ASML posted earnings recently and highlighted that it's seeing demand now extend into 2030.
Customers are looking to place orders well in advance due to investments in artificial intelligence.
ASML's stock isn't cheap, but a high valuation may be warranted in light of its promising growth opportunities.
There have been looming question marks about artificial intelligence (AI) stocks of late, and whether a bubble may be bursting. AI stocks have been struggling recently as the market worries about how much longer the strong results may last.
One top tech company, however, says that it's already seeing interest for orders years in advance, due to the need for AI chips. That company is ASML Holding (NASDAQ:ASML), whose lithography machines are essential in the manufacturing process for advanced chips. ASML posted its latest earnings numbers, which not only showed that it's been growing well of late, but also that demand remains robust for a long time, and that customers are placing orders years in advance.
Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »
The big question, however, is whether the tech stock is still a good buy given its high valuation. I'll look to answer that below.
Image source: Getty Images.
The challenge for investors when buying a stock is that it isn't as simple as buying it because the business has done well recently. If a stock is trading at a high valuation, then the market may already be pricing in a fair bit of growth. Thus, unless there is a new development that suggests there's much more growth ahead than what was already expected, the stock itself may not necessarily rally higher or be seen as a good buy.
ASML is one of the largest tech companies in the world, with a market cap of more than $630 billion, and whose growth rate exceeded 55% last quarter. It's currently trading at a price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple of 40, which is significant, and at that kind of valuation, a premium has been priced in. Its forward P/E multiple, which is based on future earnings results that analysts expect from the business in the year ahead, is at 29, which also isn't low; the S&P 500 average is a little over 19 right now.
The company did, however, give investors reason to remain bullish on more growth ahead, as CEO Christophe Fouquet says that AI investments are driving significant orders, and that, "In light of their demand visibility, some customers are expressing an interest in placing orders with us for 2029 and even 2030."
ASML's stock may not be cheap, but the company has a dominant position in the market and a strong competitive advantage. Its lithography machines are essential in the tech sector, and that's evident with customers seeking out orders well in advance, in anticipation of demand even years ahead.
Some growth is certainly priced in for ASML's stock, but with the company already seeing demand into 2030, it may well be worth trading at an even higher valuation for that kind of stability and growth.
Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005.
But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout, a massive technology build-out that Google’s CEO says could be more profound than fire or electricity.
While everyone watches the chip designers, one "backbone" company provides the critical technology that Nvidia and AMD literally cannot function without. We’ve detailed this under-the-radar player in our new AI Playbook.
Continue »
David Jagielski, CPA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.