EUR/PLN: Polish Zloty is heading for new gains – ING

Source Fxstreet

EUR/PLN has broken 4.3200. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Full of hope for new gains

EUR/PLN touched 4.3000 briefly in December. Otherwise, it's a level last seen before Covid. We repeatedly mention long PLN positioning here, which is and will be a long-term problem for further PLN gains. 

On the other hand, the short end of the IRS curve is already at levels prior to September's surprise National Bank of Poland rate cut of 75 bps. This implies decent support for the currency compared to HUF and CZK. 

Thus, if the market doesn't fall for the false hope of rate cuts after Thursday's inflation print, we see this week as an opportunity to test 4.3000 again.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Crypto Weekly Radar: All eyes on Donald Trump’s ultimatum, US macroeconomic dataCrypto markets begin the week with mixed sentiment, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $69,000 following last week’s rebound. Still, markets remain cautious as traders weigh risks stemming from Donald Trump’s renewed threats toward Iran ahead of the ultimatum set for Tuesday.
Author  FXStreet
10 hours ago
Crypto markets begin the week with mixed sentiment, with Bitcoin (BTC) trading above $69,000 following last week’s rebound. Still, markets remain cautious as traders weigh risks stemming from Donald Trump’s renewed threats toward Iran ahead of the ultimatum set for Tuesday.
placeholder
WTI eases below $103.50 as US, Iran reportedly seeking 45-day ceasefireWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $103.30 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The WTI price retreats after reports that the United States (US) and Iran are making a push for a 45-day ceasefire. 
Author  FXStreet
11 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $103.30 during the early European trading hours on Monday. The WTI price retreats after reports that the United States (US) and Iran are making a push for a 45-day ceasefire. 
placeholder
Gold under pressure as fears mount, $4,600 support at risk Spot Gold gapped marginally lower at the weekly opening, with the XAU/USD pair battling to retain the $4,600 mark early in the Asian session.
Author  TradingKey
18 hours ago
Spot Gold gapped marginally lower at the weekly opening, with the XAU/USD pair battling to retain the $4,600 mark early in the Asian session.
placeholder
Gold Second-Quarter Outlook: Safe-Haven Failure or Pricing Logic Reshaping? Can Gold Enter a Major Rally?In the first quarter of 2026, gold prices experienced a classic "roller-coaster" ride. Against a macroeconomic backdrop of escalating geopolitical conflicts, gold prices briefly broke thr
Author  TradingKey
Apr 03, Fri
In the first quarter of 2026, gold prices experienced a classic "roller-coaster" ride. Against a macroeconomic backdrop of escalating geopolitical conflicts, gold prices briefly broke thr
placeholder
Spot Crude Oil Breaks $140. First Time Since 2008. Oil Market’s Most Severe Shock in History Is Here. On Thursday, April 2, Dated Brent crude prices reached $141.37 per barrel, the highest level since 2008, surpassing the peak set during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022
Author  TradingKey
Apr 03, Fri
On Thursday, April 2, Dated Brent crude prices reached $141.37 per barrel, the highest level since 2008, surpassing the peak set during the outbreak of the Russia-Ukraine conflict in 2022
Related Instrument
goTop
quote