AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bearish bias subdued, indicators hint at consolidation phase

Source Fxstreet
  • The AUD/JPY pair declined to 96.45 on Friday resuming the losses after three sessions with gains.
  • However, technical indicators suggest a shift towards neutral territory, with the RSI moving out of the oversold zone and the MACD showing decreasing red bars.
  • The cross will close a weekly gain of nearly 1% despite the losses.

In Friday's session, the AUD/JPY pair declined by 0.65% to 96.45, extending its recent downward trajectory. Despite this move lower, technical indicators are showing signs of a potential shift in market sentiment.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved out of the oversold territory below 30 and is currently hovering around 33. This suggests that the AUD/JPY is no longer considered oversold and is moving towards neutral ground. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) is also showing decreasing red bars, indicating that the bearish momentum may be waning.

AUD/JPY daily chart

Based on these technical observations, it is possible that the AUD/JPY pair is entering a consolidation phase. The pair may continue to trade within a range, with limited downside potential due to the increasing support at 96.00 and 95.00. On the upside, resistance at 97.00, 98.00, and 100.00 could limit any significant upward movement.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Plunges to Seven-Week Low, Can $4,100 Hold? Spot gold (XAUUSD) plunged 4% on Monday to close at $4,114.93 per ounce, hitting an intraday low of $4,110.80, its lowest level since August 5. Heading into Tuesday's Asian trading sessio
Author  TradingKey
12 hours ago
Spot gold (XAUUSD) plunged 4% on Monday to close at $4,114.93 per ounce, hitting an intraday low of $4,110.80, its lowest level since August 5. Heading into Tuesday's Asian trading sessio
placeholder
The 30-year Treasury just hit a 22-year high — and the bond market is not pricing the Fed, it is pricing the deficitThe 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
Author  Irene Q.
14 hours ago
The 30-year Treasury yield closed at 5.56% on 28 September, the highest since June 2004, while the 10-year reached 5.24% and the 20-year 5.60%. The curve has steepened roughly 30bp in eight sessions even as October hike odds sit at 70.3%. That gap is the story: the long end is repricing fiscal and inflation risk, not policy. With PCE on Wednesday and payrolls on Friday, here is what the long end is really saying.
placeholder
Nvidia's $150 billion buyback landed — and the AI sector fell anyway. That's the signal worth tradingNvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
Author  Irene Q.
15 hours ago
Nvidia closed up 1.68% at $228.86 on 28 September after announcing a $150 billion share repurchase authorisation, the largest single corporate buyback on record, while the rest of the AI complex sold off: AMD -3.6%, Micron -2.6%, Meta -4.8% and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index -1.61%. The divergence is not noise. Capital is rotating toward cash-flow certainty, not abandoning the AI theme. With Micron reporting after the close on 30 September, here is what the split means.
placeholder
RBA set to hike interest rate to 4.60% in September as inflation remains elevatedThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is widely expected to raise the Official Cash Rate (OCR) by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.60% from 4.35% on Tuesday, after keeping rates unchanged at its previous two meetings
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls like house of cards on Fed’s hawkish narrativeSilver price (XAG/USD) is down 4.3% to near $61.50 during the European trading session on Monday. The white metal nosedives as elevated United States (US) Treasury Yields have diminished its appeal.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 09: 04
Silver price (XAG/USD) is down 4.3% to near $61.50 during the European trading session on Monday. The white metal nosedives as elevated United States (US) Treasury Yields have diminished its appeal.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote