Even With 10-Year Treasury Yields at a 20-Month High, I'd Still Rather Buy This S&P 500 Dividend Stock for Passive Income in September.

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • PepsiCo isn't performing well right now, and investors have pushed the stock lower, driving the yield to 4.2%.

  • The 10-year Treasury Yield is hovering around 4.8%.

  • 10 stocks we like better than PepsiCo ›

If all you care about is generating income, then you'll likely find the roughly 4.8% yield of the 10-year Treasury more attractive than PepsiCo's (NASDAQ: PEP) 4.2% yield. The 60 basis point lift in yield amounts to roughly 14% more income in your pocket. But there's one very big problem with this trade-off that I can't justify. Here's why, despite a lower yield, I think PepsiCo still beats Treasuries.

What are you buying with a Treasury?

A Treasury is a bond issued by the U.S. government. The deal is that you loan the government money, and it pays you interest on that loan. The interest you earn stays the same throughout the life of the loan. And when the loan matures, you get your principal back. The big problem with this arrangement boils down to inflation, which is running hot right now.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

A line of 100 dollar bills planted in the ground.

Image source: Getty Images.

Inflation erodes the buying power of the dollar as prices rise. While bonds can provide stability to a portfolio, the interest you earn remains the same for the life of the bond, and you only get your principal back when the bond matures. The buying power of both is reduced by inflation over time. If you have a long investment horizon, bonds may not be the best option. At the very least, you may want to have a higher weighting in stocks.

That's because a stock represents a piece of an operating business. In the case of PepsiCo, the business happens to be one of the world's largest consumer staples companies. Notably, PepsiCo operates in the beverage, snack, and packaged food sectors globally, providing meaningful diversification. It is also a Dividend King, with over 50 consecutive annual dividend increases. It is facing headwinds, as are many of its peers, but history suggests it will get its product lineup back in sync with consumer buying habits.

When PepsiCo does that, it will be able to grow its business again. And its regular annual dividend increases will likely increase in size. Which means the value of the business will rise, and the income I collect as a shareholder will increase, as well. I can't guarantee either of those things, of course, but I have the opportunity to participate in the business's growth over time, which has historically allowed investors to offset and even outpace the ravages of inflation. Treasury bonds simply can't offer that.

If you are willing to take on the risk, buy PepsiCo

Treasury bonds are generally considered risk-free because they are backed by the U.S. government. PepsiCo comes with material risks, from near-term headwinds it is facing to the long-term reality that it is an operating business. So if you can't stomach any risk, Treasuries are probably a better option.

However, a company doesn't earn Dividend King status by accident, so PepsiCo has proven it is a reliable steward of shareholder capital. If you can stomach a little uncertainty, I'd buy high-yield S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) member PepsiCo ahead of a 10-year Treasury.

Should you buy stock in PepsiCo right now?

Before you buy stock in PepsiCo, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and PepsiCo wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $417,413!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,341,294!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 950% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 210% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 13, 2026.

Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in PepsiCo. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US Futures Edge Up Post-Rout Despite Iran-Israel Clash and Hawkish Fed RisksU.S. equity futures stabilized Sunday as tech shares attempted a recovery, though gains were capped by escalating Middle East hostilities and fears of prolonged Federal Reserve monetary tightening.
Author  Mitrade Team
Jun 08, Mon
U.S. equity futures stabilized Sunday as tech shares attempted a recovery, though gains were capped by escalating Middle East hostilities and fears of prolonged Federal Reserve monetary tightening.
placeholder
Markets on a Wire: Imminent US Inflation Data Threatens to Lock In Fed Rate Hikes Imminent CPI and PPI data threaten to lock in a hawkish Federal Reserve rate hike cycle, leaving gold, tech equities, and Bitcoin highly vulnerable to a programmatic sell-off.
Author  Mitrade Team
Jun 09, Tue
Imminent CPI and PPI data threaten to lock in a hawkish Federal Reserve rate hike cycle, leaving gold, tech equities, and Bitcoin highly vulnerable to a programmatic sell-off.
placeholder
XRP Price Prediction for July 2026: Can Buyers Finally Break the Downtrend?XRP (XRP) price trades near $1.05, caught between a year-long downtrend and a sudden burst of buying.July has historically rewarded XRP holders. This year the month arrives with on-chain accumulation
Author  Beincrypto
Jun 30, Tue
XRP (XRP) price trades near $1.05, caught between a year-long downtrend and a sudden burst of buying.July has historically rewarded XRP holders. This year the month arrives with on-chain accumulation
placeholder
XAUUSD Gold Analysis: Gold Holds Above $4,350 Ahead of US Inflation Data Is $4,500 Next? Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 12, Wed
Gold holds above $4,350 following weak US jobs data. As inflation reports approach and UBS eyes $5,000, can XAUUSD break resistance at $4,435 to rally toward $4,500?
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today: Gold Gains 0.94% as Markets Expect Fed to Hold Rates, Can $4,449 Resistance Break? Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
Author  Naoufal Seddik
Aug 18, Tue
Gold gained 0.94% on August 17, closing near $4,417.30 as softer US data strengthened expectations for unchanged Fed rates in September. Gold remains bullish, with $4,449.730 resistance and $4,310.650 support in focus.
goTop
quote