WTI steadies around $85.00 as Trump indicates potential Iran deal

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  • WTI falls after President Trump stated a peace deal with Iran could be finalized this weekend.

  • Traders remain cautious as normalizing oil flows requires clearing mines, restarting production fields, and repairing facilities damaged.

  • Data shows three LNG tankers turned off transponders and slipped out of the strait toward Asia, tracking firms reported.

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price remains subdued after registering over 5.5% losses in the previous day, trading around $85.00 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday. Crude oil prices declined following statements from US President Donald Trump indicating that a peace agreement with Iran could be finalized as early as this weekend. This diplomatic pivot comes on the heels of the President delaying planned military strikes, though he had previously warned that the US could target Iran's energy infrastructure.

While a final text has not yet been approved by either side, Iran's semi-official Fars news agency reported that Tehran is likely to accept the deal. According to Trump, the agreement would safely reopen shipping lanes through the critical Strait of Hormuz and include firm commitments from Iran to forgo the development of nuclear weapons.

Despite the potential breakthrough, market traders remain cautious because fully normalizing global oil flows faces significant logistical hurdles. Even if a deal is struck, the energy sector must still navigate clearing naval mines from the strait, restarting idled production fields, and repairing vital facilities previously damaged by drone and missile attacks.

The security situation in the waterway also remains clouded by conflicting reports. On Wednesday, the U.S. military stated on X that commercial vessels continue to transit the strait safely and denied that any U.S. warships had been hit. Conversely, Iranian state media claimed that US ships in the area had been targeted by missiles and drones.

Meanwhile, shipping data from LSEG and Kpler reveals that three additional LNG tankers have slipped out of the strait toward Asia with their transponders turned off. Maritime disruptions also persist, with India reporting an incident involving a vessel off the Port of Shinas in Oman on Thursday, marking the third such event this week. Nevertheless, Indian refiners told Reuters they have secured a sufficient supply of crude to meet their operational needs through at least August.

* The content presented above, whether from a third party or not, is considered as general advice only.  This article should not be construed as containing investment advice, investment recommendations, an offer of or solicitation for any transactions in financial instruments.

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