EUR/PLN: Polish Zloty is heading for new gains – ING

Source Fxstreet

EUR/PLN has broken 4.3200. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.

Full of hope for new gains

EUR/PLN touched 4.3000 briefly in December. Otherwise, it's a level last seen before Covid. We repeatedly mention long PLN positioning here, which is and will be a long-term problem for further PLN gains. 

On the other hand, the short end of the IRS curve is already at levels prior to September's surprise National Bank of Poland rate cut of 75 bps. This implies decent support for the currency compared to HUF and CZK. 

Thus, if the market doesn't fall for the false hope of rate cuts after Thursday's inflation print, we see this week as an opportunity to test 4.3000 again.

 

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
WTI falls below $93.50 on hopes of strait of Hormuz reopeningWest Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $93.25 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The WTI price declines on optimism over a possible deal to end the war with Iran. 
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 01: 21
West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the US crude oil benchmark, is trading around $93.25 during the early Asian trading hours on Thursday. The WTI price declines on optimism over a possible deal to end the war with Iran. 
placeholder
Bitcoin jumps to three-month high as US–Iran talks unwind oil risk premiumGlobal markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
Author  Cryptopolitan
21 hours ago
Global markets moved sharply on Wednesday as signs of progress in US–Iran negotiations triggered a rapid unwind of war-driven positions, dragging oil prices lower while lifting equities and cryptocurrencies. Bitcoin climbed above $81,000, its highest level in three months, while Brent crude fell roughly 11% to around $98 per barrel. The S&P 500 rose 0.85%...
placeholder
WTI falls to near $93.50 after Israel, Iran signal an end to hostilitiesWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Author  FXStreet
3 hours ago
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil price loses ground after registering modest gains in the previous day, trading around $93.70 per barrel during the Asian hours on Friday.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote