue
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】The dollar ground higher for six days — and the AUD fell 2% in the very week the RBA hiked to a 15-year highThe dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
Author  Irene Q.
20 hours ago
The dollar index held above 101 while the Australian dollar slid to a two-month low of 0.6976, a 2.02% six-session loss, even though the RBA raised rates to 4.60% and Australian CPI printed 4.0%. The yen is the only major currency gaining, ahead of Japan's monthly intervention tally at 7pm JST.
placeholder
【Daily Brief】30-year Treasury tops 5.59%, S&P 500 slips to 7,670 and gold holds $4,180 — PCE lands tonightThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
Author  Suzie
19 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.59%, its highest since June 2002, and the Dow fell 131.59 points to 51,349.92. US consumer confidence dropped to 81.9, a 12-year low, and JOLTS job openings fell to 7.1 million. August PCE and Q3 GDP both land at 8:30am ET tonight.
goTop
quote