EUR/PLN: Polish Zloty is heading for new gains – ING

Source Fxstreet

EUR/PLN has broken 4.3200. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Full of hope for new gains

EUR/PLN touched 4.3000 briefly in December. Otherwise, it's a level last seen before Covid. We repeatedly mention long PLN positioning here, which is and will be a long-term problem for further PLN gains. 

On the other hand, the short end of the IRS curve is already at levels prior to September's surprise National Bank of Poland rate cut of 75 bps. This implies decent support for the currency compared to HUF and CZK. 

Thus, if the market doesn't fall for the false hope of rate cuts after Thursday's inflation print, we see this week as an opportunity to test 4.3000 again.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
WTI and Brent Futures Both Fall Below $100 Mark, Have Oil Prices and Energy Sector Peaked?WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
Author  TradingKey
12 hours ago
WTI crude oil futures settled at $96.21 per barrel on May 6, plunging 6.3% to close below $100 for the first time in six days, marking the largest single-day decline since March 17. Brent
placeholder
Bitcoin jumps to three-month high as US–Iran talks unwind oil risk premiumGlobal markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
Author  Cryptopolitan
15 hours ago
Global markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
placeholder
WTI Crude Falls Over 13% Below $90. US and Iran to Reach Truce Memorandum but Crude Supply Difficult to Recover in Short TermBefore the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
Author  TradingKey
16 hours ago
Before the market opened on May 5, international crude oil losses widened, WTI crude oil futures plummeted below $90 at one point, hitting a low of $88.71, the first time since April 21,
placeholder
WTI falls below $93.50 on hopes of strait of Hormuz reopeningWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $93.25 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The WTI price declines on optimism over a possible deal to end the war with Iran. 
Author  FXStreet
20 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $93.25 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The WTI price declines on optimism over a possible deal to end the war with Iran. 
placeholder
Ignoring Strategy Reduction Warning, Bitcoin Nears $82,000, Hitting Highest Price Since FebruaryTradingKey - Bitcoin prices continue to surge toward $82,000; however, will MicroStrategy's sell signal trigger a Bitcoin price crash?On May 6, although the largest Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy ( MST
Author  TradingKey
Yesterday 08: 51
TradingKey - Bitcoin prices continue to surge toward $82,000; however, will MicroStrategy's sell signal trigger a Bitcoin price crash?On May 6, although the largest Bitcoin holder, MicroStrategy ( MST
Related Instrument
goTop
quote