Social Security Retirees Get a Big COLA in 2027, and It Comes With Even Better News

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Social Security benefits will receive a 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) in 2027, the largest pay increase since 2023.

  • Elevated energy prices tied to the Iran conflict were a major reason for the large COLA.

  • Below-average inflation in housing and medical care prices means retirees on Social Security theoretically gained purchasing power.

  • Motley Fool Issues Rare "Total Conviction" Buy Alert ›

Earlier this month, the Social Security Administration announced that retired workers and other beneficiaries will receive a 3.6% cost-of-living adjustment (COLA) in 2027. That is up from the 2.8% COLA in 2026.

However, there is even better news for Social Security recipients: The 2027 COLA theoretically represents an increase in purchasing power due to below-average inflation in housing and medical care prices.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

Here are the important details.

Social Security card layered over U.S. dollar bills, symbolizing retirement income and government benefits

Image source: Getty Images.

Social Security benefits will increase 3.6% in 2027

Social Security beneficiaries receive annual cost-of-living adjustments (COLAs) to help them keep pace with rising prices. Inflation accelerated earlier this year when the U.S. went to war in Iran, sparking the largest oil supply disruption in history. That, in turn, pushed gasoline prices to their highest level in four years.

To offset higher prices across the economy, Social Security benefits will receive a 3.6% COLA in 2027. That is the largest pay increase for retired workers since an 8.7% COLA was awarded in 2023, and it's well above the 20-year average of 2.9%.

The chart below shows how much the average monthly Social Security payment will increase next year for different types of beneficiaries.

Beneficiary Type Average Benefit (Before COLA) Average Benefit (After COLA) Change in Dollars
Retired Workers $2,089 $2,164 $75
Spouses $987 $1,022 $36
Survivors $1,636 $1,695 $59
Disabled Workers $1,636 $1,695 $59

Source: The Social Security Administration.

As shown above, the average monthly retired-worker benefit will be about $2,164 in 2027. That means the average retired worker will receive an additional $75 per month or $900 for the full year.

Social Security's 2027 COLA comes with a silver lining

Many policy analysts argue that Social Security's COLAs are consistently insufficient because they are based on a subset of the Consumer Price Index known as the CPI-W, which measures price changes based on how working adults spend money. The problem with that method is that working adults generally spend money differently than retired workers on Social Security.

Most notably, retired workers tend to spend more on housing and medical care, while working adults tend to spend more on food and beverages, education, and transportation. As a result, the CPI-W underestimates the impact of price increases in housing and medical care, and it overestimates the impact of price increases in the other three categories.

For that reason, some experts believe Social Security's COLAs should be based on another subset of the Consumer Price Index known as the CPI-E, which measures price increases based on how individuals aged 62 and older spend money. The CPI-E population overlaps more closely with the Social Security population, so it puts more weight on the spending categories that matter most to retired workers.

Over the last decade, the CPI-E has outpaced the CPI-W by approximately two-tenths of a percentage point per year. That arguably means Social Security's COLAs have consistently been a little too small. But the opposite happened this year. The CPI-E increase 3.4% in the third quarter of 2026, below the 3.6% increase observed in the CPI-W because price increases in the housing and medical care categories were below average.

So what? If the CPI-E is truly a better measure of inflation for Social Security beneficiaries, then the 2027 COLA is larger than necessary. In other words, retired workers theoretically gained purchasing power. Of course, the CPI-E only topped the CPI-W by two-tenths of a percentage point, so the increase in purchasing power is modest. But it still represents an important change.

This is the first year in which the CPI-W has increased faster than the CPI-E since 2022. In other words, Social Security benefits have arguably lost purchasing power in each of the last three years. But the streak has finally ended, and that's good news for retired workers on Social Security.

The $23,760 Social Security bonus most retirees completely overlook

If you're like most Americans, you're a few years (or more) behind on your retirement savings. But a handful of little-known "Social Security secrets" could help ensure a boost in your retirement income.

One easy trick could pay you as much as $23,760 more... each year! Once you learn how to maximize your Social Security benefits, we think you could retire confidently with the peace of mind we're all after. Join Stock Advisor to learn more about these strategies.

View the "Social Security secrets" »

The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
The Fed will sit still on October 28 — but 100 of 100 economists now expect a December hikeA Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 22, Thu
A Reuters poll run October 16-20 found 94 of 100 economists expecting the Fed to hold at 3.75-4.00% on October 28 — and all 100 expecting a hike in December, against less than half a month earlier. The market is close to the same price, with CME FedWatch at roughly 17% for October and 82.8% for December. With the Fed in blackout since October 17, here are the five dates that decide the rest of the year, what each one is priced for, and the two directions each can take.
placeholder
Big Tech's $800 billion AI bill faces its first real test — free cash flow is the judgeAlphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
Author  Irene Q.
Oct 26, Mon
Alphabet and Microsoft report after the close on October 28, Amazon on October 29, with hyperscaler AI capex running near $800 billion a year. Meta's negative free cash flow and 9.40% drop on October 22 was the warning; this week's prints decide whether cloud growth and backlog can pay for the buildout. Here are the consensus numbers, the free-cash-flow table and the two-sided test.
placeholder
Tesla jumps 5% as Barclays puts a $450 target on the SpaceX merger — the chart was already pointing to 431Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 05: 30
Tesla closed at $391.62 on October 26, up 5.21%, after Barclays upgraded the stock to Overweight and lifted its target to $450 from $370, citing a sharp inflection in Robotaxi miles and a potential SpaceX merger. The move also completed a double bottom at $345.88 and $349.33, with a neckline at $388.56 and a measured target of $431.24. Here is what the upgrade actually says, why the chart and the analyst now point the same way, and what would break the target.
placeholder
Anthropic files for a $2 trillion IPO — the $80.7 billion loss is the decoy, the $450 billion compute bill is the riskAnthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
Author  Irene Q.
Yesterday 06: 02
Anthropic publicly filed its S-1 on October 26, revealing $16.29 billion of first-half revenue (+1,304% year over year) and a $80.7 billion net loss — of which $72.4 billion is a non-cash convertible-note charge. The real number is the $450 billion of signed, mostly non-cancelable compute commitments. Here is what the filing says, why NVDA, ARM and MU are the tradeable read-through, and the conditions that decide whether the AI trade passes its first public valuation test.
placeholder
Fed October Rate Decision Preview: Rate Hike Pause Has Become Consensus, How Will US Stocks, Dollar, and Gold React?The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 10: 21
The Federal Reserve will announce its October interest rate decision at 14:00 Eastern Time on October 28, and Fed Chair Warsh will hold a press conference at 14:30. Markets currently wide
goTop
quote