After Microsoft's Landmark Deal With Constellation Energy, Could This Little-Known Stock Be the Next Big Opportunity in Nuclear Power?

Source The Motley Fool

Data centers house IT architecture such as server racks that store advanced chipsets called graphics processing units (GPU) -- a critical piece of infrastructure for AI development.

One drawback of data centers, however, is power consumption. Since GPUs are running sophisticated algorithms around the clock, data centers experience high levels of heat and consume a lot of energy. At the moment, some of the most common pieces of equipment outfitting data centers include air conditioning units, fans, and generators.

While these products work, there are questions about their long-term viability. For this reason, nuclear power is emerging as an alternative and more efficient solution over traditional data center energy solutions.

Just a couple of weeks ago, Microsoft signed a deal with Constellation Energy, and the two companies are looking to restart nuclear power plants on Three Mile Island in Pennsylvania. Shares of Constellation have been surging on the news of this partnership. Naturally, investors are now looking for the next big opportunity at the intersection of AI and nuclear power.

Below, I'll explore a little-known nuclear power company called Oklo (NYSE: OKLO) and assess if the stock could be a lucrative opportunity.

What is Oklo?

According to its website, Oklo is a "fission technology and nuclear fuel recycling company." Its core project is called the Aurora powerhouse, which is essentially a fission reactor that leverages recycled nuclear waste. This technology could revolutionize data center operations, making them less reliant on traditional power grids.

Oklo Aurora powerhouse

Image source: Oklo Investor Relations.

Oklo looks impressive on the surface, but...

Before going public, Oklo received funding from a number of high-profile venture capital firms. Among its more notable investors are OpenAI CEO Sam Altman and billionaire Silicon Valley legend Peter Thiel. Moreover, the company has received interest for its reactors from the likes of Diamondback Energy, Equinix, Centrus Energy and the United States Air Force.

On the surface, Oklo looks pretty impressive. But smart investors know there is always more to uncover when assessing smaller businesses. Oklo is no exception, and I've found some important things to keep in mind with this under-the-radar energy stock.

Nuclear power plant.

Image source: Getty Images.

...investors should keep the following in mind

Oklo started trading on the New York Stock Exchange back in May after merging with a special purpose acquisition company (SPAC). SPACs are a somewhat unusual way of going public, as they circumvent traditional underwriting processes at investment banks. Over the last couple of years, SPACs have risen in popularity.

Here's the inconvenient reality of SPAC stocks. Many market themselves as cutting-edge businesses, but have yet to show tangible results. As a result, after an initial surge fueled by investor euphoria, SPAC stocks often wind up selling off as a more sober assessment sets in.

According to a study at the University of Florida, renewable energy SPACs have a median return of negative 84% between 2009 and 2024. It's too early to tell where Oklo's share price will end up, but I see some reasons why the stock could begin to decline.

While the Aurora powerhouse carries some allure, Oklo's first plant isn't expected to be functional until 2027. Until then, the company will likely remain a pre-revenue business that requires ongoing investment in capital expenditures (capex). As a result, I would not be surprised to see the company pressed for liquidity and potentially dilute shareholders in an effort to keep the operation afloat.

I find Oklo's nuclear power solutions intriguing, but I have my doubts about how investable the business is at its current stage. For now, I see Oklo as quite risky and, at best, a speculative opportunity.

I think the more prudent strategy is to invest in higher-quality businesses that are already making moves at the crossroads of nuclear power and AI. In addition to Microsoft and Constellation Energy, Amazon and Vistra are some big names worth keeping an eye on. As far as Oklo goes, I think it's best to sit on the sidelines and monitor the company's progress over time.

Should you invest $1,000 in Oklo right now?

Before you buy stock in Oklo, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Oklo wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $765,523!*

Stock Advisor provides investors with an easy-to-follow blueprint for success, including guidance on building a portfolio, regular updates from analysts, and two new stock picks each month. The Stock Advisor service has more than quadrupled the return of S&P 500 since 2002*.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 30, 2024

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Amazon and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Constellation Energy, Equinix, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 14, Mon
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
Sep 14, Mon
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,300 as higher US yields bolster Fed rate hike betsGold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 23
Gold price (XAU/USD) tumbles to near $4,295 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal faces some selling pressure as rising bond yields and surging energy prices strengthen expectations that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) will raise interest rates this week. 
placeholder
【Daily Brief】10-year Treasury yield briefly tops 5%, S&P 500 slips to 7,602 and the dollar firms at 99.3 as the Fed's decision eve beginsThe 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
Author  Irene Q.
21 hours ago
The 10-year Treasury yield touched 5.014% on Monday — its first print above 5% since October 2023 — while the S&P 500 closed 0.48% lower at 7,619.98 and the dollar index firmed to 99.3. Here is the full market wrap ahead of Wednesday's FOMC decision, the dot plot and the August retail sales report, plus today's CLARITY Act Senate vote.
goTop
quote