WTI pushes into fresh weekly high late Friday as Crude oil recovers ground

Source Fxstreet
  • WTI testing towards $80 per barrel as energy markets step higher.
  • Risk appetite is on the rise, bolstered by rate cut hopes.
  • Easing US inflation data and declining US Crude Oil reserves spark barrel bids.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) rose in late-day bidding on Friday as Crude Oil markets recover, but still remains within recent consolidation levels. US Crude Oil was propped up by a backslide in US barrel counts from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) and the American Petroleum Institute (API) this week, with broad-market risk appetite pinning deeper into ‘buy it all’ territory after US Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation data eased more than expected in April.

Risk appetite increased during the latter half of the trading week after US inflation figures kicked investor hope for Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts higher, helping to drag Crude Oil bids up from its lowest bids since late February. Despite refreshed rate trim bids, Fedspeak is striking a notably moderate tone, with multiple Fed officials cautioning for patience on rates from the Fed, and the possibility that rates could remain higher for much longer than markets might be prepared for.

With Fedspeak dominating the financial news cycle to wrap up the trading week, investors will be bracing for early next week when a slew of Fed appearances show up on Monday and Tuesday. A volley of talking points from Fed policymakers will be hitting the wires in the front half of next trading week.

WTI technical outlook

US Crude Oil rose into a late weekly high on Friday, pushing through the 200-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 79.10, ticking into 79.63 before the closing bell. WTI is pushing into a consolidation zone between the 50-day and 200-day EMAs.

The near-term ceiling is priced in at the last swing high near 87.00, but US Crude Oil is still up over 10% in 2024 despite trading down from the year’s early peaks.

WTI daily chart

WTI US OIL

Overview
Today last price 79.49
Today Daily Change 0.61
Today Daily Change % 0.77
Today daily open 78.88
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 80.14
Daily SMA50 81.52
Daily SMA100 78.36
Daily SMA200 79.67
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 79.3
Previous Daily Low 77.75
Previous Weekly High 79.56
Previous Weekly Low 76.71
Previous Monthly High 87.12
Previous Monthly Low 80.62
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 78.71
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 78.34
Daily Pivot Point S1 77.98
Daily Pivot Point S2 77.09
Daily Pivot Point S3 76.44
Daily Pivot Point R1 79.53
Daily Pivot Point R2 80.19
Daily Pivot Point R3 81.08

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollarSpot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
Author  Suzie
Sep 20, Sun
Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
9 hours ago
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
8 hours ago
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts toward $4.300 with bears gaining tractionGold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
Author  FXStreet
5 hours ago
Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.
goTop
quote