Forex Today: Rate cut expectations look at US inflation data

Source Fxstreet

Further optimism in the risk-linked complex maintained the Greenback under pressure in the first half of the week, while investors got ready for the release of crucial US inflation figures on Wednesday. Still around inflation, the UK CPI will also be in the spotlight.

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, August 14:

The USD Index (DXY) retreated for the third day in a row and once again broke below the 103.00 support amidst lower yields. The Inflation Rate will take centre stage on August 14 seconded by weekly MBA’s Mortgage Applications.

EUR/USD climbed to multi-day highs and revisited the 1.0980 zone on the back of the improved tone in the riskier assets. Another estimate of the Q2 GDP Growth rate in the euro area is due on August 14, followed by Industrial Production and the preliminary Employment Change in Q2.

GBP/USD resumed its uptrend and rose sharply, this time rapidly leaving behind the 1.2800 barrier to print multi-day tops. The salient event across the Channel will be the Inflation Rate on August 14.

USD/JPY maintained its erratic performance seen in past days, although a convincing breakout of the 148.00 barrier appears elusive for the time being. The next significant data releases in Japan will be the advanced Q2 GDP Growth Rate, the final Industrial Production and weekly Foreign Bond Investment, all expected on August 15.

Another positive day saw AUD/USD trespass the key 0.6600 barrier and reach new three-week highs. Next of note on the Australian calendar will be the Consumer Inflation Expectations and the publication of the labour market report, all due on August 15.

WTI prices could not sustain a move past the key $80.00 mark per barrel, eventually succumbing to the renewed selling pressure and returning below the $79.00 mark.

Gold prices approached the $2,480 region per ounce troy before retreating and ending the session with modest losses ahead of the US CPI data on Wednesday. Silver dropped markedly despite briefly surpassing the $28.00 mark per ounce earlier in the day.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 20, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 20, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 20, Tue
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 20, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
Dollar presses 102 as the 10-year yield sits at 5.14% — and October hike odds are only 17%The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 20, Tue
The dollar index closed at 101.99 (+0.20%) on Monday after briefly topping 102.07, while the 10-year Treasury yield rose to 5.14% and the 2-year hit 4.774% — yet futures price only about a 17% chance of a hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, versus roughly 90% for December. The driver is a global bond selloff, not a Fed repricing: France's 10-year OAT jumped to 4.84% ~ 4.94% and the OAT-Bund spread widened to 140 ~ 146bp. Here are the levels, the cross-asset read-through and what to watch.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 22, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 22, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 58
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 22, 2026. Read on for the details.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 28
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Gold Price Analysis Today | Forex Gold Analysis | XAU/USD Analysis - October 23, 2026Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Author  Mitrade
5 hours ago
Get the latest gold price analysis, forex gold insights, and XAU/USD analysis for October 23, 2026. Read on for the details.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote