Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to move higher if US data comes weaker than expected – TDS

Source Fxstreet

Gold (XAU/USD) closed at an all-time high on Friday. Economists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook for the week ahead.

Data from the US could trigger a big reaction in XAU/USD

February ISM services, payrolls, wages and unemployment data may well be catalysts for Gold to move higher if they come in significantly weaker than expected. Otherwise, much of the latest gains will likely be given back. 

We suspect that data will be weaker, but not so poor as to drive yields much lower. As such, the market will have to wait for our $2,300+ trading target to manifest a while longer.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: PCE Data Weakens Fed Rate Hike Expectations, Can Gold Price Hold Steady at $4,000?As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
Author  TradingKey
9 hours ago
As of today's Asian session (June 26), gold ( XAUUSD) prices fluctuated near $4,010. Yesterday, gold rebounded following the release of the PCE data, and market sentiment improved signifi
placeholder
Australian Dollar edges lower to near 0.6900 on Fed hike bets The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
Author  FXStreet
18 hours ago
The AUD/USD pair edges lower to around 0.6900 during the Asian trading hours on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) strengthens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) on the expectation of US rate hikes later this year.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Price Falls Below $4,000, PCE Data May Push Gold Down to $3,900As of today (June 25) during the Asian session, gold ( XAUUSD) was last priced at $3,976.90, down 0.54% on the day. After gold prices fell below $4,000 yesterday, they fluctuated around $
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 08: 52
As of today (June 25) during the Asian session, gold ( XAUUSD) was last priced at $3,976.90, down 0.54% on the day. After gold prices fell below $4,000 yesterday, they fluctuated around $
placeholder
Crypto market sheds over 50% of its value amid Bitcoin's brief decline below $60KThe crypto market has erased more than half of its value since reaching an all-time high in late 2025. The decline underscores the severity of the recent bear market and lack of a fresh catalyst to revive investor interest, according to a Wednesday X post by The Kobeissi Letter.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 47
The crypto market has erased more than half of its value since reaching an all-time high in late 2025. The decline underscores the severity of the recent bear market and lack of a fresh catalyst to revive investor interest, according to a Wednesday X post by The Kobeissi Letter.
placeholder
Gold Price Trend Forecast: Gold Price Risks Falling Below $4,000, PCE Data Is Key As of the European session today (June 24), gold prices ( XAUUSD) remained weak and fell intraday, touching an intraday low of $4,050 to hit a near two-week low, signaling clear short-ter
Author  TradingKey
Jun 24, Wed
As of the European session today (June 24), gold prices ( XAUUSD) remained weak and fell intraday, touching an intraday low of $4,050 to hit a near two-week low, signaling clear short-ter
Related Instrument
goTop
quote