Lucid vs. RTX: Which Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Lucid is scaling production of its luxury electric vehicles with significant strategic backing from the government of Saudi Arabia.

  • RTX maintains a dominant position in the global aerospace and defense markets with nearly $89 billion in annual revenue.

  • Which of these contrasting investments deserves a spot in your portfolio?

  • 10 stocks we like better than Lucid Group ›

Should you prioritize high-growth disruption or established industrial stability? We compare the luxury electric vehicle maker Lucid Group (NASDAQ:LCID) and the aerospace giant RTX (NYSE:RTX) to determine the better buy.

Lucid is a speculative play on the future of premium transportation, while RTX offers a diversified stake in global defense and aviation infrastructure. While they occupy different corners of the market, both companies are navigating significant production cycles and shifting capital needs that will define their investor returns over the next several years.

The case for Lucid

Lucid designs and sells luxury electric vehicles, including the Lucid Air and the recently launched Lucid Gravity SUV. It operates nearly 60 global studios and service centers to reach high-end consumers. According to its major customer disclosures, Lucid is significantly dependent on the Government of Saudi Arabia, which has a long-term agreement to buy up to 100,000 vehicles. Customer concentration like this adds a layer of risk to the business. Additionally, the company has established strategic commercial agreements with partners like Uber and Nuro to expand its software and autonomy reach within the consumer discretionary stocks space.

In FY 2025, revenue reached approximately $1.4 billion, which represented a strong revenue growth of nearly 67.6% compared to the prior year. Despite this top-line expansion, the company reported a net loss of $2.7 billion for the same period. While the net margin improved from negative 336% in FY 2024 to negative 199.3% in FY 2025, the business remains far from profitability as it continues to scale its manufacturing operations.

As of its December 2025 balance sheet, the debt-to-equity ratio was roughly 1.2x. This ratio measures total debt against shareholder equity, and a figure above 1.0 indicates more debt than equity on the books. The current ratio, which compares short-term assets to short-term liabilities to assess liquidity, stood at approximately 1.3x. Free cash flow for FY 2025 was a negative $3.8 billion, which represents cash flow from operations minus capital expenditures.

The case for RTX

RTX operates as a diversified aerospace and defense powerhouse through three core segments: Collins Aerospace, Pratt & Whitney, and Raytheon. Its major customers include the U.S. Department of Defense and commercial aviation giants like Airbus (OTC:EADSF) and Boeing (NYSE:BA). The company provides critical components ranging from the F135 engines used in fighter jets to various missile defense systems and commercial avionics. This broad portfolio makes it a cornerstone among defense stocks.

In FY 2025, revenue reached nearly $88.6 billion, marking a revenue growth of approximately 9.7% over the previous year. The company reported a net income of close to $6.7 billion, which reflects a net margin of roughly 7.6%. This was a notable increase from the $4.8 billion in net income recorded in FY 2024. The steady improvement in net margin suggests the company is effectively managing costs as it delivers on its expansive project backlog.

As of its December 2025 balance sheet, RTX maintained a debt-to-equity ratio of approximately 0.6x. This ratio indicates that its total debt is roughly 60% of its shareholder equity. The current ratio was about 1.0x, showing that short-term assets were just enough to cover short-term liabilities. For FY 2025, the company generated approximately $7.9 billion in free cash flow, which is the cash remaining after paying for operations and capital equipment.

Risk profile comparison

Lucid faces significant risks regarding its liquidity and future capital requirements, as it depends on external financing to support its high cash burn. The company is also dealing with multiple securities fraud class action lawsuits regarding disclosures about supplier quality and delivery delays for the Gravity SUV. Furthermore, manufacturing challenges led to an 18% reduction in its U.S. workforce in early 2026. Intense competition from other luxury EV makers continues to threaten its pricing power and market share.

RTX is highly sensitive to changes in U.S. government defense spending and faces risks from contract audits and investigations. Its Pratt & Whitney segment is currently managing a significant operational hurdle involving a powder metal condition in GTF engines, which has increased repair costs and customer obligations. Geopolitical instability in the Middle East and sanctions involving China or Russia could also disrupt its complex international supply chains. RTX competes for defense contracts against rivals like Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Thales (OTC:THLEF).

Valuation comparison

While RTX carries a higher P/S ratio, it offers a predictable Forward P/E that reflects its current profitability compared to the speculative nature of Lucid.

MetricLucidRTX
Forward P/EN/A27.3x
P/S ratio1.0x3.0x

Valuation metrics sourced from Financial Modeling Prep (FMP) and may differ from other data providers.

Which stock would I buy in 2026?

I'd go with RTX, and it's not a close call. RTX just delivered one of the strongest quarters in its history, powered by two growth drivers firing at once. Airlines are flying more passengers than ever, driving record demand for Pratt & Whitney engine maintenance and new aircraft equipment. At the same time, rising global defense budgets are sending orders for Raytheon missiles, radar systems, and air defense equipment to record levels.

Sales grew at a double-digit organic rate and earnings beat estimates by a wide margin. The company raised its full-year outlook on sales, earnings, and free cash flow simultaneously. On top of that, its backlog just hit a record level, giving it visibility into future demand that most industrial companies would envy.

Lucid is not without its bright spots. The Gravity SUV launch has generated strong early customer interest, and losses are narrowing. But Lucid is still losing money on every car it sells and is years away from sustainable profitability.

RTX, on the other hand, is already delivering on every front. For a long-term investor, that makes this an easy call.

Should you buy stock in Lucid Group right now?

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Sara Appino has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Boeing and RTX. The Motley Fool recommends Lockheed Martin. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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