Is SpaceX Really Worth More Than Micron and AMD Combined? Here's the Unvarnished Truth.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • SpaceX could unlock massive new markets that don't even exist today.

  • However, Micron and AMD are handily beating SpaceX on the top and bottom lines.

  • Whether or not SpaceX is really worth more than Micron and AMD combined could depend on your time horizon.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Space Exploration Technologies ›

Since its historic initial public offering (IPO) on June 12, 2026, the market cap of Space Exploration Technologies (NASDAQ: SPCX), commonly known as SpaceX, has ranked the space technology pioneer among the top 10 largest companies trading on U.S. stock exchanges.

However, that statement doesn't tell the full story. SpaceX's market cap has consistently been greater than Micron Technologies (NASDAQ: MU) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) combined. Does that make sense? Is SpaceX really worth more than the sum of these two tech companies' valuations?

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

A chalk drawing of a rocket with Ben Franklin from a $100 bill peering through a window on the rocket.

Image source: Getty Images.

Playing devil's advocate

Allow me to play devil's advocate first. There is a case to be made that SpaceX truly is worth more than Micron and AMD combined. It could even be worth much more than these two companies together.

Exhibit A for this argument is SpaceX's total addressable market (TAM). The company believes that its TAM is a whopping $28.5 trillion, the largest in human history. I don't think Micron's and AMD's combined TAMs come anywhere close to touching that number.

To be sure, SpaceX's current businesses don't justify such a lofty market potential. However, it's not unrealistic to speculate that SpaceX could open up massive new markets that don't even exist today. For example, the company wants to build data centers in space. It wants to manufacture products on the Moon and Mars. It hopes to mine asteroids.

Exhibit B is the three companies' respective market positions. SpaceX dominates the global launch market. Its Starlink unit has a huge head start in the fast-growing satellite internet services market. Artificial intelligence (AI) business xAI continues to score multibillion-dollar deals with AI giants, including Anthropic and Alphabet's (NASDAQ: GOOG) (NASDAQ: GOOGL) Google Cloud.

Meanwhile, Micron is one of three major suppliers of memory chips. Despite its tremendous success, AMD plays second fiddle to Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) in the AI chip market. Neither company stands out as the leader in its respective market the way SpaceX does. And while Micron remains a cyclical stock, there's little concern about cyclicality with SpaceX's businesses.

Cold, hard facts

Now for some cold, hard facts that work against the view that SpaceX is really worth more than Micron and AMD combined. Let's start with the numbers.

SpaceX generated revenue of $18.7 billion last year, up 33% year over year. In the first quarter of 2026, the company's revenue rose by only 15% year over year to $4.7 billion. Meanwhile, Micron's revenue for its fiscal second quarter (which ended Feb. 26, 2026) soared 75% year over year to $23.9 billion. AMD's 2026 Q1 revenue jumped 38% year over year to roughly $10.3 billion.

Micron and AMD aren't just beating SpaceX on the top line. Both companies delivered strong profits in their latest quarters with sizzling growth. SpaceX, however, posted a net loss of $4.3 billion, reflecting significant bottom-line deterioration compared to the prior year period.

While Micron's and AMD's TAMs may not stack up to SpaceX's huge estimated TAM, they have realistic growth prospects. Micron's high-bandwidth memory (HBM) is a critical component of AI data centers. AMD continues to make inroads in the AI infrastructure market.

We can't ignore SpaceX's governance issues, either. Elon Musk controls over 80% of the company's voting power. If Musk wants SpaceX to move in a direction that's not beneficial to other shareholders, he can do so. That isn't the case with Micron or AMD.

The unvarnished truth

So, is SpaceX really worth more than Micron and AMD combined? I think the unvarnished truth is no -- at least not right now.

Importantly, though, the answer could be different 10 to 20 years from now. Technological changes could leave Micron and AMD in the dust, while SpaceX flourishes. If SpaceX unlocks new $1 trillion-plus industries, its current valuation could one day look like a bargain.

Still, SpaceX is a metaphorical and literal moonshot for investors. Its grandiose vision may not be realized. In today's real world, I think both Micron and AMD are better picks for investors with their feet on the ground.

Should you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies right now?

Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Space Exploration Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $398,052!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,181,688!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 892% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 205% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 28, 2026.

Keith Speights has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, Alphabet, Micron Technology, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD seems vulnerable; ascending channel breakdown in playSilver struggles to capitalize on the overnight modest rebound from the $36.20 area, or a nearly four-week low, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 01, 2025
Silver struggles to capitalize on the overnight modest rebound from the $36.20 area, or a nearly four-week low, and trades with a negative bias during the Asian session on Friday.
placeholder
Australian Dollar maintains position following RBA Meeting Minutes releaseThe Australian Dollar (AUD) holds ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
Oct 14, 2025
The Australian Dollar (AUD) holds ground against the US Dollar (USD) on Tuesday.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold declines below $4,500 on stalled US-Iran ceasefire talks, US NFP data loomsGold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
Author  FXStreet
Jun 05, Fri
Gold price (XAU/USD) edges lower to near $4,470 during the early Asian session on Friday. The precious metal remains volatile amid ongoing geopolitical turmoil. Traders will closely monitor the developments surrounding the US-Iran peace deal and the US May employment report later on Friday. 
goTop
quote