Forex Today: Markets warm up for US inflation data

Source Fxstreet

The Greenback added to recent gains and rose to fresh cycle highs backed by investors’ repricing of fewer (if any at all) interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.

Here is what you need to know on Tuesday, January 14:

The US Dollar Index (DXY) surpassed the 110.00 hurdle for the first time since November 2022, amid higher yields and speculation of just only one interest rate reduction by the Fed in the current year. The Producer Prices will take centre stage, seconded by the NFIB Business Optimism Index, and the RCM/TIPP Economic Optimism Index. In addition, the Fed’s Schmid and Williams are expected to speak.

EUR/USD performed poorly and extended its bearish trend to the sub-1.0200 region against the backdrop of persistent upside pressure in the US Dollar. The speech by the ECB’s Lane will be the sole event on the euro calendar.

GBP/USD kept its downtrend well in place, revisiting the area below 1.2100 although managing to regain some balance afterwards. The BoE’s Breeden is due to speak.

USD/JPY clinched its third consecutive daily pullback on the back of extra appreciation of the Japanese Yen. The Eco Watchers Survey, Bank Lending figures and Current Account results are expected on the Japanese docket. In addition, the BoJ’s Himino is due to speak.

AUD/USD attempted a humble bounce after four days in a row of losses, although it remained under pressure and close to the 0.6100 region. The Westpac Consumer Confidence Index will be released along with final Building Permits and Private House Approvals.

Prices of the American WTI extended their auspicious monthly rebound and trespassed the $78.00 mark per barrel on further US sanctions to Russian oil.

Prices of Gold gave away part of their recent multi-day advance following the stronger Greenback and speculation of just one interest rate cut by the Fed this year. By the same token, Silver prices deflated to five-day lows, breaching the key support at the $30.00 mark per ounce.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Dollar holds above 100 near a 3-month high — three Fed speakers and a $69 billion auction land tonightThe dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
Author  Suzie
Sep 22, Tue
The dollar index closed at 100.43 on Monday, its highest close since late July, after a weekly gain of about 1% — the best in more than three months — and is holding above the 100.00 handle in Asia. Three Fed officials speak tonight alongside a $69 billion two-year note auction, the first leg of $183 billion of Treasury supply this week.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
Sep 24, Thu
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,300, Will It Continue to Fall? As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Author  TradingKey
Sep 24, Thu
As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
goTop
quote