US Election 2024: Exit polls awaited as voting about to end

Source Fxstreet

American voters have little time left to cast their votes as polls will start closing at 19:00 EST or 00:00 GMT. United States (US) citizens have to decide whether Vice President Kamala Harris or former President Donald Trump will become the 47th President of the United States.

As the time approaches, election polls increasingly show Donald Trump has an advantage over his rival. Kalshi shows an overwhelming 57% to 43% Trump's advantage over Harris, while Polymarket puts the figures at 60.7% and 39.5%, respectively.

In the meantime, Trump stays on top in some swing states such as Arizona and North Carolina, while Harris seems to have taken a small lead in Wisconsin and Michigan. Four swing states – Arizona, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin – have absentee ballot procedures that could delay the calling of a winner.  Swing states are likely to define who will take office and exit polls from such states could shake financial boards.

"Early vote returns in US battleground states may not be a good indicator of whether Democratic candidate Kamala Harris or Republican rival Donald Trump will win, experts say, thanks to vote counting rules and quirks in several key states," explains Reuters.

Follow our live coverage of the market reaction to the US presidential election as counting results start hitting the wires.

 

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Drops Below $83,000 as US Government Transfers Over 10,000 BTC, Sparking Panic Over Potential Selling PressureUS government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
US government transfers over 10,000 BTC as Bitcoin extends losses to breach $83,000, but a further sharp decline remains unlikely.On October 8, Bitcoin (BTC) extended its recent losses, f
placeholder
Gold falls to a two-month low as real yields bite — can $4,000 hold?Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
Author  Irene Q.
11 hours ago
Gold hit a two-month low on 7 October, with spot touching roughly $4,090 and COMEX December futures closing at $4,140.70, even as the New York Fed's one-year inflation expectation rose to 3.9% — its highest since May 2023. The paradox resolves through real yields: the 30-year Treasury yield reached 5.732% intraday, its highest since 2002. Here are the levels, the institutional split, and the scenarios into tonight's jobless claims and 30-year auction.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,100, Could Test $4,000 in Short TermAs of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
Author  TradingKey
11 hours ago
As of the Asian session on October 8, gold prices (XAUUSD) maintained a weak rebound trend today, with the latest price trading around $4,120; yesterday, gold prices briefly fell below $4
placeholder
Euro slides to a 17-month low as France's budget crisis spreads — can 1.12 hold?EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
Author  Irene Q.
12 hours ago
EUR/USD touched 1.1162 on 5 October, its weakest level in 17 months, as France's budget standoff pushed the 10-year OAT above 5% and the OAT-Bund spread to roughly 160bp — the widest since the 2011-12 eurozone debt crisis. The euro now trades near 1.1215 ahead of US jobless claims and a $22 billion 30-year Treasury auction. Here are the levels and the two scenarios to watch.
placeholder
Today’s Market Recap: 10-Year Treasury Yield Hits Highest Since 2002,U.S. Stocks Fall as Brent Barely Holds $100Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
Author  TradingKey
18 hours ago
Tracking the Market TrendTradingKey - On October 7, U.S. Eastern Time, the 10-year Treasury yield climbed to an intraday high of 5.36%, its highest level since 2002, while all three major U.S. stock i
goTop
quote