The Smartest AI Stock to Buy on Anthropic's IPO Filing Isn't Anthropic

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Nvidia will cash in on the massive AI build-out.

  • Anthropic clues investors in to how long the AI build-out will last.

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

Anthropic has filed its S-1 with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which signals its intent to go public in the future. Some of the information in this document is incredible, ranging from AI risks to the sheer amount of money Anthropic plans to spend over the next few years. However, there's one overarching theme that prevails in the S-1 document that makes me want to invest in a different stock entirely: Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA).

Nvidia has been the undisputed leader among AI investments since this trend started in 2023. However, it hasn't done as well recently, even though its business is booming. Seeing Anthropic's S-1 filing gave me confidence that Nvidia's still a great stock to buy, and that now could be the perfect buying opportunity.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

Person at desk, looking at lines of code on computer screens.

Image source: Getty Images.

The AI build-out is far from over

Anthropic lists several major industry partners, including Nvidia. Anthropic uses multiple chips to train and run its AI models, and can easily select the cheapest option for the given workload. Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) are also used heavily in cloud computing environments, as companies that are hosting an internal AI model or creating a product that has Anthropic's Claude as its AI backbone will need to pay for their own cloud computing costs. These workloads also use Nvidia GPUs, so it's clear that Nvidia's products are being used all over the place.

Anthropic also has lots of commentary about the length of time its spending will last, often citing timeframes that are five to 10 years out. That pretty clearly shows that, in Anthropic's view, the AI build-out is a long way from wrapping up. Nvidia supports that thesis, as it believes global AI data center capital expenditures will rise to $3 trillion to $4 trillion annually by 2030. Anthropic will be a major part of that figure, and all that will add up to Nvidia's business continuing to expand.

However, the market doesn't believe it, even if it's looking it directly in the face.

The market isn't assuming any growth past 2026 for Nvidia

Nvidia has already given strong guidance for 70% revenue growth in 2027. The problem is, the market hasn't factored a single penny of growth into its stock price beyond 2026.

Nvidia trades for about 23 times this year's earnings estimates. If you use next year's, that figure tumbles to a dirt cheap 13.6 times earnings.

NVDA PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

NVDA P/E Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts. P/E = price-to-earnings.

Since Nvidia trades at 27 times trailing earnings now, it's clear that the market doesn't reflect Nvidia's future growth case. However, information from Anthropic reveals that not only will 2027 be a good year for Nvidia, but the next few years should be as well.

This is due to the sheer volume of computing capacity that has yet to be deployed to run an AI-first society. Nvidia is by far the largest computing provider in this area. This will provide huge growth opportunities for many years, and makes it one of the best AI stocks to buy now, if not the best.

It's rare to find a company expected to grow at 70% in the next fiscal year, trading at just 27 times earnings, but that's exactly the value Nvidia offers. The market doesn't want to believe that AI spending will remain strong over the next year, but that's likely what will happen unless something drastic changes in the market.

I think this is a pretty safe investment with huge upside, and there are few better stocks for investors to scoop up than Nvidia right now. Anthropic is just one of Nvidia's valued clients, and its S-1 has provided more information about massive AI spending in 2027. Other companies will announce 2027 spending plans soon and should confirm the Nvidia bull case.

Should you buy stock in Nvidia right now?

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Keithen Drury has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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