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The FOMC held by a 10–2 vote, with Governor Cook and Cleveland Fed President Hammack dissenting for a 25bp hike. Chair Warsh offered no forward guidance and no dot plot, the 2-year yield fell 8bp to 4.70%, and the dollar slipped to 101.84 even as markets moved December hike odds to 85%–87%. Tonight's Q3 GDP and September core PCE are the next referee.
With the U.S. midterm elections approaching, the three major U.S. stock indices and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index collectively suffered sharp falls last Frida
Binance resumed withdrawals on November 1 after a record $6.3bn theft. In the first 9.5 hours, users withdrew $4.64bn and deposited $1.01bn, a net outflow of $3.64bn, or 2.1% of assets. Bitcoin fell to 76,173 and is now 78,473. The market is pricing the exchange, not the supply.
Brent fell 1.95% to $111.20 and WTI to $101.92 after Iran's foreign minister said a Qatar-brokered plan could reopen the Strait of Hormuz in two days. Two tankers were still reported hit by mines. The move is a premium unwind, not a supply change.