Netflix's Post-Earnings Sell-Off Just Revealed Why It Was Bidding to Acquire Warner Bros. and Roku

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • The Netflix sell-off is intensifying after its second-quarter results and third-quarter guidance.

  • Netflix’s pursuit of content quality comes at a steep price.

  • Netflix’s valuation is at multiyear lows.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Netflix ›

Netflix (NASDAQ: NFLX) was down 8.2% in after-hours trading on July 16 at 5:53 PM EDT -- falling to $68.23 per share as investors digested its second-quarter 2026 earnings and weak third-quarter guidance. The problem is abundantly clear -- most of Netflix's revenue growth is coming from price increases.

Netflix's third price increase in less than three years marked a 12.5% jump in U.S. ad-supported monthly pricing, an 11.1% boost in U.S. standard monthly pricing, and an 8% increase in U.S. premium monthly pricing. In its latest quarter, Netflix reported a 13.4% year-over-year increase in revenue and is guiding for a 11.7% year-over-year increase in third-quarter revenue. Which sounds good on paper, until you factor in the glaring reality that price increases are the majority of revenue growth.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

Here's what the results mean for investors, how they help paint the picture of why Netflix pursued major acquisitions, and if the growth stock is a buy now.

The Netflix logo on top of a building.

Image source: Netflix.

Competition for capturing user screen time is intensifying

In February, Netflix declined to raise its offer to buy Warner Bros. Discovery, losing the bid to Paramount Skydance. Netflix was also in the hunt to buy Roku before being outbid by Fox Corp. in June.

The moves were somewhat alarming, given Netflix's history of organic growth through licensing and producing its own content. But investors have been concerned that Netflix's viewer engagement is under pressure from a slew of competitors in traditional media, streaming services, gaming, and user-generated content on platforms like Alphabet-owned YouTube.

At its core, Netflix's business model is to have subscription revenue exceed content costs. The more subscription revenue, the more demand for content. And as its global subscriber base has grown and Netflix has aggressively raised prices, there's more pressure for it to produce high-quality, engaging content.

In its July 16 shareholder letter, Netflix emphasized the importance of content quality:

We've used "engagement" as a shorthand for the value we deliver members. But, as we've developed an increasingly sophisticated understanding of how consumers ascribe value to our service, we know not all hours are equal. Time spent is just one aspect of strong engagement -- quality and variety also matter. The key is to improve across all of those dimensions: quality, variety, and quantity.

In practice, Netflix's definition of quality seems to revolve around proven content, such as Warner Bros. Discovery's intellectual property, including franchises like the DC and Harry Potter universes, Game of Thrones, Looney Tunes, and more. Proven content also includes Netflix's push into sports through the latest MLB Home Run Derby on July 13 and marquee NFL games like opening week, Thanksgiving Eve, Christmas Day, and week 18.

Two sides to the Netflix narrative

The glass-half-empty view of Netflix is that the company is desperately trying to buy content at premium prices to keep subscribers engaged and justify price increases. And that Netflix could eventually resemble a modern-day network with an emphasis on live-streamed events rather than pre-produced shows and movies. Netflix's quarter after quarter of slowing growth and dependence on price increases is fueling that narrative, which is why the stock is tanking.

However, the glass-half-full view on Netflix is that the company is simply bigger than it used to be and has the deep pockets to branch into new markets rather than relying heavily on its own content. To its credit, Netflix isn't willing to pay any price for content, as evidenced by its willingness to be outbid by much smaller companies in Paramount-Skydance and Fox. And Netflix has collected a sizable consolation prize in the process through its $2.8 billion termination fee from Warner Bros. Discovery.

Netflix's latest results are disappointing, and it was a mistake in hindsight to raise prices so much in just a few years. But the stock's decline reflects that pessimism -- with Netflix sporting its lowest valuation in years -- trading at just 19.1 times 2026 full-year earnings estimates as of its after-hours price at the time of this writing.

Netflix is no stranger to taking risks

Netflix has always been a risk-taking company, from disrupting Blockbuster through mail-order DVDs to pioneering the modern streaming platform to producing award-winning live-action and animated series and movies. Each evolution has been riddled with bumps along the way and periods of investor loss of confidence. And right now, Netflix is enduring another such period as investors question the price it is willing to pay for quality entertainment and if it's making the right choices with sports and pushing into daytime and mobile device viewing.

So while it's understandable if some investors want to wait for the dust to settle and for Netflix to regain its footing, folks who are confident in Netflix's long-term strategy are getting an impeccable opportunity to buy the streaming service stock at a dirt-cheap price.

Should you buy stock in Netflix right now?

Before you buy stock in Netflix, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Netflix wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $371,842!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,244,783!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 900% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 207% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 19, 2026.

Daniel Foelber has positions in Netflix. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Netflix, Roku, and Warner Bros. Discovery. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Pinduoduo Earnings Incoming: Morgan Stanley Sees Long-Term Profit Potential​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 20, 2024
​Insights – On November 21, Chinese e-commerce giant Pinduoduo (PDD) will release its Q3 2024 earnings.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold slides back closer to $4,050 as Iran risks and Fed hike bets boost USDGold (XAU/USD) opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and slides back closer to the $4,050 level during the Asian session.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 13, Mon
Gold (XAU/USD) opens with a modest bearish gap at the start of a new week and slides back closer to the $4,050 level during the Asian session.
placeholder
WTI rises as Trump's threats strikes on IranWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $79.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have climbed following threats from US President Donald Trump regarding additional military strikes on Iran.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 15, Wed
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price extends its gains for the third successive day, trading around $79.20 per barrel during the Asian hours on Wednesday. Crude oil prices have climbed following threats from US President Donald Trump regarding additional military strikes on Iran.
goTop
quote