SpaceX's Starlink division generates nearly $12 billion in revenue with ~40% operating margins, making it the clear profit engine of the business.
At $1.77 trillion -- roughly 94 times 2025 revenue -- SPCX stock is priced for perfection at a valuation that dwarfs even Nvidia's.
History suggests patience: Eight of the 10 biggest U.S. IPOs ever were trading lower one year after their debut.
The wait is over.
Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) (NASDAQ: SPCX) stock finally made its public debut in the largest IPO in history. Right off the bat, the space and AI conglomerate is one of the 10 largest companies on Earth and bigger than Elon Musk's other mega-cap, Tesla.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
With all the hoopla, you're probably asking yourself: Should I buy in? Let's take a look.
The best part of SpaceX is Starlink, the space-based internet provider. The business made nearly $12 billion of SpaceX's total $18.7 billion in revenue last year. It's a cash machine at this point, with nearly 40% operating margins.
Then you have what you think of when you think of SpaceX: rockets. Despite the visibility of the space launch business, the segment made up just about 13% of total revenue, and at present, it's fighting to break even.
Finally, there's the AI segment, responsible for the remaining 17.5% of total sales -- $3.2 billion. Financially speaking, the AI arm is sort of Starlink's foil, burning through the cash the satellite business produces and then some.
SpaceX lost just shy of $5 billion on the $18.7 billion in total sales.
Those are the basics of the business, but what about price?
At $1.77 trillion, SpaceX is valued at roughly 94 times its 2025 revenue of $18.7 billion. Compare that to Nvidia -- no one's idea of a cheap stock, and a company raking in cash -- which goes for about 31 times sales.
Image source: Getty Images.
SpaceX stock is priced with an extremely rosy view of the future, and, in my humble opinion, it's driven by hype -- and hype fades. I wouldn't buy the stock unless the valuation comes back to earth.
Even if you're sold on the company long term and its rich valuation doesn't faze you, there's still plenty of reason to wait. IPOs, especially mega IPOs like this, are highly volatile, and first-day investors often get hit. Meta Platforms, for instance, dropped more than 30% in year one.
Of course, you can expect some pretty serious insider selling in the coming months. There are tons of early investors and company employees itching for a payday.
Regardless of your view on the business, at least wait for the IPO dust to settle before considering jumping in.
Before you buy stock in Space Exploration Technologies, consider this:
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Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Meta Platforms, Nvidia, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.