Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to move higher if US data comes weaker than expected – TDS

Source Fxstreet

Gold (XAU/USD) closed at an all-time high on Friday. Economists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook for the week ahead.

Data from the US could trigger a big reaction in XAU/USD

February ISM services, payrolls, wages and unemployment data may well be catalysts for Gold to move higher if they come in significantly weaker than expected. Otherwise, much of the latest gains will likely be given back. 

We suspect that data will be weaker, but not so poor as to drive yields much lower. As such, the market will have to wait for our $2,300+ trading target to manifest a while longer.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Forecast: Persistent ETF inflows, easing Middle East tensions lift risk appetiteBitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 06, Thu
Bitcoin (BTC) extends its gains, trading above $64,800 at the time of writing on Thursday, breaking above the key resistance zone. Institutional demand supports BTC price action with spot Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) recording a third consecutive day of inflows so far this week.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold May Break $4,500 as Fed Rate-Hike Expectations Continue to CoolAs of the European session on August 17, gold prices (XAUUSD) were trading above $4,400, up about 0.7% on the day and reaching an intraday high of $4,416.43, extending last Friday's gains
Author  TradingKey
Aug 17, Mon
As of the European session on August 17, gold prices (XAUUSD) were trading above $4,400, up about 0.7% on the day and reaching an intraday high of $4,416.43, extending last Friday's gains
placeholder
WTI consolidates below $84.50, two-week top as bullish bias remains amid Hormuz standoffWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – extends its consolidative price move through the first half of the European session and currently trades near the $84.25-$84.30 area, close to a two-week high set earlier this Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 18, Tue
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – extends its consolidative price move through the first half of the European session and currently trades near the $84.25-$84.30 area, close to a two-week high set earlier this Tuesday.
placeholder
WTI rises to near $85.00 amid escalating US-Iran tensionsWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $84.80 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 02: 03
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the fourth consecutive day, trading around $84.80 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote