EUR/USD eased lower on Wednesday after FOMC Meeting Minutes miss the mark

Source Fxstreet
May 22, 2024 23:05
  • EUR/USD declined on post-FOMC Greenback bid.
  • Odds of a September rate cut are getting a second look from investors.
  • EU & US PMIS in the barrel for Thursday.

EUR/USD knocked lower on Wednesday after the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) latest Meeting Minutes revealed the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) are grimly determined to wait for more proof inflation will ease to 2%, sending risk appetite lower as rate-cut-hungry investors keep hoping for dovish signs from the US central bank.

While the FOMC’s latest Meeting Minutes didn’t rule out a September rate cut directly, investors are growing nervous that the Fed will not be able to find enough confirming data that inflation is making definitive progress to the Fed’s 2% annual inflation target. Odds of a September quarter-point rate cut have eased to 60% according to the CME’s FedWatch Tool.

Read more: Fed Minutes leave the door open to a probable rate cut in September

On Thursday, pan-European Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data is expected to recover. The EU’s Manufacturing PMI in May is expected to climb to 46.2 from 45.7, while the Services PMI is expected to tick upwards slightly to 53.5 from 53.3.

US PMI figures will follow during Thursday’s US market session, with both the Manufacturing and Services PMIs expected to hold steady at 50.0 and 51.3, respectively.

EUR/USD technical outlook

EUR/USD has drifted below the 200-hour Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 1.0834, and the Fiber is battling to keep afloat of the 1.0820 level. The pair has eased back after a failed bull run at the 1.0900 handle.

Daily candles are inching towards the 200-day EMA at 1.0802, and EUR/USD has closed in the red for three of the last four straight trading days. Despite a near-term bearish pullback, the pair is still up from the last major swing low into 1.0600 in mid-April.

EUR/USD hourly chart

EUR/USD daily chart

EUR/USD

Overview
Today last price 1.0825
Today Daily Change -0.0029
Today Daily Change % -0.27
Today daily open 1.0854
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 1.0774
Daily SMA50 1.078
Daily SMA100 1.0817
Daily SMA200 1.0789
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 1.0875
Previous Daily Low 1.0843
Previous Weekly High 1.0895
Previous Weekly Low 1.0766
Previous Monthly High 1.0885
Previous Monthly Low 1.0601
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 1.0855
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 1.0862
Daily Pivot Point S1 1.0839
Daily Pivot Point S2 1.0825
Daily Pivot Point S3 1.0807
Daily Pivot Point R1 1.0871
Daily Pivot Point R2 1.0889
Daily Pivot Point R3 1.0903

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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