Palantir Stock Price Forecast: Drops 3% Despite Earnings Beat, $160 Support at Risk
TradingKey - Palantir (PLTR) Stellar Earnings Fail to Prevent Profit-Taking on High Valuations as Stock Drops 3%, Technicals Focus on Defense of $160 Level
On November 3 Eastern Time, following the release of its Q3 FY2026 earnings report, despite Palantir (PLTR)'s revenue and earnings per share (EPS) beating Wall Street expectations again and raising its full-year guidance, the stock suffered a "sell the news" sell-off, falling over 3% in overnight trading and sparking intense market debate over whether it will retest the key $160 defense line.
According to the latest financial report, Palantir's core financial metrics far exceeded Wall Street expectations, as detailed below:
Financial Metrics | Official Data (Q3) | Wall Street Estimates |
Total Revenue | $2.313 billion | $2.170 - $2.180 billion |
Adjusted EPS | $0.44 | $0.40 - $0.41 |
Q4 Revenue Guidance | $2.649 - $2.653 billion | $2.460 billion |
FY2026 Full-Year Revenue Guidance | $8.530 - $8.534 billion | $8.200 billion |
Despite Palantir's strong earnings performance, it could not withstand the impact of surging global tech CapEx and spreading panic over AI return on investment (ROI). Affected by Alphabet (GOOG) and Amazon (AMZN) seeing free cash flow pressure due to high capital expenditures, Wall Street has begun to re-examine the valuations of all companies across the AI chain. As a core play in AI applications and data analytics, Palantir inevitably faced pressure from the risk-off sentiment in the broader market and tech sector.
Against this unfavorable backdrop, profit-taking in Palantir intensified. Prior to the earnings announcement, Palantir's stock price had accumulated massive gains, even breaking above the $210 mark in early October to hit a new record high. A large volume of hedge funds and short-term quantitative capital used the day of the better-than-expected earnings release as an optimal liquidity window to lock in profits.
PLTR Stock Chart, Source: TradingView
From the perspective of technical patterns and volume concentration zones, Palantir is currently at a critical stage of digesting profit-taking at high levels and retesting clustered moving averages. If the broader market continues to face selling pressure during the U.S. midterm election vote counting, PLTR's stock price could slide further to seek technical support around $160, which was the starting point of October's rally. This level would also adjust PLTR's forward valuation to a relatively reasonable range and provide strong support. However, if this level is unexpectedly breached, the stock could plunge over 30%, retesting this year's bottom near $100.
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