What History Reveals About Investing Through a Stock Market Crash

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • The S&P 500 lost over 40% of its value during the dot-com crash.

  • The S&P 500 lost over 50% of its value during the Great Recession.

  • Those massive declines are barely noticeable today.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard S&P 500 ETF ›

Wall Street pays a huge amount of attention to the price movements of the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC). If stocks are in a bull market, everyone wants to know when the next bear market will arrive. If there's a bear market, everyone keeps an eye out for the sign that the next bull market has come along. History shows you should ignore Wall Street and focus on a long-term plan of saving and investing, no matter what the market is doing.

Just buy the S&P 500 and keep buying it

World-famous investor and Wall Street icon Warren Buffett has often said that most investors would be better off buying an S&P 500 index fund, such as SPDR S&P 500 Trust (NYSEMKT: SPY) or Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), than trying to buy individual stocks. The real purpose of this is to create a simple, diversified portfolio that allows the investor to focus their attention on saving money and, frankly, living a happy life.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

A hand drawing two lines, one twisted, complex, and confusing and the other straight and easy to understand.

Image source: Getty Images.

That said, a key part of Buffett's investment advice is that you should keep buying the S&P 500 no matter what is happening with the market. That's called dollar-cost averaging. You should also reinvest your dividends, which allows the dividends to compound over time. Both are simple, but powerful wealth-building tools.

SPY Chart

SPY data by YCharts

The proof of this approach is shown in the graph above. A $10,000 investment in SPDR S&P 500 ETF right before the dot-com bubble burst, leading to an over 40% market drawdown, would be worth over $50,000 as of this writing. That bear market is just a blip today.

SPY Chart

SPY data by YCharts

The same story holds true if you had bought just before the Great Recession, when the market fell by over 50%. A $10k investment just before that painful drop would also be worth more than $50,000. That drop is barely a blip today, as well.

The one caveat here is that the market basically went sideways between the dot-com crash and the Great Recession. Falling into a bear market again soon after recovering from the previous bear market. But stocks do that sometimes. Over very long periods, the S&P 500 index has tended to trend higher in a jagged pattern, building wealth for investors who keep saving and investing through both bear markets and bull markets.

You don't have to buy the S&P 500 to benefit

Buying the S&P 500 index is a simple and powerful long-term investment plan. However, some people prefer to follow different approaches. But the S&P 500's history is still informative. The real takeaway is to create an investment approach you can stick to through thick and thin, and then keep following it regardless of whether or not there's a bull or bear market. Or, to simplify that a bit, the S&P 500's history reveals that most investors should buy and hold for the long term.

Should you buy stock in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Vanguard S&P 500 ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $406,141!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,347,745!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 940% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 211% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 19, 2026.

Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Bitcoin falls below $75,000 as the CLARITY Act fails in the Senate — what the vote means for cryptoThe US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
Author  Suzie
Sep 16, Wed
The US Senate blocked the Digital Asset Market CLARITY Act in a 49-50 procedural vote, sending Bitcoin briefly below $75,000 — its biggest one-day drop since June. Ethereum fell more than 8%, Coinbase slid 10% and $75 billion of crypto market value evaporated. Here is what the vote was, why it failed, and the levels that matter now.
placeholder
Dollar index tops 100 for the first time since July as the Fed's hawkish dot plot sinks inThe U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 17, Thu
The U.S. dollar index broke back above 100 for the first time since 31 July after the Fed delivered its first rate hike since 2023, with the dot plot showing 16 of 18 officials expect at least one more increase this year. Here are the levels that matter for DXY, the currencies feeling it most, and what to watch next.
placeholder
Gold rebounds to near $4,350 on weaker US Dollar, falling oil pricesGold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 32
Gold price (XAU/USD) rises to near $4,345 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal rebounds from a six-week low amid falling oil prices and a weaker US Dollar (USD). Traders continue to assess the latest Federal Reserve (Fed) rate hike and policy cues.
placeholder
US to delay new "overcapacity" tariffs on China — what the pause means for trade, inflation and the dollarWashington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 07: 43
Washington is expected to hold off announcing new tariffs over Chinese "overcapacity" until after the 24 September summit, according to Bloomberg. The postponed plan would have added 7.5% to Chinese goods, taking second-term US tariffs to around 20%. Here is what is on the table, and what a deal versus no deal would mean for the yuan, Hong Kong equities and the dollar.
goTop
quote