Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to move higher if US data comes weaker than expected – TDS

Source Fxstreet

Gold (XAU/USD) closed at an all-time high on Friday. Economists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook for the week ahead.

Data from the US could trigger a big reaction in XAU/USD

February ISM services, payrolls, wages and unemployment data may well be catalysts for Gold to move higher if they come in significantly weaker than expected. Otherwise, much of the latest gains will likely be given back. 

We suspect that data will be weaker, but not so poor as to drive yields much lower. As such, the market will have to wait for our $2,300+ trading target to manifest a while longer.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Pi Network Price Annual Forecast: PI Heads Into a Volatile 2026 as Utility Questions Collide With Big UnlocksPi Network heads into 2026 after a 90%+ 2025 drawdown from $3.00, with 17.5 million KYC users and a smart-contract-focused Stellar v23 upgrade offering upside potential, but 1.21 billion tokens unlocking and heavy exchange deposits (437 million PI) keeping supply pressure and trust risks firmly in focus.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 19, 2025
Pi Network heads into 2026 after a 90%+ 2025 drawdown from $3.00, with 17.5 million KYC users and a smart-contract-focused Stellar v23 upgrade offering upside potential, but 1.21 billion tokens unlocking and heavy exchange deposits (437 million PI) keeping supply pressure and trust risks firmly in focus.
placeholder
Yen Exchange Rate’s Shock Jump. Dropping 200 Pips Near 160 Level, BOJ’s Inaction Hides a Mystery, Buy the Dip or Seek Safety?The 'rollercoaster' Yen has once again become the focus of the foreign exchange market! On January 23, USD/JPY experienced a series of 'rollercoaster' short-term movements, plunging nearl
Author  TradingKey
Jan 23, Fri
The 'rollercoaster' Yen has once again become the focus of the foreign exchange market! On January 23, USD/JPY experienced a series of 'rollercoaster' short-term movements, plunging nearl
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD falls below $5,050 as traders await US jobs data Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers near $5,035 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower amid improved risk sentiment and some profit-taking. Traders brace for key US economic data later this week, including delayed employment and inflation reports. 
Author  FXStreet
Feb 10, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers near $5,035 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower amid improved risk sentiment and some profit-taking. Traders brace for key US economic data later this week, including delayed employment and inflation reports. 
placeholder
Bitcoin’s ‘2022 Redux’ Fears Are Superficial, Argues TexasWest Capital CEOTexasWest Capital CEO Christopher Inks argues Bitcoin's drop is a completed "degrossing" event, structurally distinct from the 2022 Terra-induced collapse.
Author  Mitrade
20 hours ago
TexasWest Capital CEO Christopher Inks argues Bitcoin's drop is a completed "degrossing" event, structurally distinct from the 2022 Terra-induced collapse.
placeholder
Gold climbs to $5,050 as Fed-driven USD weakness offsets positive risk tone ahead of US NFPGold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote