Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD to move higher if US data comes weaker than expected – TDS

Source Fxstreet

Gold (XAU/USD) closed at an all-time high on Friday. Economists at TD Securities analyze the yellow metal’s outlook for the week ahead.

Data from the US could trigger a big reaction in XAU/USD

February ISM services, payrolls, wages and unemployment data may well be catalysts for Gold to move higher if they come in significantly weaker than expected. Otherwise, much of the latest gains will likely be given back. 

We suspect that data will be weaker, but not so poor as to drive yields much lower. As such, the market will have to wait for our $2,300+ trading target to manifest a while longer.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Finding The Best Japan Stocks to Buy? These are Top Japanese Companies to Watch Discover the best Japanese stocks to buy, including AI semiconductor leaders, Buffett-backed trading houses, and undervalued Japan stocks benefiting from corporate reforms and yen trends.
Author  Mitrade
May 29, Fri
Discover the best Japanese stocks to buy, including AI semiconductor leaders, Buffett-backed trading houses, and undervalued Japan stocks benefiting from corporate reforms and yen trends.
placeholder
Gold declines despite easing concerns over inflation, interest rate hikesGold price (XAU/USD) loses ground after registering gains in the previous day, trading around $4,050 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 26
Gold price (XAU/USD) loses ground after registering gains in the previous day, trading around $4,050 per troy ounce during the Asian hours on Tuesday.
placeholder
WTI Oil flirts with the $80 level amid speculation about US-Iran peace talksOil prices remain depressed on Tuesday, as hopes of a new round of peace talks between the US and Iran boosted hopes of a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 09: 14
Oil prices remain depressed on Tuesday, as hopes of a new round of peace talks between the US and Iran boosted hopes of a de-escalation of the Middle East conflict.
placeholder
WTI rebounds from two-week low, well bid around mid-$81.00s amid Iran risksWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – gains strong positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak to an over two-week low touched the previous day.
Author  FXStreet
8 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) – the benchmark US Crude Oil price – gains strong positive traction during the Asian session on Wednesday, snapping a three-day losing streak to an over two-week low touched the previous day.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote