Costco's Cash Pile Keeps Building. Could a Special Dividend Come in the Final 3 Months of the Year?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Costco has paid out five one-time dividends over the last 14 years. It's due for another one soon.

  • This is not the quarterly distributions, which Costco has increased for 22 straight years.

  • With Costco's cash and short-term investments growing from $15 billion to $21 billion since its last special dividend, this should be a record payout for the chain.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Costco Wholesale ›

I don't want to wait a few paragraphs to answer the question posed in the headline. I would be stunned if Costco (NASDAQ: COST) doesn't declare a special dividend before the end of this year. In fact, I am confident enough to propose what I will do if Costco skimps on a one-time payout in 2026.

Did you see the 2006 movie Idiocracy? Well, I will stand outside of my local warehouse club, wearing a bib with my photo on it. I will repeatedly greet guests coming in, with a full-on monotone: "Welcome to Costco, I love you."

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

If you didn't see the movie, I'll wait.

Someone approaching a piggy bank with a hammer behind the back.

Image source: Getty Images.

It's more than just pocket change

History is my favorite teacher. Looking back over the past several years, there's a certain cadence to when Costco doles out its special distributions. Unlike the quarterly dividends -- which have been increased for 22 consecutive years -- the world's largest warehouse club operator has spent the last 14 years returning excess cash to investors every two or three years.

Here is the timeline for each of those five bonus payouts.

  • Dec. 27, 2023: $15 a share
  • Dec. 1, 2020: $10
  • May 8, 2017: $7
  • Feb. 5, 2015: $5
  • Dec. 6, 2012: $7

There is no promise of a chunky -- and lately, growing -- distribution every two to three years. When Costco increased its membership fee in 2024, it was more than seven years removed from its last hike. Costco had raised prices on its Gold Star and Executive memberships every four to five years before that.

It's not the same, though. Maybe Costco was just trying to wait longer after the COVID-19 recovery process before boosting its annual cover charge. Special dividends are largely for handing over excess cash to investors, and there is no time like the present for that present.

Costco had $15 billion in cash and short-term investments on its balance sheet at the end of fiscal 2023. Investors received $15 a share in a special distribution. It closed out fiscal 2026 with $21 billion in greenery on its balance sheet. Will it pay out a $21-per-share distribution come December? Will it check that back to $20 per share to keep the number round and give it some more expansion money?

Investors will win either way. In fact, maybe we can all win if this perennial safe stock skips the special dividend in the final three months of the year. It would signal bigger plans to build out its empire, particularly overseas, where fewer than a third of its stores are currently located. You would also win as I humiliate myself, greeting people on their way into a Miami Costco.

"Welcome to special dividend investing. I love you."

Should you buy stock in Costco Wholesale right now?

Before you buy stock in Costco Wholesale, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Costco Wholesale wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $364,023!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,467,933!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 948% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of October 6, 2026.

Rick Munarriz has positions in Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Costco Wholesale. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Rebounds After 1.91% Drop as Yields Ease. Is $4,449 Next? Gold fell about 1.91% on August 18 before producing a strong bullish reaction from the 1-hour demand zone in early August 19 trading. RSI is recovering from oversold conditions, but Supertrend remains bearish as traders await the Fed minutes.
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 19, Wed
Gold fell about 1.91% on August 18 before producing a strong bullish reaction from the 1-hour demand zone in early August 19 trading. RSI is recovering from oversold conditions, but Supertrend remains bearish as traders await the Fed minutes.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Gains 0.94% as Markets Expect Fed to Hold Rates, Can $4,449 Resistance Break? Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 18, Tue
Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Drops 1.32% Despite Lower Fed Rate-Hike Bets, Can $4,313 Support Hold? Gold fell 1.32% on August 13 after rising to $4,449.73, then reversing lower and closing near $4,349.918 below the $4,356.46 support. Softer US inflation data reduced Fed rate hike expectations, but selling pressure still dominated the session. Will $4,313 support hold?
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 14, Fri
Gold fell 1.32% on August 13 after rising to $4,449.73, then reversing lower and closing near $4,349.918 below the $4,356.46 support. Softer US inflation data reduced Fed rate hike expectations, but selling pressure still dominated the session. Will $4,313 support hold?
placeholder
XAUUSD Gold Analysis: Gold Holds Above $4,350 Ahead of US Inflation Data Is $4,500 Next? Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 12, Wed
Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
placeholder
Intel Price Forecast: Nvidia Picked Xeon 6, Invested $5B, Yet Analysts Still Trail INTCIntel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) sits at $140.05, holding firm on the ascending trendline within the 2H timeframe. The RSI indicator is currently reading 55.21, positioning it as neutral-
Author  TradingKey
Jul 02, Thu
Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) sits at $140.05, holding firm on the ascending trendline within the 2H timeframe. The RSI indicator is currently reading 55.21, positioning it as neutral-
goTop
quote