Kraft Heinz vs. PepsiCo: Which Consumer Goods Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Kraft Heinz is leveraging its Taste Elevation and Easy Ready Meals platforms while managing a significant turnaround effort.

  • PepsiCo maintains a massive global footprint across snacks and beverages, supported by brands like Frito-Lay and Gatorade.

  • Which household name belongs in your 2026 portfolio?

  • 10 stocks we like better than Kraft Heinz ›

As inflation continues to influence consumer behavior, investors often look toward established giants for stability. Deciding between Kraft Heinz (NYSE:KHC) and PepsiCo (NASDAQ:PEP) requires weighing a deep-value turnaround story against a global snacking powerhouse.

Kraft Heinz focuses on pantry staples and condiments, attempting to revitalize legacy brands. PepsiCo dominates both the soda aisle and the snack rack, owning recognizable brands like Quaker, Doritos, and Mountain Dew. They represent different paths for conservative portfolios looking for stability.

The case for Kraft Heinz

Kraft Heinz operates through eight product platforms, including Taste Elevation, Easy Ready Meals, and Substantial Snacking. The company primarily sells its branded foods to large retailers and foodservice distributors. Walmart accounted for approximately 21% of net sales in 2025. Customer concentration like this adds a layer of risk to the business. The Board paused a previously announced plan to separate into two independent companies in February 2026.

In 2025, adjusted (non-GAAP) revenue was $24.9 billion, representing a decrease of approximately 3.5% from the previous year. The company reported an adjusted profit of roughly $3 billion for the period. This result was significantly lower than the prior year, when the company earned over $3.7 billion in adjusted net income.

Its debt-to-equity ratio stood at 0.5x as of June 2026. This metric compares total debt to shareholder equity to show how much a company relies on borrowing to fund its operations. The current ratio, which measures the ability to pay short-term debts with assets such as cash and inventory, is approximately 1.1x.

Trailing-12-month (TTM) free cash flow through Q2 2026 was $3.8 billion. This is the cash a company generates after accounting for the costs of maintaining its physical assets.

The case for PepsiCo

In the competitive world of consumer staples stocks, PepsiCo manages a massive global portfolio that includes brands like Lay's, Tostitos, and Gatorade. It operates a vast distribution network serving customers in more than 200 countries. Walmart is also a critical partner, accounting for roughly 14% of consolidated net revenue in 2025. This reliance on a major retail giant introduces potential pressure on pricing and terms.

In 2025, adjusted revenue reached $93.9 billion, representing approximately 2.3% growth over the prior year. Adjusted net income for the fiscal period was close to $11.2 billion. While revenue increased, adjusted profit declined 0.6% from the previous fiscal year.

The company carries a debt-to-equity ratio of nearly 2.4x, as of June 2026. This indicates that the company uses more debt relative to its equity than its peers do. The current ratio is roughly 0.9x, suggesting that current assets are slightly lower than current liabilities.

TTM free cash flow for the year hit a record $9.2 billion as of the second quarter of 2026.

Risk profile comparison

Kraft Heinz faces intense pressure from private-label products that often offer lower prices. The company recorded roughly $9.3 billion in impairment charges in 2025, write-downs of asset values that no longer reflect their purchase prices. It also remains vulnerable to commodity price inflation and supply chain disruptions.

PepsiCo must navigate shifting consumer preferences as more shoppers prioritize health and wellness. This trend is amplified by the rising use of weight-loss drugs, which may impact snack and soda consumption. The company also faces competition from Coca-Cola and Keurig Dr. Pepper. Persistent volatility in raw material costs, such as packaging and transportation, remains a constant threat to profit margins.

Valuation comparison

Kraft Heinz appears cheaper based on its lower Forward P/E and its P/S ratio, which compares price to sales over the past twelve months.

MetricKraft HeinzPepsiCo
Forward P/E10.9x14.7x
P/S ratio1.1x1.8x

Valuation metrics include those sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from those of other data providers.

Which stock would I buy in 2026?

Kraft Heinz has spent years underinvesting in its brands. The company is undergoing a turnaround under CEO Steve Cahillane, who took over in January 2026. Sales have not grown much in several years. For this reason, I would buy PepsiCo, which has shown much greater resilience in an inflationary environment.

PepsiCo revenue grew 7% year over year through the first half of 2026. It has prioritized volume growth through lower prices over driving revenue, which has led to improved market share.

Kraft Heinz has not raised its dividend in years, and it still sits at an annualized payout of $1.60 per share. This reflects the lack of growth in its brands. Meanwhile, Pepsi increased its dividend by 4% earlier this year, marking the 54th consecutive year of dividend increases.

PepsiCo is the better business and the stock I would buy right now.

Should you buy stock in Kraft Heinz right now?

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John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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