SpaceX Stock Price Forecast: Starship Flight 14 Launch Becomes Key Catalyst, Stock Expected to Reach $172

TradingKey - SpaceX (SPCX) stock price has recently maintained a range-bound trend, with short-term market focus shifting toward a new Starship launch mission. According to SpaceX's official website, the 75-minute launch window for Starship Flight 14 will open at 8:15 a.m. Eastern Time at SpaceX's Starbase facility in Texas. As Starship testing gradually transitions from validating flight capability to orbital operations and satellite deployment, the outcome of this mission may serve as an important event influencing short-term sentiment around SPCX.

Starship Flight 14 is SpaceX's 14th combined Starship and Super Heavy flight to date, as well as the program's first planned completion of an orbital flight. The previous 13 missions were all executed along suborbital trajectories, but this time, if rocket conditions permit, Starship will reignite its Raptor engines approximately 25 minutes after liftoff to adjust its flight trajectory into orbit.

The significance of this mission lies not only in a new round of Starship test flights, but also in mission objectives moving closer to practical orbital applications. According to public mission schedules, SpaceX plans to test Starship's orbital flight capabilities while advancing steps such as Starlink satellite deployment. If the relevant tests are completed successfully, it will provide new validation data for Starship to undertake larger-scale satellite launch missions in the future.

For SpaceX, Starship is a key piece of infrastructure to reduce per-launch costs and increase launch frequency in the future, while also directly impacting the next phase of Starlink's expansion. As the size and payload demands of next-generation Starlink satellites rise, Starship's larger payload capacity is of great significance for SpaceX to improve satellite deployment efficiency.

Therefore, for SPCX's stock price, short-term market focus will center on the actual launch outcome. If Starship successfully completes its primary mission objectives, market expectations regarding Starship's commercialization progress and Starlink's expansion capabilities may improve further; conversely, if delays, mission interruptions, or flight anomalies occur, the event-driven stock price may adjust downward.

SPCX Stock Price Technical Analysis

SPCX daily price chart, Source: TradingView

Looking at the daily price chart of SPCX, the stock price has pulled back continuously after recently rising to near $158. However, the candlesticks over the past two trading days have formed consecutive doji patterns on the 20-day moving average, indicating strong support at this moving average. Short-term bullish momentum is gradually strengthening, and the stock price is expected to resume its rise in the short term.

Currently, the primary resistance level to watch above is $158. If the stock can hold firmly above this level, it will open up upside potential toward $172. If the price further breaks through this level with strength, it is expected to test the $200 mark.

On the downside, the primary support level to watch below is near the low of the past two trading days around $146. If it falls below this level, the stock price may test the $142-$140 range. If the stock price breaks below $140, it may further test the $130 mark.