EUR/CAD Price Forecast: Breaks out of rectangular price pattern and declines
Source Fxstreet
- EUR/CAD has broken below the base of a multi-month price pattern.
- It is likely to go lower if the break is decisive and it can pierce below the 200-day SMA.
EUR/CAD has broken out of the rectangular price pattern it has been forming since August.
EUR/CAD Daily Chart
A bearish close on Monday (today) would confirm a decisive breakout from the pattern. The usual method for determining the follow-through after a breakout would be to take the height of the range and extrapolate it lower by 61.8% – or in the case of an optimistic forecast 100%.
In the case of EUR/CAD this gives a minimum downside target of 1.4684. A break clearly below the green 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) would provide confirmation. The SMA lies at 1.4839, however, a break below 1.4820 would confirm a clear break and probably confirm a continuation lower to the aforementioned conservative target.
The 100% target for the pattern lies at 1.4555.
Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Recommended Articles
Japanese Yen rallies to February 18 high as upbeat wage data and GDP lift BoJ hike betsThe USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
The USD/JPY pair declines for the second straight day – also marking the fourth day of a fall in the previous five – and sinks to its lowest level since February 18, around mid-153.00s during the Asian session on Tuesday.
Gold slumps to near $4,350 amid oil-driven inflation fears, US inflation data in focusGold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
Gold price (XAU/USD) falls to near $4,350 during the early Asian session on Wednesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising oil prices fueled inflation concerns and boosted expectations for a rate hike by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the August Producer Price Index (PPI) at 8:30 a.m. ET on September 10. Against the backdrop of U.S. August non-farm payrolls significantly
Brent holds above $100 as tanker attacks tighten supply — but four forces are capping the rallyBrent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
Brent crude is holding above $100 a barrel for a second session, its first close above the level since late July, as tanker attacks near the Strait of Hormuz squeeze an already tight physical market. Yet the rally has been gradual: 8.3 mb/d of Gulf output is still shut in, diesel is at a record, and forecasts now range from $74 to $100.
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Related Instrument
