Think It's Too Late to Buy Micron? Here's the 1 Reason Why There's Still Time.
Key Points
Micron stock is up about 382% over the past year, but over a third of its future revenue is now under contract.
Long-term customer deals provide greater visibility into future financial performance.
The stock trades at about 5 times next year's expected earnings, despite Wall Street earnings estimates exceeding $200 over the next two years.
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Many investors probably feel like they missed out on Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU). The memory-chip maker's stock is up about 382% over the past year, outperforming the S&P 500's 16%.
But one reason the stock could still make new highs is simple: more of Micron's future demand is already locked in with strategic customer agreements. On the Sept. 30, 2026, earnings call, CEO Sanjay Mehrotra said, "These multi-year take-or-pay agreements sharpen our long-term supply planning and enhance the durability and predictability of our strong financial performance."
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Micron has signed 26 long-term agreements with customers. These agreements will cover more than a third of its revenue through 2030. The take-or-pay structure means customers pay whether or not they take delivery.
A large portion of high bandwidth memory -- the fast memory chips that feed data to AI chips -- is already sold out for 2027. Importantly, Mehrotra said next year's volume is commanding prices "much higher than 2026 prices."
That visibility shows up in the company's guidance. Micron expects revenue of about $61.5 billion in its current fiscal quarter, up from $54 billion in the previous quarter, with a high gross profit margin of 86%. Management expects fiscal 2027 to be another record year, with revenue growing every quarter.
Memory is a famously boom-and-bust business, and Micron is spending heavily to add capacity, so memory prices could fall if supply catches up with demand. But that's not likely to happen for at least a few more years. Mehrotra expects supply-demand conditions to be even tighter through 2028 than they were in 2026.
The stock trades at just over 5 times Wall Street's fiscal 2027 earnings estimates, as of Oct. 14, 2026. That is a low valuation for a company that analysts expect to more than double earnings per share to $176 in fiscal 2027, and increase another 17% to $206 in fiscal 2028. For investors who can tolerate a volatile stock, the positive outlook for demand and low forward P/E could support new highs over the next few years.
Should you buy stock in Micron Technology right now?
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John Ballard has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Micron Technology. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
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