Lowe's Just Hit a 52-Week Low. Is It an Obvious Buy or Should Investors Pause?

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Lowe's stock has declined more than 25% in the last year.

  • The company has increased its dividend consistently for more than a quarter of a century.

  • Low housing turnover, inflation, and tariffs dampened Lowe's full-year outlook.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Lowe's Companies ›

Lowe's Companies (NYSE: LOW) hit a fresh 52-week low at $199 last week. This has been a rough stretch for the stock, which is down roughly 25% over the past year and is well off its 52-week high of $293. The sell-off raises the question: Is this a stock worth buying at a discount, or should investors heed the warning?

A person looks at paint samples in a home improvement store.

Image source: Getty Images.

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Bearish guidance amid tough economic conditions

Lowe's reported its second-quarter earnings in August, and all seemed fine. The company's sales grew more than 8% year over year to $26 billion, and adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) exceeded estimates at $4.40.

The problem was management's trimmed guidance. Lowe's pulled back its full-year outlook to the low end of its sales range. Management also anticipates flat comparable sales and lower adjusted EPS at $12.25. There's a lot of pressure on homeowners and their wallets right now, causing a slowing in do-it-yourself projects. High mortgage rates and tariffs also don't help the current situation.

The issues Lowe's is facing are more macroeconomic in nature than problems within the company itself. This leads me to lean bullish in the long term. The consensus among analysts is also positive, with most rating the stock as a moderate buy or buy, at an average price target of $253.

Lowe's is now trading at a very reasonable price. Because the stock has declined so much in the past 12 months, its forward and trailing P/E ratios are now at 16 and 17, respectively. Lowe's PEG ratio is around 1.36, indicating a fair value. The company's market cap has shrunk from nearly $150 billion to roughly $113 billion in 2026. Notably, the contracting valuation metrics increased the dividend yield to about 2.45% as of this writing.

Lowe's dividend has grown consistently for more than a quarter-century. The bull case for the home improvement retailer is that, as high interest rates slow home turnover, existing owners will eventually resume making improvements to the properties they already occupy. Bears, however, have noted that Lowe's guidance has already been cut once this year, and inflation and tariffs remain foreboding and unpredictable concerns.

A good business for income investors

Ultimately, Lowe's business isn't internally broken. Both its Pro and digital segments are growing, and guidance was simply moved to the lower end of the range rather than fully cut. The stock's decline reflects investor uncertainty among challenging economic conditions. Long-term income investors with the patience to ride this housing cycle have an interesting entry point into Lowe's right now. For those seeking more growth and upside, Lowe's is missing a near-term catalyst. It's a solid company for dividend seekers, but just as some people find DIY frustrating, growth-oriented investors may view Lowe's in that same vein.

Should you buy stock in Lowe's Companies right now?

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Catie Hogan has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Lowe's Companies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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