USD/JPY is unlikely to sustain a break above 151.71 – BBH

USD/JPY is up near 150.50. Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reiterated the bank’s guidance that it will continue to raise interest rates if its economic outlook is realized, BBH's FX analysts report.

BOJ is unlikely to tighten the policy by more than is priced-in

"Ueda cautioned again that underlying price trend is still below the BOJ’s 2% inflation target, signaling that the bar is high for the bank to dial-up the pace of rate hikes. As such, the BOJ is unlikely to tighten the policy by more than is currently priced-in."

"The swaps market continues to imply about 50bps of rate hikes over the next twelve months. BOJ rate hike expectations suggests USD/JPY is unlikely to sustain a break above key resistance at its 200-day moving average at 151.71."