GBP/CAD Price Forecast: Nearing upper channel line, bearish divergence

Source Fxstreet
  • GBP/CAD is closing in on the upper channel line of a rising channel. 
  • It is likely to meet firm resistance at the line and price is diverging bearishly with MACD.

GBP/CAD is trending higher in a rising channel, however, it is close to touching the upper trendline of the channel where it is likely to meet firm resistance and will probably pull back down as a consequence. 

GBP/CAD Daily Chart 

GBP/CAD is showing bearish divergence with the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) momentum indicator (red dashed lines). This means that although price has risen to a higher high compared to the July 12 high, MACD is actually lower than where it was on July 12. This is a bearish sign and suggests a higher chance of a pull back evolving. 

Taken together with the looming overhead channel line it indicates a risk of price correcting back down within the channel. An initial target for a pull back would be the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at 1.7733. 

Price itself has not formed a reversal pattern yet. If it does form a candlestick reversal pattern such as a Shooting Star, Bearish Engulfing or Hanging Man, for example, then that will be even more evidence of a correction unfolding.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Crude Oil Price Forecast: Can Brent Hold $100 Amid Hawkish Fed Rate Hikes and Easing Supply Concerns? International oil prices continued to fall after the Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes in September. On Wednesday, WTI crude dropped 3.28% to settle at $102.02 per barrel; Brent crude fe
Author  TradingKey
10 hours ago
International oil prices continued to fall after the Federal Reserve resumed rate hikes in September. On Wednesday, WTI crude dropped 3.28% to settle at $102.02 per barrel; Brent crude fe
placeholder
Dow drops 631 points as the Fed hikes — but futures are rebounding: what's next for US stocks?The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
The Dow fell 631 points and the S&P 500 closed below 7,600 after the Fed hiked rates for the first time since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect more tightening. Asia-session futures are already recovering — here are the levels and analyst views that decide whether 7,500 holds.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
TradingKey Daily Market Briefing: Fed Raises Rates by 25 Bps, May Hike Again This Year; Gold Tumbles as Intel Rises 4%On September 16, Eastern Time, US stocks rose before pulling back following the Federal Reserve's rate decision announcement for September. The Fed unanimously decid
Author  TradingKey
19 hours ago
On September 16, Eastern Time, US stocks rose before pulling back following the Federal Reserve's rate decision announcement for September. The Fed unanimously decid
placeholder
September Fed Rate Decision Preview: Is a Rate Hike a Foregone Conclusion? US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold Face a Critical TestThe Federal Reserve will announce its September interest rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday (September 16), followed by a press conference held by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at 2:30 p.
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 14
The Federal Reserve will announce its September interest rate decision at 2:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday (September 16), followed by a press conference held by Fed Chair Kevin Warsh at 2:30 p.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote